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Upturn AI Summary
Tidal Trust II YieldMax Short T(CRSH)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for CRSH
10/13/2026: CRSH (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Tidal Trust II YieldMax Short T (CRSH) is a tactical ETF designed to provide daily -1x inverse exposure to the 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT). It enables investors to speculate on rising interest rates or hedge fixed-income portfolios without traditional short-selling requirements. Its main strengths include ease of access and clear, targeted exposure, though it faces high risks from daily compounding, tracking error, and potential volatility decay. It is best suited for experienced, active traders who monitor market conditions closely and intend to hold the position for a very short duration. Investors should prioritize monitoring interest rate trends and be aware of the high expense ratio compared to more liquid, established competitors.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
ETF holdings, costs, diversification, valuation, risks, and market conditions provide supporting context about the fund.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Weak fit | This fund is designed for hedging or speculation, not for participating in long-term capital appreciation. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | Momentum investors may use this to profit from a trend of rising long-term interest rates. |
| Value investor | Weak fit | This is a derivative-heavy speculative instrument that does not align with traditional value investing principles. |
| Dividend/Income investor | Weak fit | The fund is not intended for dividend income and can experience significant erosion through daily resetting. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The fund carries high volatility and is unsuitable for those prioritizing capital preservation. |
Investor Profile
Ideal Investor Profile
Active, risk-tolerant traders who understand derivative-based ETFs and seek to hedge or speculate on rising interest rates over short time frames.
Suitability
Strictly for active traders; it is not suitable for passive investors or long-term buy-and-hold strategies.
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Volatility | High | Daily rebalancing and inverse exposure lead to significant price swings that can amplify losses. |
| Market risk | High | The fund is directly exposed to interest rate risk, where unexpected moves in Treasury prices cause rapid losses. |
| Concentration | High | The fund is entirely focused on the performance of a single underlying asset, TLT. |
| Tracking/expense | Medium / high | Compounding of daily returns over periods longer than one day often results in performance that deviates significantly from the target. |
| Liquidity | Medium | Lower average trading volume compared to major competitors may impact the ability to exit positions at desired prices. |
| Business/sector quality | Medium | The fund relies on swap counterparty performance, introducing an element of credit risk. |
Risk Analysis
Volatility
CRSH exhibits high historical volatility due to its daily inverse exposure to the interest-rate-sensitive TLT.
Market Risk
The primary risk is interest rate sensitivity; rising rates boost the fund, while falling rates cause losses.
What the ETF Owns
| Exposure Type | Exposure | Weight (%) | Retail Investor Read |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derivatives | iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) — seeks -1x daily return | 95 | The fund uses swap agreements to provide the inverse of TLT's daily price movement. |
| Cash/collateral | Cash and Cash Equivalents | 5 | Cash holdings are maintained to collateralize derivative positions and ensure liquidity. |
Price Behavior
Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type ETF | Historic Profit -42.17% | Avg. Invested days 23 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | ETF Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/13/2026 |
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