Aeva Technologies, Inc. Common Stock logo

Aeva Technologies, Inc. Common Stock(AEVA)

upturn advisory logo
EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$10.58
11/13/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for AEVA

11/13/2026: AEVA (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Aeva Technologies is a specialized developer of 4D LiDAR sensors utilizing unique Frequency Modulated Continuous Wave technology. The company's primary strength lies in its superior perception capabilities, including instant velocity detection, which offers a clear differentiation in the autonomous vehicle market. Its growth story is built on securing production-volume automotive design wins, particularly with its Atlas sensor platform. However, the company faces significant execution and financial risks, including heavy cash burn and the challenges of the lengthy automotive sales cycle. It is best suited for high-risk growth investors who should closely monitor production milestones and partnerships with major automotive manufacturers.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitAeva offers high growth potential in autonomous technology but faces substantial execution and adoption risks.
Momentum investorWeak fitMomentum is generally tied to positive catalysts and consistent revenue growth, which remains challenging for this stage of the company.
Value investorWeak fitThe company is not currently profitable, making traditional valuation metrics inapplicable.
Dividend investorWeak fitAeva does not pay a dividend and focuses all capital on growth.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe company operates in a highly volatile sector with significant speculative risk.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighAs a speculative growth stock, the share price is subject to large swings based on sector sentiment and funding news.
Valuation riskHighFuture growth expectations are highly priced in, leaving little room for error in meeting production milestones.
Competition risk (LiDAR Technology)HighThe intense competition between various LiDAR approaches threatens long-term market dominance for any single player.
Business qualityMediumWhile the technology is innovative, the company is still establishing its commercial footprint.
Dividend incomeLow / noneInvestors should not expect any income from this stock.
Execution riskHighSuccessfully transitioning from prototype to high-volume automotive production is a notoriously difficult task.

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 824.78M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 24.8
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 24.8
Volume (30-day avg) 1.8M shares
Beta 2.6
52 Weeks Range 8.26 - 31.30
Updated Date 11/13/2026
52 Weeks Range 8.26 - 31.30
Updated Date 11/13/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -2.08

Sector & Industry Intelligence

Sector

Technology

Caution
Sentiment
Near Bearish
Momentum
Rapid Breadth Deterioration
BUY participation
30.1%
Active BUY / eligible
37 / 123
30-Day BUY Count Change
-42
Market state
Weak Bullish / Near Bearish

BUY participation is falling rapidly, suggesting elevated market vulnerability.

Industry

Software - Infrastructure

BUY participation
50.0%
Active BUY / eligible
14 / 28
30-Day BUY Count Change
-8

Sector signal summarizes BUY breadth conditions for the sector. It does not override this stock’s BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory.

Price Behavior

Downtrend
PRICE PATH

Downtrend

The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.

Extreme Price Shocks
PRICE STABILITY

Extreme Price Shocks

The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 67.3%
Avg. Invested days 17
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 11/13/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
AEVA receives a 2-star rating, supported by solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, soft quantitative characteristics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
AEVA has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with soft financial health, solid growth momentum, and strong ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, moderate earnings growth (+4.5%) and strong revenue growth (+99.4%) are partially offset by weak cash generation (FCF margin -662.0%), weak profitability (net margin -804.4%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
AEVA's financial health is soft, with the relatively strongest area being moderate liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 65.5%). Operating efficiency is weak (1 stars), which helps explain the 2-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Revenue growth is AEVA's strongest growth driver at +99.4% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, while earnings growth (+4.5%, moderate) and free-cash-flow growth (-6.8%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 70.7% and approximately 59.6% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 17.39% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Sylebra Capital LLC 23.28%
Canaan Partners XI LLC 5.16%
BlackRock Inc 3.44%
Think Investments LP 2.37%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 2.23%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
AEVA generates approximately $-37 of gross profit, $-7,058 of operating income, and $-6,620 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Operating losses and cash burn explain the 1-star rating, with weak cash conversion and weak capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: -0.21% (Tax Credit)

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
AEVA has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while soft valuation.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

High VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Automotive LiDARDirect sales and development contracts for Atlas and Core sensors to automotive OEMs.The company earns money by convincing car companies to build its sensors into their vehicles.
Industrial AutomationSensors sold for specialized industrial and robotics applications.Selling technology for use in factories and automated machinery.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 778.43M
Price to Sales(TTM) 33.41
Enterprise Value 778.43M
Price to Sales(TTM) 33.41
Enterprise Value to Revenue 34.5
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -0.08
Shares Outstanding 69.90M
Shares Floating 41.66M
Shares Outstanding 69.90M
Shares Floating 41.66M
Percent Insiders 17.39
Percent Institutions 70.73

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.