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Upturn AI Summary
Barclays ETN+ Shiller Capet ETN(CAPE)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for CAPE
10/02/2026: CAPE (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
The Barclays ETN+ Shiller CAPE ETN provides exposure to the US equity market by systematically rotating into sectors identified as attractively valued using the Shiller CAPE ratio. Its main strength lies in its rules-based, valuation-driven approach, which avoids the subjectivity of active management. The primary investment use case is as a tactical equity component to enhance long-term value exposure. Key risks include the credit risk of the issuer, potential concentration in specific sectors, and tracking error relative to broad benchmarks. It is best suited for investors who favor a disciplined, factor-based strategy and should be monitored for changes in the valuation signals of the underlying equity sectors.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
ETF holdings, costs, diversification, valuation, risks, and market conditions provide supporting context about the fund.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The fund's sector rotation may miss high-flying growth stocks if they are deemed overvalued by the CAPE methodology. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | The strategy incorporates a momentum component, making it suitable when sector rotation signals align with positive price trends. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | Its core strategy is explicitly designed to tilt portfolios toward sectors that are attractively valued based on long-term earnings data. |
| Dividend/Income investor | Mixed fit | Income generation is not the primary objective, though value-tilted sectors often pay dividends. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | As an equity-based ETN with concentration risk in specific sectors, it remains subject to significant market volatility. |
Investor Profile
Ideal Investor Profile
An investor who believes in long-term mean reversion of valuation metrics and seeks a rules-based, systematic alternative to traditional index investing.
Suitability
Best suited for long-term investors looking to tilt their equity portfolio towards value-oriented sectors; not ideal for day traders or those concerned about ETN credit risk.
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Volatility | Medium / high | Sector-specific exposure can lead to higher volatility than broad-market indexes. |
| Market risk | High | The fund is fully invested in equities and will fall during broad market drawdowns. |
| Concentration | Medium / high | The strategy may become concentrated in a few sectors at any given time. |
| Tracking/expense | Medium | The ETN structure involves tracking error risks and costs associated with the index methodology. |
| Liquidity | Medium | Lower trading volume compared to major ETFs may lead to higher execution costs. |
| Business/sector quality | Medium | The fund relies on the issuer's credit, which is an additional risk compared to standard ETFs. |
Risk Analysis
Volatility
CAPE exhibits volatility consistent with its sector-rotation mandate, which can be higher than the broader market during periods of sector-specific turmoil.
Market Risk
As an equity-linked instrument, it carries high systemic market risk and is sensitive to the valuation levels of the US equity market as a whole.
What the ETF Owns
| Exposure Type | Exposure | Weight (%) | Retail Investor Read |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sector | US Equity Sectors (Selected by CAPE Ratio) | 100 | The fund rotates across various US equity sectors that are identified as having favorable valuation and momentum characteristics. |
Price Behavior
Flat / Range-Bound
The stock price has been trading within a narrow range with minimal directional movement.
Very Smooth
The stock has followed a highly orderly price path with minimal short-term disruption.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type ETF | Historic Profit 6.27% | Avg. Invested days 65 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | ETF Returns Performance  2.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/02/2026 |
ETF Fundamentals 
Source: EOD Historical Data • Updated Oct 2, 2026
Fund Basics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Fund Size (AUM) | $181.79M |
| Issuer | Barclays |
| Expense Ratio | 0.65% |
| Distribution Yield | 1.37% |
| Inception | Oct 10, 2012 |
Performance
| Period | Total Return |
|---|---|
| YTD | +24.14% |
| 1 Year | +25.30% |
| 3 Year | +20.41% |
| 5 Year | +14.94% |
| 10 Year | +15.26% |
Risk Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| 1Y Volatility | 21.36% |
| 3Y Volatility | 20.38% |
| 3Y Sharpe Ratio | 0.54 |
Ratings
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Morningstar Rating | ★★★★★ |
Top Sectors
| Sector | Weight |
|---|---|
| Basic Materials | 0.00% |
| Consumer Cyclicals | 0.00% |
| Financial Services | 0.00% |
| Real Estate | 0.00% |
Portfolio Characteristics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Holdings Turnover | 2.17% |
Top Holdings
| Holding | Weight |
|---|---|
| Amazon | 6.32% |
| Tesla | 3.64% |
| Linde Ordinary Shares | 3.20% |
| Welltower | 2.77% |
| Walmart | 2.64% |
Upturn AI Summary
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
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