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- Upturn Summary
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Upturn AI Summary
Tidal Trust II YieldMax Short T(CRSH)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for CRSH
10/23/2026: CRSH (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
CRSH is an actively managed ETF that provides daily inverse (-1x) exposure to the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT). It is designed as a tactical tool for traders to hedge against or speculate on declining long-term Treasury bond prices. Its primary strengths lie in its specific directional intent and ability to gain short exposure without directly shorting bonds. However, it carries high risks associated with daily compounding decay, interest rate sensitivity, and a relatively high expense ratio compared to some competitors. It is best suited for experienced investors with a short-term horizon who are monitoring economic catalysts like Federal Reserve policy and inflation.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
ETF holdings, costs, diversification, valuation, risks, and market conditions provide supporting context about the fund.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Weak fit | This fund is designed for inverse exposure and is generally unsuitable for core growth portfolios. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | Momentum traders may use this to profit from trends of rising interest rates. |
| Value investor | Weak fit | The fund's reliance on derivatives and daily rebalancing contradicts traditional value investing principles. |
| Dividend/Income investor | Weak fit | This fund does not provide consistent income and is designed for tactical price movement speculation. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The inverse and leveraged-style nature of the fund introduces significant risk not suitable for low-risk profiles. |
Investor Profile
Ideal Investor Profile
Sophisticated, active traders and institutional investors seeking short-term hedges against long-term bond price declines.
Suitability
Not suitable for long-term buy-and-hold investors; best for daily tactical trades or short-term hedging strategies.
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Volatility | High | Daily rebalancing and inverse exposure significantly amplify the impact of market volatility. |
| Market risk | High | The fund is directly exposed to price swings in the long-term Treasury market. |
| Concentration | High | The fund is highly concentrated on a single asset class (long-term Treasuries) and a single directional outcome. |
| Tracking/expense | Medium / high | Daily compounding and management costs create potential for significant tracking error over periods longer than one day. |
| Liquidity | Medium | Lower average volume can lead to slippage during periods of market stress. |
| Business/sector quality | Low | This factor is less relevant as the fund derives performance from financial instruments rather than corporate operations. |
Risk Analysis
Volatility
CRSH exhibits high volatility as it is designed to capture the inverse movement of interest-rate-sensitive assets, which can swing wildly based on economic data.
Market Risk
The primary risk is interest rate risk; if rates fall, the value of the 20+ Year Treasury bonds rises, causing CRSH to lose value.
What the ETF Owns
| Exposure Type | Exposure | Weight (%) | Retail Investor Read |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derivatives | iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) — seeks -1x daily return | 95 | This derivative exposure provides the inverse daily price movement relative to long-term Treasury bonds. |
| Cash/collateral | Cash and Cash Equivalents | 5 | Cash holdings serve as collateral for the derivative contracts and provide liquidity for fund operations. |
Price Behavior
Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type ETF | Historic Profit -42.16% | Avg. Invested days 23 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | ETF Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/23/2026 |
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