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Upturn AI Summary
Pacer Trendpilot 100 ETF(PTNQ)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for PTNQ
11/06/2026: PTNQ (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
PTNQ provides exposure to the NASDAQ-100 index with a tactical overlay that rotates into U.S. Treasury bills based on a momentum-based trend signal. Its main strength is the systematic risk management that aims to protect investors during prolonged downturns while capturing upside during bull markets. It is best used as a core or satellite holding for investors seeking growth but who are wary of tech-sector volatility. Key risks include potential 'whipsaws' in choppy markets, tracking errors, and higher expense ratios compared to passive index funds. It is most suitable for investors who value disciplined, mechanical risk management over pure passive indexing.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
ETF holdings, costs, diversification, valuation, risks, and market conditions provide supporting context about the fund.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | It captures the growth potential of the NASDAQ-100 during positive trend phases. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | The rules-based trend following matches the core philosophy of momentum-based strategies. |
| Value investor | Weak fit | The fund's reliance on high-growth technology stocks contradicts traditional value-investing criteria. |
| Dividend/Income investor | Weak fit | The fund's focus is on capital appreciation and risk mitigation rather than dividend yield. |
| Low-risk investor | Mixed fit | While it attempts to limit downside, the underlying asset class remains volatile technology stocks. |
Investor Profile
Ideal Investor Profile
The ideal investor is someone who wants NASDAQ-100 exposure but seeks a systematic way to protect capital during major bear markets.
Suitability
The fund is best suited for long-term investors who prefer a rules-based, mechanical approach to market timing over passive buy-and-hold strategies.
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Volatility | Medium / high | The fund's exposure to the NASDAQ-100 subjects it to significant price fluctuations. |
| Market risk | Medium / high | The fund is vulnerable to broad market downturns before the trend signal confirms a shift to Treasuries. |
| Concentration | High | The fund is highly concentrated in the technology and growth-oriented stocks of the NASDAQ-100. |
| Tracking/expense | Medium | Higher management fees compared to passive trackers can impact long-term returns. |
| Liquidity | Medium | Trading costs can increase if market liquidity dries up during rapid rebalancing events. |
| Business/sector quality | Medium | The fund's success depends heavily on the performance of the tech-heavy index it tracks. |
Risk Analysis
Volatility
PTNQ exhibits historical volatility consistent with its underlying NASDAQ-100 index, though it may see reduced volatility during sustained market declines due to its Treasury rotation.
Market Risk
The primary market risk is the concentrated exposure to the tech sector; if tech stocks fall significantly before the trend signal is triggered, the fund will experience drawdowns.
What the ETF Owns
| Exposure Type | Exposure | Weight (%) | Retail Investor Read |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market capitalization | NASDAQ-100 Index components | 100 | This represents the core equity exposure to large-cap technology and growth companies when the trend signal is positive. |
| Fixed-income type | U.S. Treasury Bills | The fund rotates into these assets to preserve capital when the NASDAQ-100 Index falls below its 200-day simple moving average. |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type ETF | Historic Profit 19.65% | Avg. Invested days 56 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  4.0 | ETF Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/06/2026 |
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