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Defiance Daily Target 2X Long LLY ETF (LLYX)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/11/2025: LLYX (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type ETF | Historic Profit 22.48% | Avg. Invested days 37 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | ETF Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Volume (30-day avg) - | Beta - | 52 Weeks Range 13.02 - 31.19 | Updated Date 03/1/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 13.02 - 31.19 | Updated Date 03/1/2025 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Tidal Trust II
ETF Overview
Overview
The Defiance Daily Target 2X Long LLY ETF is a highly specialized inverse leveraged ETF designed to provide twice the daily inverse performance of Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) stock. Its primary focus is on short-term trading strategies, aiming to profit from significant daily declines in LLY's stock price. The ETF employs derivative instruments and swap agreements to achieve its leveraged inverse exposure.
Reputation and Reliability
Defiance ETFs is a relatively new entrant in the ETF space, focusing on thematic and tactical investment products. As such, its long-term reputation and reliability are still being established compared to more established ETF providers.
Management Expertise
Information regarding the specific management team's expertise for this particular ETF is not readily available in public domain. Defiance ETFs typically partners with institutional entities for the management and operational aspects of their leveraged and inverse products.
Investment Objective
Goal
The primary investment goal of the Defiance Daily Target 2X Long LLY ETF is to deliver twice the inverse daily return of Eli Lilly and Company's stock. It is designed for traders seeking to profit from short-term bearish price movements in LLY.
Investment Approach and Strategy
Strategy: This ETF does not aim to track an index. Instead, it utilizes complex financial instruments, such as swaps and other derivatives, to synthetically achieve a leveraged inverse exposure to the daily performance of Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) stock.
Composition The ETF primarily holds derivative contracts (swaps) with financial institutions to gain its leveraged inverse exposure to LLY. It does not hold direct shares of LLY in significant quantities as part of its core strategy.
Market Position
Market Share: As a highly niche and specialized ETF focusing on a single stock's inverse leveraged performance, its market share within the broader ETF universe is negligible. Its market share is also confined to the small segment of investors seeking this specific type of tactical exposure to LLY.
Total Net Assets (AUM):
Competitors
Key Competitors
Competitive Landscape
The competitive landscape for this specific ETF is extremely limited due to its unique structure of providing 2x daily inverse exposure to a single stock. Direct competitors offering the exact same exposure are rare. However, other leveraged and inverse ETFs, as well as options on LLY, could be considered alternative strategies for short-term bearish bets on the stock. The primary disadvantage of this ETF is its inherent complexity and risk, which may not be suitable for most investors. Its advantage lies in its targeted, amplified exposure for experienced traders.
Financial Performance
Historical Performance: Historical performance data for leveraged and inverse ETFs is highly volatile and sensitive to daily rebalancing. The ETF's performance is directly tied to the daily price movements of Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) stock. Due to its leveraged and inverse nature, cumulative returns over longer periods can deviate significantly from expectations and are often negatively impacted by compounding effects.
Benchmark Comparison: This ETF does not have a traditional benchmark index. Its performance is measured against the daily inverse performance of Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) stock, multiplied by two. Comparisons to broad market indices are not relevant for this product.
Expense Ratio: 0.95
Liquidity
Average Trading Volume
The average trading volume for this ETF is generally low, indicating limited liquidity.
Bid-Ask Spread
The bid-ask spread can be wider than for more liquid ETFs, reflecting the specialized nature and potentially lower trading activity.
Market Dynamics
Market Environment Factors
The ETF is highly sensitive to the performance of Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) stock, which is influenced by factors such as pharmaceutical trial results, drug approvals, competition, patent expirations, and overall healthcare sector sentiment. Broader economic conditions and market sentiment can also indirectly affect LLY's stock price.
Growth Trajectory
The growth trajectory of this ETF is entirely dependent on the short-term bearish movements of LLY. It is not designed for long-term growth, and its strategy is not meant to adapt to evolving market conditions beyond its specific target.
Moat and Competitive Advantages
Competitive Edge
The ETF's primary competitive edge is its ability to provide amplified, daily inverse exposure to a single, prominent biotechnology stock (LLY). This offers a highly targeted tool for sophisticated traders looking to capitalize on specific, short-term bearish outlooks for LLY. Its daily reset mechanism ensures that the leverage is applied to the current day's price, rather than being subject to long-term compounding effects that can erode returns in other leveraged products.
Risk Analysis
Volatility
The ETF exhibits extremely high volatility due to its 2x leveraged inverse strategy. Daily price swings can be substantial, amplified by the leverage and the inherent volatility of the underlying stock.
Market Risk
The primary market risk is the adverse price movement of Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) stock. If LLY's stock price increases on any given day, the ETF will experience a leveraged loss (twice the daily percentage gain of LLY). There is also counterparty risk associated with the derivative instruments used by the ETF.
Investor Profile
Ideal Investor Profile
The ideal investor is an experienced, sophisticated trader with a strong understanding of leveraged and inverse ETFs and a very short-term bearish outlook on Eli Lilly and Company (LLY). They should have a high risk tolerance and the ability to monitor and manage their positions daily.
Market Risk
This ETF is best suited for active traders and short-term speculators, not for long-term investors or passive index followers. Its daily rebalancing and leveraged nature make it unsuitable for buy-and-hold strategies.
Summary
The Defiance Daily Target 2X Long LLY ETF is a niche, high-risk product designed for short-term bearish bets on Eli Lilly and Company (LLY). It seeks to deliver twice the inverse daily return of LLY through complex derivative strategies. Its high expense ratio and inherent volatility make it unsuitable for most investors, requiring sophisticated trading knowledge and risk management. Investors should be aware of the significant potential for losses, especially over longer holding periods due to compounding effects.
Similar ETFs
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Defiance ETFs official website
- Financial data providers (e.g., Bloomberg, Refinitiv)
- ETF regulatory filings
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Leveraged and inverse ETFs are complex financial instruments and involve a high degree of risk, including the potential loss of principal. Investors should consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Tidal Trust II
Exchange NYSE ARCA | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2024-08-08 | CEO - | ||
Sector - | Industry - | Full time employees - | Website |
Full time employees - | Website | ||
The fund is an actively managed exchange traded fund ("ETF") that attempts to achieve two times (200%) the daily percentage change in the share price of the Underlying Security by employing derivatives, namely swap agreements and/or listed options contracts. The fund is non-diversified.

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