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Upturn AI Summary
ProShares UltraShort 7-10 Year Treasury(PST)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for PST
11/06/2026: PST (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
The ProShares UltraShort 7-10 Year Treasury (PST) is a tactical ETF designed to provide -2x the daily return of the 7-10 Year Treasury bond index using derivative contracts. Its primary strength lies in its ability to offer amplified, inverse exposure to interest rate movements, serving as a powerful tool for hedging or speculation. However, it is not intended for long-term holding due to the effects of daily compounding and volatility decay, which can significantly erode value in flat or oscillating markets. The primary risks include interest rate sensitivity, high expense ratios, and the structural complexity of derivative-based products. It is best suited for experienced, active traders who monitor interest rate developments closely and have a high tolerance for risk.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
ETF holdings, costs, diversification, valuation, risks, and market conditions provide supporting context about the fund.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Weak fit | This fund is an inverse tool for hedging or speculation, not a growth-oriented asset. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | Momentum traders may use this to profit from a sustained downtrend in bond prices when the interest rate environment turns hawkish. |
| Value investor | Weak fit | The fund's structure is not designed for long-term value investing or fundamental security selection. |
| Dividend/Income investor | Weak fit | PST does not provide income and is negatively correlated to the bond returns that income investors typically seek. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The use of leverage and inverse exposure creates high risk, making it unsuitable for capital preservation. |
Investor Profile
Ideal Investor Profile
Sophisticated, active traders with a high risk tolerance and a short-term horizon who are looking to hedge against or profit from rising intermediate-term interest rates.
Suitability
This is strictly a tactical tool for active traders; it is not suitable for passive investors or long-term holdings.
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Volatility | High | Daily leverage amplifies market swings, leading to significant fluctuations in net asset value. |
| Market risk | High | The fund is directly exposed to interest rate risk, where rising bond prices will result in losses. |
| Concentration | High | The strategy is strictly limited to the 7-10 year Treasury segment, lacking diversification. |
| Tracking/expense | Medium / high | Compounding of daily returns and the costs of derivative financing can cause significant drift from the targeted benchmark. |
| Liquidity | Medium | Lower trading volumes relative to broader ETFs may lead to higher execution costs. |
| Business/sector quality | Low | The fund's performance is tied to government debt rather than company-specific business quality. |
Risk Analysis
Volatility
PST exhibits high volatility because it doubles the daily inverse moves of the underlying bonds, which are already subject to interest rate sensitivity.
Market Risk
The primary risk is interest rate movement; the fund effectively bets against the price of 7-10 year Treasuries, meaning rising bond prices will consistently hurt performance.
What the ETF Owns
| Exposure Type | Exposure | Weight (%) | Retail Investor Read |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derivatives | ICE U.S. Treasury 7-10 Year Bond Index (seeks -2x daily return) | 95 | This derivative exposure provides the inverse leveraged return profile required to track the fund's objective. |
| Cash/collateral | Cash and Cash Equivalents | 5 | Cash serves as necessary collateral to support the fund's swap and futures positions. |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type ETF | Historic Profit 15.56% | Avg. Invested days 54 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | ETF Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/06/2026 |
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