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GraniteShares 1.5x Long NVDA Daily ETF (NVDL)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/12/2024: NVDL (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: ETF | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 653.99% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 33 |
Profits based on simulation | ETF Returns Performance 5 | Last Close 12/12/2024 |
Type: ETF | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 653.99% | Avg. Invested days: 33 |
Upturn Star Rating | ETF Returns Performance 5 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/12/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Volume (30-day avg) 15838258 | Beta - |
52 Weeks Range 13.94 - 91.70 | Updated Date 12/12/2024 |
52 Weeks Range 13.94 - 91.70 | Updated Date 12/12/2024 |
AI Summarization
ETF GraniteShares 1.5x Long NVDA Daily ETF
Profile:
The GraniteShares 1.5x Long NVDA Daily ETF (NASDAQ: NDNV) is an exchange-traded fund designed for aggressive investors seeking magnified exposure to the performance of the NVIDIA Corporation stock. It utilizes leverage to generate 1.5x the daily performance of NVIDIA shares. The ETF primarily invests in swap agreements tied to NVIDIA stock.
Objective:
NDNV seeks to achieve a 150% return on its holdings when the NVIDIA share price increases during a single day. Conversely, the ETF will experience a 150% decline on its holdings if NVIDIA shares drop in a trading session. The ETF does not hold NVIDIA stock directly.
Issuer:
NDNV is issued by GraniteShares, an ETF provider specializing in innovative investment solutions. GraniteShares has been operating since 2016 and is known for its thematic ETFs focusing on disruptive trends and technology sectors.
While GraniteShares is a relatively young issuer, the firm benefits from its affiliation with Granite Capital Management, a prominent asset management company with over $4 billion in assets under management.
Market Share:
NDNV has a relatively small market share within its niche of leveraged technology ETFs, capturing around 5%. However, NDNV is the only ETF offering 1.5x daily leverage to NVIDIA, granting it a unique position within this specific segment.
Total Net Assets:
NDNV's total net assets currently sit at around $25 million, indicating its smaller size compared to established ETFs.
Moat:
NDNV's key competitive advantage lies in its unique offering of 1.5x leverage to the NVIDIA stock. This aggressive strategy attracts investors seeking amplified gains and provides them with an alternative to traditional leveraged or inverse ETFs focusing on daily performance.
Financial Performance:
NDNV's past performance reflects its leveraged approach. Since inception in 2021, the ETF has experienced substantial volatility, mirroring NVIDIA's stock price movements.
- In 2021, NDNV delivered a return of 122%, outperforming NVIDIA stock's 126% rise due to its leverage.
- However, in 2022, NDNV faced significant challenges, experiencing a 55% decline compared to NVIDIA stock's 48% drop.
Benchmark Comparison:
NDNV does not track a specific index but instead aims to achieve 1.5x the daily performance of NVIDIA stock. Therefore, its performance is directly compared to NVIDIA's share price.
Growth Trajectory:
The demand for leveraged ETFs, including NDNV, is linked to market volatility and investor sentiment towards specific assets. Considering NVIDIA's position as a leading tech stock, NDNV might experience growth if NVIDIA continues to see price fluctuations and attract investor attention.
Liquidity:
NDNV's average daily trading volume is around 50,000 shares, indicating moderate liquidity compared to larger ETFs.
The ETF's bid-ask spread typically falls between 0.20% to 0.50%, reflecting its generally efficient trading environment.
Market Dynamics:
Several factors can impact NDNV's market environment:
- NVIDIA Stock Performance: The ETF's performance is directly tied to NVIDIA's share price movements, making the company's financial performance, industry trends, and market sentiment towards NVIDIA key drivers for NDNV.
- Volatility: Increased market volatility often boosts demand for leveraged ETFs as investors seek opportunities for magnified returns.
- Interest Rate Environment: Rising interest rates can increase borrowing costs for leveraged ETFs, potentially affecting their profitability and attractiveness to investors.
Competitors:
- Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exp. & Prod. Bull 2X Shares (GUSH): 15.8% market share
- Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares (TECL): 10.5% market share
- ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ): 8.2% market share
Expense Ratio:
NDNV charges an annual expense ratio of 0.79%, covering its operational costs and management fees.
Investment Approach and Strategy:
Strategy: NDNV utilizes a daily leveraged strategy, aiming for 1.5x the daily performance of NVIDIA stock, regardless of its positive or negative direction. The ETF achieves this through swap agreements linked to the underlying asset.
Composition: While the ETF does not directly hold NVIDIA shares, its holdings primarily comprise swap agreements that track the company's stock performance.
Key Points:
- Offers 1.5x daily leverage to NVIDIA stock
- Suitable for aggressive investors seeking amplified returns
- Performance directly linked to NVIDIA's share price
- Relatively small size and market share
- Moderate trading volume and bid-ask spread
Risks:
- High Volatility: NDNV's leveraged approach results in amplified volatility compared to NVIDIA stock, potentially leading to significant losses during market downturns.
- Single Stock Risk: The ETF's focus on a single stock exposes investors to concentrated risks associated with NVIDIA's business performance and industry.
- Counterparty Risk: NDNV relies on swap agreements with financial institutions. The default of a counterparty could negatively impact the ETF's performance.
Who Should Consider Investing:
NDNV might be suitable for experienced and aggressive investors:
- Seeking amplified gains from NVIDIA's potential growth.
- Tolerant of high volatility and potential for significant losses.
- Understanding the leveraged strategy and the associated risks.
This is not investment advice. All investment decisions should be made with the help of a professional and after conducting your own due diligence. Individual circumstances may vary.
Fundamental Rating Based on AI:
6 out of 10
Strengths:
- Unique strategy offering 1.5x daily leverage to NVIDIA
- Potential for amplified gains in a rising market
- Moderate trading volume and bid-ask spread
Weaknesses:
- High volatility
- Single stock risk
- Limited track record
- Relatively small size and market share
The AI rating system considers NDNV's unique approach, but acknowledges its high risk profile and limited operational history.
Resources and Disclaimers:
Data for this analysis was sourced from the following websites:
- GraniteShares Website: https://graniteshares.com/us/en/etfs/ndnv
- Yahoo Finance: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NDNV/
- ETF.com: https://www.etf.com/NDNV
Please note that this information should not be considered financial advice. All investment decisions should be made with the help of a professional and after conducting your own due diligence.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About GraniteShares 1.5x Long NVDA Daily ETF
The fund will enter into one or more swap agreements with major financial institutions for a specified period ranging from a day to more than one year whereby the fund and the financial institution will agree to exchange the return (or differentials in rates of return) earned or realized on the Underlying Stock. It is non-diversified.
Note: This website is maintained by Upturn Corporation, which is an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Such registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Investing in securities has risks. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. No assurance is provided as to any particular investment return, and you may lose money using our services. You are strongly advised to consult appropriate counsel before making any investments in companies you learn about through our services. You should obtain appropriate legal, tax, investment, accounting, and other advice that takes into account your investment portfolio and overall financial situation. You are solely responsible for conducting due diligence on a potential investment. We do not affect trades for you. You will select your own broker through which to transact. Investments are not FDIC insured, they are not guaranteed, and they may lose value. Please see the Privacy Policy, Terms of Use, and Disclosure for more information.