Home 
Today's Top Picks 
Top Performers 
Watchlist 
My Robo Portfolios 
ETF Zone 
How It Works 
News - Chart
- Upturn Summary
- Highlights
- Valuation
Upturn AI Summary - About
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA(AMBP)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for AMBP
11/06/2026: AMBP (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA is a specialized provider of infinitely recyclable metal beverage cans, operating as a pure-play entity within the global packaging industry. The company has a leading position in the beverage can market and benefits from the long-term trend of brands transitioning toward sustainable packaging. Its primary investment story centers on capturing demand in high-growth segments like energy and craft drinks. However, the company carries significant debt, and investors face risks related to intense competition from larger peers and raw material cost volatility. The stock may suit investors seeking exposure to sustainable consumer themes, provided they can tolerate the company's leveraged balance sheet and cyclical nature.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The company offers exposure to the sustainable packaging trend, but growth has moderated from initial post-IPO levels. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | The stock has not demonstrated the consistent upward technical momentum required for this style. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | Valuation may be attractive to some, but the high debt levels require careful assessment of intrinsic value. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not prioritize regular, significant dividend distributions at this stage of its lifecycle. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The company's leverage and cyclical nature make it unsuitable for highly risk-averse investors. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium / high | The stock is susceptible to fluctuations based on commodity costs and investor sentiment toward cyclical stocks. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Market pricing depends heavily on the company's ability to deleverage effectively. |
| Competition risk (Metal Packaging) | High | The company faces intense competition from much larger, well-capitalized global rivals. |
| Business quality | Medium | While the product is essential, the business is capital-intensive with limited pricing power in some segments. |
| Dividend income | Low | Income-focused investors should not rely on AMBP for significant dividend yield. |
| Execution risk | Medium / high | The ability to manage operating costs during inflationary periods is critical for performance. |
Price Behavior
Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.
Smooth
The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 10.45% | Avg. Invested days 42 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  4.0 | Stock Returns Performance  2.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/06/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.82B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 59 | 1Y Target Price 5.08 |
Price to earnings Ratio 59 | 1Y Target Price 5.08 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 2.0M shares | Beta 0.53 | 52 Weeks Range 3.09 - 5.36 | Updated Date 11/08/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 3.09 - 5.36 | Updated Date 11/08/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 8.40% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.08 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Beverage Cans | Manufacturing and sale of metal cans for beer, soft drinks, and energy drinks. | The company makes money by selling high volumes of recyclable cans to big drink brands. |
| Geography (Global) | Operations spanning Americas and Europe. | Revenues are spread across major developed markets, diversifying regional risk. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-10-22 | When Before Market | Estimate 0.08 | Actual 0.08 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 0.93% | Operating Margin (TTM) 6.79% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.86% | Return on Equity (TTM) -63.58% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 59 | Forward PE 15.72 | Enterprise Value 6.93B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.45 |
Enterprise Value 6.93B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.45 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.11 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.58 | Shares Outstanding 597.70M | Shares Floating 142.56M |
Shares Outstanding 597.70M | Shares Floating 142.56M | ||
Percent Insiders 76.11 | Percent Institutions 21.55 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
Note: This website is maintained by Upturn Corporation, which is an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Such registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Investing in securities has risks. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. No assurance is provided as to any particular investment return, and you may lose money using our services. You are strongly advised to consult appropriate counsel before making any investments in companies you learn about through our services. You should obtain appropriate legal, tax, investment, accounting, and other advice that takes into account your investment portfolio and overall financial situation. You are solely responsible for conducting due diligence on a potential investment. We do not affect trades for you. You will select your own broker through which to transact. Investments are not FDIC insured, they are not guaranteed, and they may lose value. Please see the Privacy Policy, Terms of Use, and Disclosure for more information.
All company names, trademarks, logos, and brands are the property of their respective owners and are used for identification and informational purposes only. Use of these names, trademarks, and logos does not imply endorsement by their respective owners.