Argan Inc logo

Argan Inc(AGX)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$355.44
10/19/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for AGX

10/19/2026: AGX (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Argan Inc is an engineering and construction company known for its focus on power generation infrastructure. The company distinguishes itself with a clean, cash-rich balance sheet, which provides financial stability and supports regular shareholder dividends. Its primary growth story revolves around the long-term energy transition and the increasing demand for grid infrastructure to support data centers. However, investors must monitor risks related to project execution, revenue concentration among few large clients, and the cyclical nature of energy construction. Argan serves as a suitable candidate for value-oriented and income-focused investors who prioritize financial discipline and look for exposure to the foundational energy sector.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitArgan offers moderate growth potential tied to energy infrastructure cycles rather than hyper-growth.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveThe stock can exhibit momentum during periods of significant project backlog announcements.
Value investorStrong fitArgan's strong cash position and disciplined balance sheet often appeal to value-oriented investors.
Dividend investorStrong fitThe company provides a reliable dividend supported by a healthy cash-rich balance sheet.
Low-risk investorMixed fitWhile the balance sheet is strong, project-based earnings create moderate price volatility.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityMediumThe stock price is sensitive to project announcements and the cyclical nature of energy construction.
Valuation riskLowThe company's significant cash reserves provide a floor for valuation.
Competition riskMedium / highStrong competitors like Quanta and MasTec possess larger resources for massive national projects.
Business qualityStrongArgan is recognized for technical expertise and a very clean balance sheet.
Dividend incomeMediumDividends are generally stable but tied to cash flow availability.
Execution riskMedium / highComplex engineering projects are prone to cost overruns and delays.

Price Behavior

Rolling Over
PRICE PATH

Rolling Over

The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.

Extreme Price Shocks
PRICE STABILITY

Extreme Price Shocks

The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 93.79%
Avg. Invested days 30
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 4.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/19/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
AGX receives a 4-star rating, supported by solid unit economics, solid company fundamentals, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
AGX has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with solid financial health, solid growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2026 versus FY2025, strong earnings growth (+61.2%) and strong cash generation (FCF margin 43.5%) are partially offset by moderate revenue growth (+8.1%), modest insider ownership of 4.11%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
AGX's financial health is supported by strong liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 35.5%). Profitability is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is AGX's strongest growth driver at +155.2% FY2026 versus FY2025 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, earnings growth (+61.2%, strong) is also strong, while revenue growth (+8.1%, moderate) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 112.1% and approximately 98.2% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 4.11% provides only moderate management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 15.75%
Goss Wealth Management LLC 10.69%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 5.55%
First Trust Advisors L.P. 5.38%
Renaissance Technologies Corp 4.62%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
AGX generates approximately $205 of gross profit, $143 of operating income, and $435 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2026 results. Moderate margins, cash conversion, and capital efficiency support the rating.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 14.16%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
AGX has a high-quality, liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while valuation that is moderately attractive rather than deeply discounted.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Quality TiltLow VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 4.85B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 27.32
1Y Target Price 570.5
Price to earnings Ratio 27.32
1Y Target Price 570.5
Volume (30-day avg) 393.2K shares
Beta 0.55
52 Weeks Range 256.40 - 805.09
Updated Date 10/18/2026
52 Weeks Range 256.40 - 805.09
Updated Date 10/18/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 0.54%
Basic EPS (TTM) 12.65

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Power ServicesEngineering, procurement, and construction of power plants.The company makes money by building the complex power plants that keep the lights on.
Industrial ServicesMaintenance, telecommunications, and industrial infrastructure support.This provides steadier, recurring revenue through long-term maintenance contracts.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 27.32
Forward PE 16.61
Enterprise Value 4.24B
Price to Sales(TTM) 4.08
Enterprise Value 4.24B
Price to Sales(TTM) 4.08
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.56
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 22.14
Shares Outstanding 14.03M
Shares Floating 13.78M
Shares Outstanding 14.03M
Shares Floating 13.78M
Percent Insiders 4.11
Percent Institutions 112.13

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.