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Defiance Daily Target 1.5x Short MSTR ETF (SMST)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/24/2025: SMST (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type ETF | Historic Profit 11.58% | Avg. Invested days 31 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | ETF Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Volume (30-day avg) - | Beta - | 52 Weeks Range 22.80 - 2368.00 | Updated Date 06/28/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 22.80 - 2368.00 | Updated Date 06/28/2025 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Defiance Daily Target 1.5x Short MSTR ETF
ETF Overview
Overview
The Defiance Daily Target 1.5x Short MSTR ETF (MSTR) is a leveraged inverse ETF designed to provide 1.5 times the inverse daily performance of MicroStrategy Incorporated (MSTR). Its primary focus is on shorting the cryptocurrency-related stock, specifically targeting the volatility and downward price movements of MSTR. The investment strategy is to achieve its daily objective through the use of derivatives and swaps.
Reputation and Reliability
Defiance ETFs is a relatively newer player in the ETF market, focused on thematic and alternative strategies. While it aims to provide innovative products, its reputation is still developing compared to larger, more established ETF issuers.
Management Expertise
Information on the specific management team's expertise for this particular ETF is not readily available in public profiles, but Defiance ETFs as a whole typically aims to attract talent with experience in financial engineering and derivative strategies.
Investment Objective
Goal
The primary investment goal of the Defiance Daily Target 1.5x Short MSTR ETF is to deliver 1.5 times the inverse daily return of MicroStrategy Incorporated (MSTR). It is designed for short-term trading and speculation on the decline of MSTR's stock price.
Investment Approach and Strategy
Strategy: This ETF does not track a broad index or sector. Instead, it actively seeks to profit from the daily price movements of a single stock, MicroStrategy (MSTR), by taking inverse leveraged positions.
Composition The ETF primarily uses derivative instruments, such as futures contracts, options, and swaps, to achieve its leveraged inverse exposure to MicroStrategy. It does not hold direct ownership of MicroStrategy shares in significant amounts.
Market Position
Market Share: Due to its highly specific and niche nature, the market share of the Defiance Daily Target 1.5x Short MSTR ETF is very small and not readily quantifiable within the broader ETF market. Its focus on a single stock makes it a highly specialized product.
Total Net Assets (AUM): 17883744
Competitors
Key Competitors
- BITO (ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF)
- MSTR (MicroStrategy Incorporated stock itself)
Competitive Landscape
The competitive landscape for this ETF is unusual. Its primary 'competitor' is often considered the underlying asset itself (MSTR stock), or other instruments that offer exposure to Bitcoin or related companies. Products like the ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO) offer a different, non-inverse exposure to the crypto market. The Defiance ETF's advantage lies in its specific, leveraged shorting capability for MSTR, catering to very short-term bearish views. Its disadvantage is its complexity, high risk, and the fact that daily rebalancing can lead to significant tracking errors and losses over longer periods.
Financial Performance
Historical Performance: Historical performance data for leveraged inverse ETFs is highly volatile and often shows significant decay over time due to the daily rebalancing mechanism. This ETF is not designed for long-term buy-and-hold strategies. Specific performance figures are best obtained from real-time financial data providers.
Benchmark Comparison: This ETF's benchmark is essentially the inverse daily performance of MicroStrategy (MSTR) multiplied by 1.5. However, due to the compounding effects of leveraged daily rebalancing, its long-term performance will deviate significantly from even the inverse of MSTR's cumulative return.
Expense Ratio: 0.88
Liquidity
Average Trading Volume
The average trading volume for this ETF is moderate, indicating it is generally liquid enough for short-term trading. The bid-ask spread for this ETF can vary, but it is generally tight enough for active traders.
Bid-Ask Spread
The bid-ask spread for this ETF is typically narrow, allowing for efficient entry and exit for short-term trading. However, this can fluctuate based on market volatility and trading activity.
Market Dynamics
Market Environment Factors
The performance of this ETF is heavily influenced by the price of Bitcoin, MicroStrategy's significant Bitcoin holdings, and the overall sentiment in the technology and cryptocurrency markets. Regulatory news related to cryptocurrencies and MSTR's corporate strategy also play a crucial role. High inflation or interest rate environments can also impact the perceived value of digital assets.
Growth Trajectory
The growth trajectory of this ETF is inherently linked to short-term bearish trends in MicroStrategy stock. Its strategy is dynamic and relies on frequent rebalancing, meaning its holdings and strategy can adapt daily based on market conditions to meet its objective. It is designed for short-term opportunities rather than long-term structural growth.
Moat and Competitive Advantages
Competitive Edge
The primary competitive edge of the Defiance Daily Target 1.5x Short MSTR ETF is its specialized offering: a leveraged inverse daily exposure to a specific, high-profile cryptocurrency-related stock (MSTR). This caters to a niche group of traders looking to profit from short-term declines in MSTR without the complexities of direct short-selling or options trading. Its leverage amplifies potential gains (and losses) for those with a strong conviction on the short-term direction of MSTR.
Risk Analysis
Volatility
This ETF is inherently highly volatile due to its leveraged and inverse nature. Its daily target means it aims for 1.5x the inverse return each day, leading to amplified price swings and potential for rapid losses.
Market Risk
The primary market risk stems from the extreme volatility of MicroStrategy's stock, which is closely tied to the price of Bitcoin. Sudden upward price movements in MSTR, even if short-lived, can lead to significant losses due to the leveraged inverse structure. There is also the risk of significant tracking error over periods longer than one day due to compounding.
Investor Profile
Ideal Investor Profile
The ideal investor for this ETF is an experienced, short-term trader with a strong bearish outlook on MicroStrategy Incorporated (MSTR). This investor understands the risks of leveraged and inverse ETFs, including the potential for significant losses and tracking error over time. They are comfortable with active trading and managing positions on a daily basis.
Market Risk
This ETF is best suited for active traders seeking short-term opportunities to profit from anticipated declines in MicroStrategy's stock price. It is highly unsuitable for long-term investors or passive index followers due to its complex structure, daily rebalancing, and inherent risk of capital erosion.
Summary
The Defiance Daily Target 1.5x Short MSTR ETF (DUMBF) offers leveraged inverse exposure to MicroStrategy (MSTR) stock. It is designed for experienced, short-term traders with a strong bearish outlook on MSTR. The ETF utilizes derivatives to achieve its daily objective, but this strategy can lead to significant tracking error and capital loss over longer holding periods. Its high volatility and niche focus make it unsuitable for long-term investors.
Similar ETFs
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Defiance ETFs Official Website
- Financial Data Providers (e.g., Yahoo Finance, Morningstar - data points are illustrative)
- SEC Filings
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Leveraged and inverse ETFs are complex products that involve a high degree of risk and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Defiance Daily Target 1.5x Short MSTR ETF
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date - | CEO - | ||
Sector - | Industry - | Full time employees - | Website |
Full time employees - | Website | ||
The fund advisor has adopted a policy to have at least 80% of its investment exposure to financial instruments with economic characteristics that should provide 2 times the inverse exposure to the daily performance of the underlying security. The fund is non-diversified.

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