Agree Realty Corporation logo

Agree Realty Corporation(ADC)

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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$67.18
09/24/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for ADC

09/24/2026: ADC (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Agree Realty Corporation is a specialized REIT known for its high-quality portfolio of net-leased retail properties, typically occupied by leading national retailers. The company's primary strength lies in its disciplined capital allocation, strong balance sheet, and a growing concentration of investment-grade tenants. Its core investment story centers on capturing long-term, inflation-protected rent growth while expanding its defensive ground lease platform. Primary risks involve interest rate volatility and potential retail industry disruption from e-commerce trends. The stock is best suited for dividend-focused and value-oriented investors seeking reliable, risk-adjusted income, and market participants should monitor the company's acquisition pipeline and interest rate environment as key developments.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitWhile the company grows, it is fundamentally a yield-focused income vehicle rather than a high-growth play.
Momentum investorWeak fitThe stock tends to move based on interest rate cycles and dividend yield, not speculative momentum.
Value investorStrong fitThe company offers a stable, well-managed real estate portfolio often trading at reasonable valuations relative to historical averages.
Dividend investorStrong fitAgree Realty provides consistent, reliable dividend income backed by long-term leases.
Low-risk investorStrong fitThe portfolio's high-quality tenant base and net-lease structure mitigate many operational risks.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityMediumThe share price is often sensitive to broader interest rate movements.
Valuation riskMediumREIT valuations can fluctuate based on cap rate compression or expansion.
Competition risk (Retail REIT landscape)Medium / highThe company competes with massive entities for high-quality, net-lease assets.
Business qualityStrongThe high percentage of investment-grade tenants provides a defensive moat.
Dividend incomeLowThe dividend is considered stable due to the predictable nature of long-term net leases.
Execution riskLowManagement has a long track record of disciplined capital allocation.

Price Behavior

Rolling Over
PRICE PATH

Rolling Over

The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.

Very Smooth
PRICE STABILITY

Very Smooth

The stock has followed a highly orderly price path with minimal short-term disruption.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 6.64%
Avg. Invested days 53
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 2.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 09/24/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
ADC receives a 4-star rating, supported by strong unit economics, solid company fundamentals, and strong analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
ADC has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with solid financial health, solid growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, moderate earnings growth (+8.0%) and strong cash generation (FCF margin 70.2%) are partially offset by modest insider ownership of 1.77%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
ADC's financial health is supported by strong profitability, including gross margin of 87.7% and operating margin of 47.4%. Liquidity is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is ADC's strongest growth driver at +16.7% FY2025 versus FY2024 (solid, 4 stars). Revenue growth (+16.4%, solid) and earnings growth (+8.0%, moderate) are also constructive, though not equally high across every growth measure.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 117.7% and approximately 98.0% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 1.77% provides only moderate management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 14.38%
Cohen & Steers Inc 13.19%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 8.25%
State Street Corp 4.80%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 4.30%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
ADC generates approximately $877 of gross profit, $474 of operating income, and $702 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Strong cash conversion and healthy margins support the rating, although capital efficiency remains below the highest tier.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 0.84%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
ADC has a liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while valuation that is moderately attractive rather than deeply discounted.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Low VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 8.37B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 36.28
1Y Target Price 84.17
Price to earnings Ratio 36.28
1Y Target Price 84.17
Volume (30-day avg) 1.6M shares
Beta 0.46
52 Weeks Range 66.50 - 81.22
Updated Date 09/24/2026
52 Weeks Range 66.50 - 81.22
Updated Date 09/24/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 4.67%
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.85

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Rental RevenueIncome from long-term net leases with national and regional retail tenants.Most of the company's money comes from predictable rent collected from big-name retailers.
GeographyDiversified US-wide retail properties.The company is not reliant on any single local economy, reducing regional risk.
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Valuation

Trailing PE 36.28
Forward PE 35.09
Enterprise Value 12.43B
Price to Sales(TTM) 10.74
Enterprise Value 12.43B
Price to Sales(TTM) 10.74
Enterprise Value to Revenue 15.94
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 18.37
Shares Outstanding 124.38M
Shares Floating 121.84M
Shares Outstanding 124.38M
Shares Floating 121.84M
Percent Insiders 1.77
Percent Institutions 117.75

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI Summary

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Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About Agree Realty Corporation

Exchange NYSE
Headquarters Royal Oak, MI, United States
IPO Launch date 1994-04-15
President, CEO & Director Mr. Joel N. Agree J.D.
Sector Real Estate
Industry REIT - Retail
Full time employees 90
Full time employees 90

Agree Realty Corporation is a publicly traded real estate investment trust. The Firm is Rethinking Retail through the acquisition and development of properties net leased to industry-leading, omni-channel retail tenants. As of June 30, 2026, the Company owned and operated a portfolio of 2,825 properties, located in all 50 states and containing approximately 59.6 million square feet of gross leasable area. Agree Realty Corporation was incorporated in 1971 and is based in Royal Oak, United States.