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Upturn AI Summary - About
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company(ADM)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for ADM
11/06/2026: ADM (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company is a foundational player in global agricultural processing, connecting farm production to food and energy markets. The company's primary strength lies in its extensive, integrated logistics network and its successful strategic pivot toward higher-margin human and animal nutrition products. Growth is driven by these value-added segments and increasing demand for renewable biofuels. Investors should monitor commodity price volatility, climate-related crop risks, and global trade dynamics as key headwinds. ADM may best suit value and dividend-focused investors seeking long-term exposure to the agricultural sector, provided they understand the cyclical nature and execution risks inherent in such a capital-intensive, global business model.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The company offers moderate growth potential through nutrition and renewable energy but is limited by the cyclical, low-margin nature of its core commodity business. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | ADM stock often tracks broad agricultural cycles; momentum strategies require positive price trends driven by agricultural demand spikes. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | ADM often trades at moderate multiples relative to earnings, appealing to value investors looking for a stable, asset-heavy industrial player. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | ADM has a long history of reliable, consistent dividend growth and provides a steady income stream for long-term investors. |
| Low-risk investor | Mixed fit | While established and essential, ADM is subject to significant commodity price and global trade risks that can drive stock volatility. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Commodity market price swings directly impact ADM's crush margins and overall profitability. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | The stock is sensitive to macro-economic shifts and interest rate environments affecting commodity trading demand. |
| Competition risk (commodity processing) | Medium | The global nature of the commodity trade involves intense competition from entities like Cargill and Bunge. |
| Business quality | Strong | ADM maintains a massive, difficult-to-replicate infrastructure that serves as a critical link in the global food supply chain. |
| Dividend income | Low | The dividend is well-supported by long-term operating cash flows, reducing income-related risk for shareholders. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Operational success depends on managing complex global supply chains and regulatory compliance across diverse jurisdictions. |
Price Behavior
Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.
Smooth
The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 4.38% | Avg. Invested days 50 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/06/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 33.30B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 13.67 | 1Y Target Price 80.3 |
Price to earnings Ratio 13.67 | 1Y Target Price 80.3 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3.2M shares | Beta 0.61 | 52 Weeks Range 54.00 - 88.75 | Updated Date 11/07/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 54.00 - 88.75 | Updated Date 11/07/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.94% | Basic EPS (TTM) 5.12 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Ag Services & Oilseeds | Grain origination, transportation, and crushing of oilseeds. | This is the core, volume-driven engine of the company that handles the global movement of crops. |
| Carbohydrate Solutions | Processing corn and wheat into sweeteners, starches, and ethanol. | This segment links agriculture to food production and the biofuels energy market. |
| Nutrition | Specialty ingredients, flavors, and animal/pet nutrition products. | This is the higher-margin, value-added part of the business that differentiates ADM from standard traders. |
| Geography | Global operations with significant exposure to North America, South America, and Europe. | ADM's success is tied to global export demand and agricultural production cycles across major continental markets. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-11-03 | When Before Market | Estimate 1.63 | Actual 1.77 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 2.95% | Operating Margin (TTM) 4.21% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.85% | Return on Equity (TTM) 10.64% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 13.67 | Forward PE 12.92 | Enterprise Value 42.84B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.4 |
Enterprise Value 42.84B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.4 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.51 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.04 | Shares Outstanding 475.92M | Shares Floating 471.85M |
Shares Outstanding 475.92M | Shares Floating 471.85M | ||
Percent Insiders 0.72 | Percent Institutions 90.62 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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