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Upturn AI Summary - About
Api Group Corp(APG)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for APG
11/06/2026: APG (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
APi Group is a prominent provider of safety and specialty services, largely focused on fire protection and life safety. The company has a leading position in North America and has built a resilient business model supported by recurring inspection and maintenance contracts. Its primary investment story centers on consolidating a fragmented industry through strategic acquisitions, such as Chubb, while improving operational margins. Key risks include its debt burden, integration challenges, and the cyclical nature of industrial spending. APi Group may suit growth-oriented investors looking for exposure to essential building services, though it currently does not pay a dividend and requires close monitoring of its deleveraging progress.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit | The company offers consistent top-line growth through its recurring service model and strategic acquisitions. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | The stock has shown steady performance, but price trends depend on ongoing execution of margin-expansion initiatives. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | Valuation is often tied to the success of its integration strategy and its ability to manage debt levels. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not currently pay a dividend, prioritizing capital for growth and debt reduction. |
| Low-risk investor | Mixed fit | The company's focus on essential, non-discretionary services reduces risk, though its M&A-heavy strategy adds complexity. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium | The stock can be sensitive to broader economic cycles and interest rate changes impacting construction. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Market expectations for continued successful M&A integration must be met to justify premium valuation. |
| Competition risk | Medium | Intense competition in fire and specialty services requires constant focus on service quality and pricing. |
| Business quality | Medium / high | A high proportion of recurring service revenue provides a quality base for earnings. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | Investors seeking immediate income will not find a dividend-paying stock here. |
| Execution risk | Medium / high | Integrating diverse, decentralized subsidiaries remains a critical component of the company's long-term success. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 12.16% | Avg. Invested days 40 | Today’s Advisory WEAK BUY |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  2.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/06/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 17.38B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 55.18 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 55.18 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3.2M shares | Beta 1.58 | 52 Weeks Range 35.57 - 49.99 | Updated Date 11/08/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 35.57 - 49.99 | Updated Date 11/08/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.57 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Safety Services | Fire protection, inspection, and life safety systems. | The company generates stable revenue by providing mandatory, recurring safety inspections and maintenance. |
| Specialty Services | HVAC, electrical, and industrial infrastructure services. | Revenue comes from specialized industrial contracting projects that are essential for client operations. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-10-29 | When Before Market | Estimate 0.47 | Actual 0.5 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 4.12% | Operating Margin (TTM) 9.28% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 5.2% | Return on Equity (TTM) 10.85% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 19.76 | Enterprise Value 20.90B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.95 |
Enterprise Value 20.90B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.95 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.35 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 20.94 | Shares Outstanding 425.26M | Shares Floating 348.79M |
Shares Outstanding 425.26M | Shares Floating 348.79M | ||
Percent Insiders 12.18 | Percent Institutions 88.48 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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