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AGNC Investment Corp (AGNCL)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/24/2025: AGNCL (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 17.75% | Avg. Invested days 61 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size ETF | Market Capitalization 0 USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price - |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price - | ||
Volume (30-day avg) - | Beta 1.28 | 52 Weeks Range 22.10 - 26.10 | Updated Date 06/28/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 22.10 - 26.10 | Updated Date 06/28/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 7.74% | Basic EPS (TTM) - |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 80.48% | Operating Margin (TTM) 64.1% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.56% | Return on Equity (TTM) 5.05% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 75286994944 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value 75286994944 | Price to Sales(TTM) - | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding - | Shares Floating 1013294001 |
Shares Outstanding - | Shares Floating 1013294001 | ||
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions - |
Upturn AI SWOT
AGNC Investment Corp
Company Overview
History and Background
AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) was founded in 2008 and is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that invests in agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS) and other related assets. It is externally managed by American Capital Management, LLC. AGNC has evolved to focus on generating distributable earnings through a portfolio of agency MBS, aiming to provide attractive dividends to its shareholders.
Core Business Areas
- Agency Mortgage-Backed Securities: AGNC's primary business involves investing in residential mortgage loans that are guaranteed by government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. These securities are often referred to as 'agency MBS'.
- Other Investments: The company also invests in other asset classes, including credit risk transfer (CRT) securities, actively managed portfolio, and structured agency RMBS.
Leadership and Structure
AGNC Investment Corp. is externally managed by American Capital Management, LLC. The leadership team is comprised of experienced professionals in finance and mortgage-backed securities. Key executives include the Chief Executive Officer, Chief Financial Officer, and Chief Operating Officer. The company operates as a REIT, which has specific corporate governance requirements.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Agency Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS): AGNC's core offering is its portfolio of agency MBS. These securities provide a relatively stable income stream backed by government guarantees, reducing credit risk. Competitors include other REITs specializing in MBS and large financial institutions with significant fixed-income portfolios. Market share data for specific MBS portfolios is not publicly disclosed in a granular way, but AGNC is a significant player in the agency MBS market.
- Credit Risk Transfer (CRT) Securities: These are more complex securities that allow investors to take on a portion of the credit risk of a pool of mortgages in exchange for enhanced yield. Competitors include other REITs and specialized credit funds. The market for CRT securities is developing, and AGNC aims to be a leading investor.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The mortgage-backed securities market, particularly the agency MBS segment, is influenced by interest rate environments, Federal Reserve monetary policy, and housing market conditions. The market is large and highly liquid, but sensitive to macroeconomic factors. The REIT industry, in general, is subject to regulatory changes and investor sentiment towards income-generating assets.
Positioning
AGNC is positioned as a leading REIT focused on agency MBS. Its competitive advantages include its scale, experienced management team, and established relationships within the financial markets. Its ability to navigate interest rate volatility and manage its portfolio effectively is key to its positioning.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for agency MBS is vast, encompassing trillions of dollars in outstanding mortgage debt. AGNC operates within a significant portion of this market, focusing on securities with government guarantees. The company's positioning is strong within its niche, aiming to capture yield from these guaranteed assets.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Significant scale and expertise in agency MBS.
- Strong relationships with GSEs and financial institutions.
- Experienced management team with a focus on income generation.
- Established dividend history, attractive to income-seeking investors.
Weaknesses
- Sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations.
- Reliance on leverage to enhance returns, which can amplify losses.
- External management structure, which may not align perfectly with shareholder interests at all times.
- Concentration risk within the agency MBS sector.
Opportunities
- Potential for spread widening in MBS markets.
- Expansion into related credit-sensitive assets.
- Leveraging technology to optimize portfolio management.
- Favorable interest rate environments that benefit MBS.
Threats
- Rising interest rates that decrease the value of existing MBS.
- Changes in Federal Reserve policy and MBS purchase programs.
- Economic downturns impacting the housing market.
- Increased competition from other REITs and fixed-income investors.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Annaly Capital Management, Inc. (NLY)
- Chimera Investment Corporation (CIM)
- ARRW Acquisition Corporation (ARRW) - Note: ARRW is a SPAC, may not be a direct competitor in all aspects but operates in financial markets.
- Two Harbors Investment Corp. (TWO)
Competitive Landscape
AGNC competes with other mortgage REITs that invest in similar asset classes. Its advantages lie in its scale and established track record. Disadvantages can arise from its significant leverage and sensitivity to interest rate movements, which competitors may manage differently.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: AGNC's growth has been largely driven by its ability to acquire MBS and manage its portfolio to generate distributable income. Growth has been influenced by market conditions and its leverage strategy.
Future Projections: Future growth projections would depend on the future interest rate environment, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, and AGNC's ability to adapt its portfolio. Analyst estimates often focus on future distributable earnings and dividend sustainability.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives might include portfolio adjustments to mitigate interest rate risk, exploring new investment strategies, and optimizing capital structure to support dividend payments.
Summary
AGNC Investment Corp. is a prominent player in the agency mortgage-backed securities market, known for its consistent dividend payouts. Its strengths lie in its scale and management expertise, but it faces significant threats from interest rate volatility and leverage-related risks. The company's future performance is heavily dependent on the macroeconomic environment and its ability to effectively manage its portfolio amidst fluctuating rates.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- AGNC Investment Corp. Investor Relations
- Financial news and analysis websites (e.g., Yahoo Finance, Bloomberg, Seeking Alpha)
- Industry reports on REITs and mortgage-backed securities.
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Investment decisions should be made in consultation with a qualified financial advisor. Market share data and competitor rankings are estimates and may vary depending on the methodology used.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About AGNC Investment Corp
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Bethesda, MD, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2022-09-08 | President, CEO & Director and Chief Investment Officer Mr. Peter J. Federico | ||
Sector Real Estate | Industry REIT - Mortgage | Full time employees 53 | Website https://agnc.com |
Full time employees 53 | Website https://agnc.com | ||
AGNC Investment Corp. provides private capital to housing market in the United States. The company invests in residential mortgage pass-through securities and collateralized mortgage obligations for which the principal and interest payments are guaranteed by the United States government-sponsored enterprise or by the United States government agency. It qualifies as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes. The company generally would not be subject to federal or state corporate income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. The company was formerly known as American Capital Agency Corp. and changed its name to AGNC Investment Corp. in September 2016. AGNC Investment Corp. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.

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