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Defiance Daily Target 1.5x Short MSTR ETF (SMST)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
10/24/2025: SMST (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type ETF | Historic Profit -56.62% | Avg. Invested days 17 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | ETF Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Volume (30-day avg) - | Beta - | 52 Weeks Range 22.80 - 2368.00 | Updated Date 06/28/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 22.80 - 2368.00 | Updated Date 06/28/2025 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Defiance Daily Target 1.5x Short MSTR ETF
ETF Overview
Overview
The Defiance Daily Target 1.5x Short MSTR ETF (MSDD) aims to deliver 1.5 times the inverse (opposite) of the daily performance of MicroStrategy Incorporated (MSTR) stock, allowing investors to potentially profit from a decline in MSTR's share price. It employs a leveraged short strategy specifically targeting the cryptocurrency related holdings of the company.
Reputation and Reliability
Defiance ETFs is a smaller ETF provider known for offering thematic and innovative ETFs, including leveraged and inverse products. They are considered reliable but investors should understand the complexities of their offerings.
Management Expertise
Defiance ETFs has a team with experience in managing thematic and alternative ETFs, including leveraged strategies.
Investment Objective
Goal
To seek daily investment results, before fees and expenses, corresponding to one and one-half times (1.5x) the inverse (opposite) of the daily performance of the common stock of MicroStrategy Incorporated (MSTR).
Investment Approach and Strategy
Strategy: This ETF employs a leveraged inverse strategy, aiming for 1.5x the inverse daily return of MicroStrategy (MSTR) stock through financial instruments such as swaps and futures contracts.
Composition The ETF's assets primarily consist of derivative instruments designed to create the leveraged inverse exposure to MSTR. It doesn't directly hold MSTR shares.
Market Position
Market Share: The ETF holds a small, but significant share of the leveraged inverse single stock market related to MicroStrategy. Accurate, real-time market share data is difficult to obtain due to the niche nature of this product.
Total Net Assets (AUM): 2068789
Competitors
Key Competitors
- None
Competitive Landscape
Since it's designed to be a short on a single company, it has no direct competitors. Other inverse ETFs exist, but they do not target Microstrategy.
Financial Performance
Historical Performance: Due to the leveraged and inverse nature, past performance is highly volatile and path-dependent and may not be indicative of future results. Performance varies with the daily movement of the underlying asset, MSTR.
Benchmark Comparison: The ETF's performance is compared to 1.5 times the inverse of the daily performance of MSTR. Tracking error can occur due to fees, expenses, and the daily rebalancing process inherent in leveraged ETFs.
Expense Ratio: 1.85
Liquidity
Average Trading Volume
The ETF's average trading volume is relatively low, which could affect execution costs.
Bid-Ask Spread
The bid-ask spread can be wider than more liquid ETFs, increasing the cost of trading.
Market Dynamics
Market Environment Factors
The ETF's performance is significantly affected by the price movement of MSTR and overall market sentiment toward Bitcoin, other cryptocurrencies, and high-growth technology stocks.
Growth Trajectory
The growth trajectory depends on the demand for shorting MSTR and investor sentiment toward it. Significant volatility is expected.
Moat and Competitive Advantages
Competitive Edge
The Defiance Daily Target 1.5x Short MSTR ETF's competitive advantage lies in its specialized exposure to the inverse performance of MicroStrategy, a company heavily invested in Bitcoin. The fund is designed to profit from declines in MSTR's share price. However, this specialization is accompanied by high risk, high reward potential, and limited daily target tracking.
Risk Analysis
Volatility
The ETF experiences very high volatility due to the leveraged nature and the volatility of MSTR stock. This makes it an unsuitable investment for long-term investors or those with a low-risk tolerance.
Market Risk
The ETF is exposed to market risk related to MicroStrategy's business, Bitcoin's price fluctuations, and overall market sentiment. It is also exposed to the complexities of leveraged ETFs, including compounding effects, which can lead to unexpected results, especially over extended holding periods.
Investor Profile
Ideal Investor Profile
The ETF is best suited for sophisticated, short-term traders who have a strong understanding of leveraged ETFs and the dynamics of MicroStrategy and the cryptocurrency market. It is not suitable for buy-and-hold investors.
Market Risk
It is best suited for active traders who aim to profit from short-term declines in MSTR's price.
Summary
The Defiance Daily Target 1.5x Short MSTR ETF offers leveraged inverse exposure to MicroStrategy (MSTR) stock, primarily appealing to short-term, sophisticated traders. It is designed to profit from MSTR's price declines and is not appropriate for long-term investors. The ETF's performance is highly volatile and path-dependent, influenced by MSTR's price fluctuations and overall cryptocurrency market sentiment. Investors should be aware of the risks of leveraged ETFs and carefully consider their risk tolerance before investing.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Defiance ETFs website
- ETF.com
- Bloomberg
- SEC Filings
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investing in ETFs involves risk, including the potential loss of principal. Leveraged and inverse ETFs are particularly risky and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Defiance Daily Target 1.5x Short MSTR ETF
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date - | CEO - | ||
Sector - | Industry - | Full time employees - | Website |
Full time employees - | Website | ||
The fund advisor has adopted a policy to have at least 80% of its investment exposure to financial instruments with economic characteristics that should provide 2 times the inverse exposure to the daily performance of the underlying security. The fund is non-diversified.

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