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Upturn AI SWOT - About
United States Gasoline Fund LP (UGA)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
08/14/2025: UGA (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type ETF | Historic Profit -7.74% | Avg. Invested days 58 | Today’s Advisory WEAK BUY |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | ETF Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 08/14/2025 |
Key Highlights
Volume (30-day avg) - | Beta 0.56 | 52 Weeks Range 52.80 - 70.72 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 52.80 - 70.72 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 |
Upturn AI SWOT
United States Gasoline Fund LP
ETF Overview
Overview
The United States Gasoline Fund LP (UGA) is designed to track the daily changes in percentage terms of the spot price of gasoline. It aims to provide investors with exposure to the gasoline market without the need to directly purchase physical gasoline. The fund primarily invests in gasoline futures contracts.
Reputation and Reliability
United States Commodity Funds LLC has a moderate reputation, having issued several commodity-based ETFs, but is known for volatility due to the nature of its products.
Management Expertise
The management team focuses on commodity-based investment products, possessing specialized expertise in futures markets and commodity trading.
Investment Objective
Goal
To track the daily changes in percentage terms of the spot price of gasoline.
Investment Approach and Strategy
Strategy: UGA aims to reflect the price movements of gasoline by investing in futures contracts, mainly near-month NYMEX RBOB gasoline futures.
Composition Primarily RBOB gasoline futures contracts traded on the NYMEX. Holdings may also include cash and other short-term investments.
Market Position
Market Share: UGAu2019s market share varies, but generally represents a significant portion of the gasoline-focused ETF market.
Total Net Assets (AUM): 64930000
Competitors
Key Competitors
- Invesco DB Oil Fund (DBO)
- United States Oil Fund LP (USO)
Competitive Landscape
The gasoline ETF market is relatively concentrated. UGA offers direct exposure to gasoline, while competitors may provide broader exposure to the energy sector. UGA faces contango risks, impacting returns as it rolls futures contracts. Competitors that invest in various petroleum products might offer some diversification but potentially less pure gasoline exposure.
Financial Performance
Historical Performance: Historical performance is highly correlated with gasoline prices, exhibiting significant volatility. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Benchmark Comparison: The benchmark is typically the price of RBOB gasoline futures contracts. UGA's performance can deviate due to costs of rolling futures and market inefficiencies.
Expense Ratio: 0.79
Liquidity
Average Trading Volume
UGA generally exhibits moderate trading volume, which can vary depending on market conditions, averaging hundreds of thousands of shares daily.
Bid-Ask Spread
The bid-ask spread can fluctuate, but is generally moderate, depending on trading volume and market volatility.
Market Dynamics
Market Environment Factors
Gasoline prices are influenced by supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical events, refining capacity, and seasonal factors such as driving season.
Growth Trajectory
Growth trends for UGA are tied to energy market trends and are subject to considerable volatility. No significant changes to strategy or holdings are observed.
Moat and Competitive Advantages
Competitive Edge
UGA's competitive edge lies in its focused exposure to the gasoline market, enabling investors to gain direct exposure to gasoline price movements without the complexities of physical storage. Its strategy is simple and transparent, tracking near-month gasoline futures contracts. The main advantage is the pure exposure and the disadvantage is the volatility from unexpected events and cost from rolling contracts.
Risk Analysis
Volatility
UGA exhibits high volatility due to its exposure to gasoline futures, which can be sensitive to global events and market sentiment.
Market Risk
Market risk includes exposure to fluctuations in gasoline prices, contango effect in futures markets, and geopolitical risks affecting oil production and refining.
Investor Profile
Ideal Investor Profile
The ideal investor is one who seeks short-term exposure to gasoline price fluctuations and understands the risks associated with commodity futures. It's suited for investors who want to trade on expectations of gasoline price movements rather than long-term commodity exposure.
Market Risk
UGA is best suited for active traders who have a higher risk tolerance and short-term investment horizon. It is not appropriate for long-term buy-and-hold investors.
Summary
United States Gasoline Fund LP (UGA) offers direct exposure to gasoline prices through futures contracts, making it suitable for active traders seeking short-term gains. Its performance is highly volatile and subject to market risks, including the contango effect. While providing targeted exposure, it carries significant risks and is not recommended for long-term investors. The fund's success hinges on accurately predicting gasoline price movements, which is a complex and challenging task.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- USCF website
- Yahoo Finance
- Bloomberg
Disclaimers:
The data and analysis provided are for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investments in commodity-based ETFs involve significant risks.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About United States Gasoline Fund LP
Exchange NYSE ARCA | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date - | CEO - | ||
Sector - | Industry - | Full time employees - | Website |
Full time employees - | Website | ||
The fund invests in futures contracts for gasoline, other types of gasoline, crude oil, diesel-heating oil, natural gas and other petroleum-based fuels. The Benchmark Futures Contract is the futures contract on gasoline as traded on the New York Mercantile Exchange that is the near month contract to expire, except when the near month contract is within two weeks of expiration, in which case it will be measured by the futures contract that is the next month contract to expire.
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