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Upturn AI Summary - About
Accel Entertainment Inc(ACEL)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for ACEL
09/25/2026: ACEL (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Accel Entertainment is a significant distributed gaming operator in the US, primarily known for installing and managing slot machines in bars and restaurants. Its core strength lies in a data-driven approach and a widespread network of partner establishments that create recurring revenue. The company's main growth opportunity is expanding its footprint into new states as regulations evolve. However, it faces notable risks, including legislative sensitivity, geographic revenue concentration in Illinois, and potential competition from digital gaming alternatives. The stock is best suited for growth-oriented investors who can tolerate regulatory and volatility-related risks; key developments to monitor include state-level legislative changes and the successful integration of new acquisitions.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit | Accel fits this profile due to its consistent expansion into new states and high-margin recurring revenue model. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | This is a conditional fit based on positive technical signals and sector-wide bullish trends. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | The valuation often depends on regulatory risk perceptions, making it an attractive play for those who believe those risks are priced in. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | Accel does not pay a dividend, making it unsuitable for income-focused portfolios. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High regulatory sensitivity and small-cap volatility make this a risky choice for conservative investors. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium / high | The stock is susceptible to swings based on legislative news and broader small-cap market sentiment. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Growth expectations are often tied to regulatory catalysts that are inherently uncertain. |
| Competition risk (distributed gaming) | Medium | Local regional operators constantly compete for the same lucrative establishment contracts. |
| Business quality | Medium / high | The business has strong recurring revenue characteristics but is geographically concentrated. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | The company retains all earnings for growth, providing zero immediate cash yield. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Integrating new acquisitions and entering new states requires complex regulatory compliance. |
Price Behavior
Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -13.64% | Avg. Invested days 49 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 09/25/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 898.81M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 16.52 | 1Y Target Price 15.57 |
Price to earnings Ratio 16.52 | 1Y Target Price 15.57 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 302.3K shares | Beta 1.01 | 52 Weeks Range 9.55 - 14.00 | Updated Date 09/27/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 9.55 - 14.00 | Updated Date 09/27/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.67 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Distributed Gaming | Revenue sharing from VGTs and skill-based games in partner locations. | The company keeps a portion of the profits generated by every game played on their machines. |
| Geography: Illinois | Primary revenue hub and source of core operational cash flow. | Investors should note that a significant portion of earnings is tied to one state's gaming laws. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 16.52 | Forward PE 16.05 | Enterprise Value 1.22B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.65 |
Enterprise Value 1.22B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.65 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.88 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 6.28 | Shares Outstanding 81.19M | Shares Floating 43.76M |
Shares Outstanding 81.19M | Shares Floating 43.76M | ||
Percent Insiders 14.12 | Percent Institutions 77.03 |
Upturn AI Summary
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
About Accel Entertainment Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquarters Burr Ridge, IL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2019-11-21 | Executive Strategic Advisor to CEO Mr. Michael Pappas | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Gambling | Full time employees 1600 | |
Full time employees 1600 | |||
Accel Entertainment, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a distributed gaming operator in the United States. It engages in the installation, maintenance, and operation of gaming terminals; redemption devices that disburse winnings and contain automated teller machine (ATM) functionality; and other amusement devices in authorized non-casino locations, such as restaurants, bars, taverns, convenience stores, liquor stores, truck stops, and grocery stores. The company also designs and manufactures gaming terminals and related equipment, as well as offers turnkey and full-service gaming solutions to bars, restaurants, convenience stores, truck stops, and fraternal and veteran establishments. In addition, it operates stand-alone ATMs in gaming and non-gaming locations, as well as amusement devices, including jukeboxes, dartboards, pool tables, and other entertainment related equipment; and develops brick-and-mortar casinos that serve local gaming markets and horse racing venues. Accel Entertainment, Inc. is headquartered in Burr Ridge, Illinois.
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