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iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust(GSG)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for GSG
11/12/2026: GSG (5-star) is a SELL. SELL for 5 days. Simulated Profits (5.16%). Updated daily EoD!
GSG is a large, highly liquid ETF that provides broad exposure to commodities by tracking the production-weighted S&P GSCI. It uses commodity futures to replicate the index, making it a potent tool for hedging against inflation or capitalizing on commodity supply-demand imbalances. Its main strengths include market-leading liquidity and a well-recognized benchmark, though it is heavily concentrated in energy and subject to negative roll yields in contango markets. Because it lacks dividend income and carries significant volatility, it is best suited for tactical investors seeking portfolio diversification rather than conservative or income-focused participants. Investors should monitor macroeconomic trends, the US dollar, and futures market curves to gauge the fund's potential performance.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
ETF holdings, costs, diversification, valuation, risks, and market conditions provide supporting context about the fund.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Commodities can act as a growth engine during supply-constrained bull markets but do not offer the compounding growth profile of equities. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | The fund is an effective tool for capturing momentum in commodity cycles when trends in global supply and demand are strong. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | Commodities are often viewed as cyclical assets rather than traditional value investments based on fundamentals like P/E ratios. |
| Dividend/Income investor | Weak fit | GSG does not pay dividends and does not provide consistent income, making it unsuitable for income-focused portfolios. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The high volatility and structural risks of commodity futures make this fund inappropriate for conservative, risk-averse investors. |
Investor Profile
Ideal Investor Profile
The ideal investor is an experienced market participant using commodities as a tactical tool for inflation hedging, portfolio diversification, or speculation on commodity cycles.
Suitability
GSG is better suited for tactical, medium-to-long term investors who understand the nuances of futures-based ETFs, rather than passive buy-and-hold investors or day traders.
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Volatility | High | Commodity prices are subject to extreme swings based on geopolitical, weather, and economic events. |
| Market risk | High | The fund's performance is tied directly to global commodity prices, which can decline rapidly. |
| Concentration | High | The heavy weighting toward energy means the fund is disproportionately impacted by the performance of oil and gas. |
| Tracking/expense | Medium | Contango in futures markets can lead to negative roll yield, causing the ETF to underperform spot commodity prices over time. |
| Liquidity | Low | The fund is highly liquid, meaning liquidity risk for the investor is minimal in normal market conditions. |
| Business/sector quality | Medium / high | The commodity sector is cyclical and capital-intensive, subject to unpredictable supply-demand imbalances. |
Sector & Industry Intelligence
This fund is not assigned to one sector.
Risk Analysis
Volatility
GSG exhibits high volatility consistent with the inherent price fluctuations of global commodity markets.
Market Risk
The fund is subject to risks related to futures contracts, roll yields, and macroeconomic shifts that influence commodity demand.
What the ETF Owns
| Exposure Type | Exposure | Weight (%) | Retail Investor Read |
|---|---|---|---|
| Commodity | Energy Commodities (e.g., Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Heating Oil) | 60 | Energy makes up the majority of the index, making the fund highly sensitive to global oil and gas prices. |
| Commodity | Agriculture and Livestock | 25 | Exposure to grains, softs, and livestock provides a hedge against inflation and food-price volatility. |
| Commodity | Industrial and Precious Metals | 15 | Metals exposure offers a link to global industrial demand and a potential store of value in inflationary environments. |
Price Behavior
Strong Uptrend
The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.
Smooth
The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type ETF | Historic Profit 21.4% | Avg. Invested days 60 | Today’s Advisory SELL |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  4.0 | ETF Returns Performance  4.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/12/2026 |
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