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Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC) (GBTC)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/31/2025: GBTC (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type ETF | Historic Profit 175.59% | Avg. Invested days 32 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | ETF Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Volume (30-day avg) - | Beta - | 52 Weeks Range 39.56 - 88.36 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 39.56 - 88.36 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC)
ETF Overview
Overview
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC) is a private, open-ended trust that allows investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin in a traditional brokerage account. It is the first publicly traded Bitcoin investment vehicle. Its primary focus is the direct acquisition and holding of Bitcoin, aiming to mirror the price movements of the cryptocurrency.
Reputation and Reliability
Grayscale Investments is a digital asset management firm known for pioneering investment products in the cryptocurrency space. They have a significant track record managing digital assets and are generally considered a reliable entity within the digital asset investment landscape.
Management Expertise
Grayscale Investments is managed by a team with experience in traditional finance and digital assets. While specific individuals are not always highlighted for individual trusts, the firm's overall leadership has been instrumental in developing and managing a suite of crypto-focused investment products.
Investment Objective
Goal
The primary investment goal of Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC) is to provide investors with a simple, straightforward way to gain exposure to Bitcoin. It aims to track the price performance of Bitcoin, minus fees and expenses.
Investment Approach and Strategy
Strategy: Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC) does not aim to track a specific index in the traditional sense. Instead, it directly holds Bitcoin, and its performance is intended to correlate with the spot price of Bitcoin.
Composition The trust's sole asset is Bitcoin. It holds a substantial amount of Bitcoin, which fluctuates based on market activity and its own holdings.
Market Position
Market Share: As the longest-standing and largest Bitcoin investment vehicle in the US by AUM, Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) historically held a dominant market share among Bitcoin-focused investment products. However, with the advent of spot Bitcoin ETFs, its market share has begun to be diluted. Specific current market share data is highly dynamic and depends on the comparison set.
Total Net Assets (AUM): 26694732000
Competitors
Key Competitors
- iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT)
- Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC)
- ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB)
Competitive Landscape
The competitive landscape for Bitcoin investment products has dramatically shifted with the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in the US. Historically, GBTC had a near-monopoly. Now, it faces intense competition from these new, typically lower-fee ETFs. GBTC's main disadvantage is its higher management fee compared to newer ETFs and its historical structure as a trust (now converting to an ETF). Its advantage lies in its established track record and significant Bitcoin holdings, though newer ETFs are rapidly accumulating assets.
Financial Performance
Historical Performance: Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC) aims to mirror the price of Bitcoin. Its historical performance is therefore closely tied to Bitcoin's price movements. Over extended periods, it has shown significant gains and losses reflecting Bitcoin's volatility. Specific performance data requires up-to-date market feeds.
Benchmark Comparison: Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC) effectively uses Bitcoin itself as its benchmark. Its objective is to track the spot price of Bitcoin, minus expenses.
Expense Ratio: 0.02
Liquidity
Average Trading Volume
The average trading volume for Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC) is substantial, indicating high liquidity for the trust, especially prior to the ETF approvals.
Bid-Ask Spread
The bid-ask spread for Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC) has historically been wider than traditional ETFs due to its trust structure and demand dynamics, though it has tightened significantly as it transitions to an ETF structure.
Market Dynamics
Market Environment Factors
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC) is directly influenced by the price of Bitcoin, which is affected by macroeconomic factors such as inflation, interest rates, and global economic stability. Regulatory developments concerning cryptocurrencies, institutional adoption, and technological advancements within the blockchain space also play a crucial role.
Growth Trajectory
The growth trajectory of Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC) has been historically strong, driven by increasing investor interest in Bitcoin. However, with the advent of spot Bitcoin ETFs, its AUM growth may be challenged as investors shift to products with lower fees and more traditional ETF structures.
Moat and Competitive Advantages
Competitive Edge
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC)'s primary competitive edge has been its first-mover advantage and its established brand in the digital asset investment space. As the largest and longest-operating Bitcoin investment vehicle, it built a significant investor base and trust before the advent of spot Bitcoin ETFs. Its conversion to an ETF structure aims to maintain its competitive standing by offering a more familiar product to investors.
Risk Analysis
Volatility
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC) exhibits high historical volatility, mirroring the inherent price swings of its underlying asset, Bitcoin. This volatility can lead to significant short-term gains or losses.
Market Risk
The primary market risk for Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC) is the price volatility of Bitcoin. This includes risks related to regulatory uncertainty, security breaches, technological obsolescence of Bitcoin, and broader market sentiment towards digital assets.
Investor Profile
Ideal Investor Profile
The ideal investor profile for Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC) is one seeking direct exposure to Bitcoin through a regulated financial product, comfortable with high volatility, and with a long-term investment horizon. Investors should have a strong understanding of cryptocurrency markets and be able to tolerate potential significant drawdowns.
Market Risk
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC) is generally best suited for long-term investors who believe in the long-term appreciation of Bitcoin and are willing to accept its inherent risks. Active traders may also use it, but its primary appeal is for those seeking to hold Bitcoin as an asset.
Summary
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC) offers a unique way to invest in Bitcoin through a traditional brokerage account, holding Bitcoin directly. While it has been a pioneer with a strong track record, it now faces intense competition from newer, lower-fee spot Bitcoin ETFs. Its performance is intrinsically linked to Bitcoin's volatile price, making it suitable for risk-tolerant, long-term investors. The trust's transition to an ETF structure is a key development in its ongoing market position.
Similar ETFs
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Grayscale Investments official website (for AUM, Expense Ratio, historical data if available)
- Financial data aggregators (e.g., Bloomberg, Refinitiv, Yahoo Finance) for market share, trading volume, bid-ask spread, and historical performance.
- SEC filings for official trust information.
Disclaimers:
This information is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions. Market share data is dynamic and may change rapidly. AUM figures are as of a specific date and are subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC)
Exchange NYSE ARCA | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date - | CEO - | ||
Sector - | Industry - | Full time employees - | Website |
Full time employees - | Website | ||
The trust"s Bitcoins are carried, for financial statement purposes, at fair value as required by U.S. generally accepted accounting principles ("GAAP"). The trust determines the fair value of Bitcoins based on the price provided by the Digital Asset Market that the trust considers its principal market as of 4:00 p.m., New York time, on the valuation date.

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