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- Upturn Summary
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Upturn AI Summary
Direxion Daily AMD Bear 1X Shares(AMDD)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for AMDD
10/13/2026: AMDD (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
AMDD provides daily -1x inverse exposure to the common stock of Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) using swap agreements. It is a tactical tool designed for active day traders rather than long-term investors, as the compounding of daily returns creates significant tracking error over time. Its primary strengths are its utility for short-term hedging and ease of access for bearish speculation. However, it carries extreme concentration risk and is subject to the high volatility of a single underlying technology stock. Potential investors should be experienced in monitoring daily price action and understand the risks of volatility decay.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
ETF holdings, costs, diversification, valuation, risks, and market conditions provide supporting context about the fund.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Weak fit | This fund is designed for short-term speculation, not long-term growth investing. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | Active traders may use this to capitalize on short-term bearish momentum in AMD shares. |
| Value investor | Weak fit | Value investors focus on fundamentals rather than short-term inverse daily performance. |
| Dividend/Income investor | Weak fit | The fund does not provide income and is unsuitable for income-focused portfolios. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The fund is highly volatile and inappropriate for low-risk capital preservation strategies. |
Investor Profile
Ideal Investor Profile
The ideal investor is an experienced, active day-trader with a high risk tolerance who is looking for a short-term hedge or a tactical bearish bet on AMD.
Suitability
This fund is strictly for active traders; it is unsuitable for long-term investors or those seeking passive index exposure.
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Volatility | High | The daily reset mechanism and concentration in a single stock lead to significant price swings. |
| Market risk | High | The fund is directly exposed to the price action of a single volatile technology stock. |
| Concentration | High | Performance is entirely dependent on the results of one company. |
| Tracking/expense | Medium / high | The fund suffers from volatility decay over periods longer than one day. |
| Liquidity | Medium | Lower volumes compared to broad ETFs can result in wider bid-ask spreads during market stress. |
| Business/sector quality | Medium | The semiconductor sector is cyclical and highly sensitive to regulatory and supply chain changes. |
Risk Analysis
Volatility
AMDD exhibits extreme volatility due to its daily inverse leverage objective tied to a single, high-beta tech stock.
Market Risk
Market risk is concentrated entirely on AMD's price performance, ignoring sector or broader market diversification.
What the ETF Owns
| Exposure Type | Exposure | Weight (%) | Retail Investor Read |
|---|---|---|---|
| Single stock | Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) — seeks -1x daily return | 95 | The fund's primary objective is to move in the opposite direction of AMD stock on a daily basis. |
| Cash/collateral | Cash and Cash Equivalents | 5 | Cash is held as collateral to support the derivative contracts used to achieve the fund's inverse exposure. |
Price Behavior
Steep Decline
The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.
Highly Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent, large price swings that make its near-term movement less predictable.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type ETF | Historic Profit -31.48% | Avg. Invested days 9 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  1.0 | ETF Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/13/2026 |
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