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Arrival (ARVLF)ARVLF
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/29/2024: ARVLF (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -19.85% | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 | Avg. Invested days: 24 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/29/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -19.85% | Avg. Invested days: 24 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/29/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 0.92M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price - |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -6.69 |
Volume (30-day avg) 13338 | Beta 2.64 |
52 Weeks Range 0.00 - 1.40 | Updated Date 12/1/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 0.92M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price - |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -6.69 | Volume (30-day avg) 13338 | Beta 2.64 |
52 Weeks Range 0.00 - 1.40 | Updated Date 12/1/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) - |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -13.75% | Return on Equity (TTM) -4.72% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 918755 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 0.43 |
Shares Outstanding 18375100 | Shares Floating 8038930 |
Percent Insiders 36.6 | Percent Institutions - |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 918755 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 0.43 | Shares Outstanding 18375100 | Shares Floating 8038930 |
Percent Insiders 36.6 | Percent Institutions - |
Analyst Ratings
Rating - | Target Price - | Buy - |
Strong Buy - | Hold - | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating - | Target Price - | Buy - | Strong Buy - |
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Arrival: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
History and Background: Arrival was founded in 2015 by Denis Sverdlov as a UK-based electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer. The company initially focused on developing electric buses and vans, utilizing unique technologies like in-house 3D printing and modular components for its vehicles. Arrival went public through a SPAC merger in 2021, but has faced challenges with its complex manufacturing process and declining share price.
Core Business Areas: Arrival focuses on two main areas:
- Electric Buses: The company offers a range of electric buses, including the 12m and 6m models, designed for sustainability and cost-efficiency.
- Electric Vans: Arrival's electric vans are designed for delivery and commercial usage, targeting the growing e-commerce market.
Leadership and Corporate Structure: Denis Sverdlov remains the CEO and chairman of Arrival. The company has a global presence, with headquarters in London and production facilities in the US and UK.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products: Arrival's top products are its electric buses and vans.
- Electric Buses: Arrival claims to be the first company to offer fully electric buses with 3D-printed components. As of August 2023, the company had sold over 1,000 electric buses and secured orders for over 20,000 more.
- Electric Vans: Arrival boasts a fleet of over 160 electric vans operating in trials and commercial use. Their vans are designed for last-mile delivery with a focus on sustainability and lower operating costs.
Market Share: Arrival's market share is still developing. In the US electric bus market, it faces competition from established players like Proterra and BYD. In the electric van market, Arrival competes with players like Rivian and Ford.
Product Performance and Market Reception: Arrival's vehicles have received positive reviews for their design and technological advancements. However, the company's stock price has declined due to concerns about its complex manufacturing process and profitability.
Total Addressable Market
The global electric vehicle market is expected to reach $803 billion by 2027, with both electric buses and vans experiencing significant growth. This large market size indicates immense potential for Arrival's expansion.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Statements: Arrival's revenue for the first half of 2023 was $17.6 million, with a net loss of $106.9 million. The company has yet to achieve profitability but is heavily investing in research and development.
Year-over-Year Comparison: Revenue has increased from $0.9 million in the first half of 2022, showing early traction in sales.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet: Arrival has a strong cash position with over $800 million in cash on hand as of June 2023. However, large research and development expenses continue to drive negative cash flow.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History: Arrival does not currently pay dividends as it focuses on investing in growth.
Shareholder Returns: Arrival's stock price has fallen significantly since its SPAC merger in 2021, leading to negative shareholder returns.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth: Arrival has experienced rapid revenue growth in the past year, demonstrating early sales traction.
Future Projections: Future growth is contingent on successfully scaling production, achieving profitability, and capturing market share in the growing electric vehicle market.
Recent Initiatives: Arrival has launched additional models and expanded its presence in the US market, indicating continued growth ambitions.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview: The electric vehicle market is experiencing rapid growth driven by government incentives, falling battery costs, and increasing environmental concerns.
Arrival's Position: Arrival stands out with its unique 3D printing technology and focus on sustainability. However, the company faces challenges in competing with established automakers and navigating supply chain issues.
Competitors
Key Competitors:
- Electric Buses: Proterra (PTRA), BYD (BYDDY), New Flyer (NFI)
- Electric Vans: Rivian (RIVN), Ford (F), General Motors (GM)
Market Share: Arrival's market share is currently minimal compared to established competitors.
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
- Advantages: Arrival's 3D printing technology and modular design offer potential cost and efficiency benefits.
- Disadvantages: The company lacks the production capacity and brand recognition of established players.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges:
- Scaling Production: Arrival needs to efficiently scale production to meet growing demand and achieve profitability.
- Competition: Intense competition from established automakers is a significant challenge.
- Technological Risks: Advancements in battery technology or alternative propulsion systems could impact Arrival's market position.
Potential Opportunities:
- Expanding Market Share: The growing demand for electric vehicles presents a major opportunity for Arrival to increase its market share.
- New Products and Markets: Arrival can consider expanding its product portfolio and entering new markets, such as electric trucks or passenger vehicles.
- Strategic Partnerships: Collaborations with existing players in the automotive industry could accelerate Arrival's growth.
Recent Acquisitions
Arrival has not made any significant acquisitions in the last 3 years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Evaluating Arrival's fundamentals using an AI-based rating system is difficult at this stage. The company is still in its early growth phase, with limited financial data and a declining stock price. However, its unique technology and focus on sustainability hold potential for future success.
Further analysis of the factors mentioned above, including financial health, market position, and future prospects, would be necessary to provide a more informed AI-based rating.
Sources and Disclaimers
- Arrival's website: https://arrival.com/
- Yahoo Finance: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/ARVL/
- Crunchbase: https://www.crunchbase.com/organization/arrival-ltd
Disclaimer: This overview is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Investing in Arrival carries significant risks, and you should conduct your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
Conclusion
Arrival is a young company with a unique approach to the electric vehicle market. The company faces challenges but also harbors potential for future success. While its stock performance has been volatile, its technological advancements and focus on sustainability could attract investors in the long term.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Arrival
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | - |
IPO Launch date | - | CEO & Executive Director | Mr. Igor Torgov |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Website | https://www.arrival.com |
Industry | Auto Manufacturers | Full time employees | 2695 |
Headquaters | - | ||
CEO & Executive Director | Mr. Igor Torgov | ||
Website | https://www.arrival.com | ||
Website | https://www.arrival.com | ||
Full time employees | 2695 |
Arrival engages in the research and development, and design of commercial electric vehicles (EVs), EVs components, robotic manufacturing processes for EVs, and associated software in the United Kingdom, the United States, Russia, and internationally. Its products portfolio includes commercial EV vans, buses, and cars. The company was formerly known as Arrival Group S.A. and changed its name to Arrival. The company was founded in 2015 and is based in Howald, Luxembourg. Arrival is a subsidiary of Kinetik S.à r.l.
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