VanEck Gold Miners ETF(GDX)

Top Performer Top performer
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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
4-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$83.95
10/28/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for GDX

10/28/2026: GDX (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

The VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) provides liquid, broad-based exposure to the global gold mining industry by tracking the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index. It is widely favored for its significant scale, tight trading spreads, and reliable benchmark tracking, making it a primary choice for institutional and retail investors seeking precious metals exposure. While offering strong potential for gains during gold rallies, investors must account for the high volatility and operational risks associated with mining companies compared to physical gold bullion. It is most appropriate for investors who possess a high risk tolerance and wish to capitalize on macroeconomic trends affecting precious metals.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

ETF holdings, costs, diversification, valuation, risks, and market conditions provide supporting context about the fund.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitGold miners are often cyclical rather than secular growth plays, making them better for specific market phases.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveGDX serves as an excellent vehicle for capturing upward momentum in gold prices and precious metal mining sentiment.
Value investorMixed fitValue investors may appreciate the cash-flow potential of miners when valuations are depressed relative to gold prices.
Dividend/Income investorMixed fitWhile many gold miners now pay dividends, the sector's primary appeal remains capital appreciation rather than reliable yield.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe extreme volatility associated with gold mining equities is generally unsuitable for low-risk, capital-preservation portfolios.

Investor Profile

Ideal Investor Profile

Investors seeking tactical exposure to gold and precious metal mining equities who are comfortable with high sector volatility.

Suitability

GDX is best suited for tactical long-term investors or active traders looking for a high-liquidity vehicle to express views on gold.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
VolatilityHighGold mining stocks are inherently more volatile than the underlying commodity due to operational and financial leverage.
Market riskMedium / highThe fund is sensitive to broader equity market downturns, which can trigger margin calls or broad sector selling.
ConcentrationMedium / highExposure is concentrated specifically in the mining sector, lacking diversification across other asset classes.
Tracking/expenseLowEfficient management keeps tracking error low, though management fees slightly erode long-term performance.
LiquidityLowHigh daily trading volume ensures that investors can enter and exit positions with minimal price impact.
Business/sector qualityMediumOperational risks, such as labor strikes, regulatory changes, and resource depletion, directly impact company fundamentals.

Risk Analysis

Volatility

GDX exhibits high historical volatility, often significantly higher than the S&P 500, due to the inherent risks of mining and sensitivity to gold prices.

Market Risk

The fund faces systemic market risk, commodity-specific risk, and localized political risks inherent in international mining operations.

What the ETF Owns

Exposure TypeExposureWeight (%)Retail Investor Read
IndustryGold Mining Stocks85This core allocation provides direct exposure to the operational performance and profitability of leading global gold miners.
IndustrySilver Mining Stocks10Silver mining exposure offers a secondary precious metal hedge that often correlates with gold price movements.
Cash/collateralCash and Cash Equivalents5Small cash holdings are maintained for liquidity needs and administrative rebalancing requirements.

Price Behavior

Downtrend
PRICE PATH

Downtrend

The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.

Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type ETF
Historic Profit 99.44%
Avg. Invested days 55
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 4.0
ETF Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 5.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/28/2026
Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.