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Upturn AI Summary - About
Aris Mining Corporation(ARIS)
Top performer 
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for ARIS
10/09/2026: ARIS (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Aris Mining Corporation is a mid-tier gold producer with high-grade underground operations primarily in Colombia. The company’s primary strength lies in its established infrastructure and experienced leadership team, which is focused on scaling production through development projects like the Marmato Lower Mine. Its main growth opportunity centers on increasing output from its high-grade assets to benefit from current market gold trends. Risks include geographic concentration in a single country, inherent underground mining complexities, and capital-intensive development timelines. The stock may best suit growth-oriented investors interested in gold producers with expansion potential, though investors should monitor permitting updates and production milestones closely.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit | The company is actively investing in expanding production capacity at its key mining projects. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Fit is conditional on a positive trend in gold prices and successful project execution milestones. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | Valuation depends on long-term reserve replacement and the success of current development projects. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company prioritizes capital expenditure for growth over consistent dividend distributions. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | Gold mining entails inherent geological, operational, and jurisdictional risks. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Gold price fluctuations directly impact the profitability and cash flow of the mining business. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Valuation depends on successful execution of projects like the Marmato expansion. |
| Competition risk (gold mining) | Medium | The company faces competition for quality assets and human capital from larger global miners. |
| Business quality | Medium | Operational success relies on sustaining high-grade output from specific underground mines. |
| Dividend income | Low | Income investors should not expect significant regular dividends given the current growth focus. |
| Execution risk | Medium / high | Delays in development or permitting could materially impact growth projections and financial performance. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 443.86% | Avg. Invested days 71 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  4.0 | Stock Returns Performance  5.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/09/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.46B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 12.06 | 1Y Target Price 37 |
Price to earnings Ratio 12.06 | 1Y Target Price 37 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.6M shares | Beta 2.08 | 52 Weeks Range 8.75 - 23.29 | Updated Date 10/09/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 8.75 - 23.29 | Updated Date 10/09/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.39 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Gold Mining (Colombia) | Production and sale of gold from Segovia and Marmato operations. | The company earns money by extracting and selling gold; profitability depends on production costs versus the market price of gold. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 12.06 | Forward PE 6.05 | Enterprise Value 3.98B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.73 |
Enterprise Value 3.98B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.73 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.14 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 6.93 | Shares Outstanding 206.43M | Shares Floating 201.85M |
Shares Outstanding 206.43M | Shares Floating 201.85M | ||
Percent Insiders 1.94 | Percent Institutions 74.22 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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