AerSale Corp logo

AerSale Corp(ASLE)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$4.83
10/30/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for ASLE

10/30/2026: ASLE (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

AerSale Corp is a specialized aviation aftermarket provider that manages the lifecycle of mid-life aircraft, engines, and components. Its primary strength lies in an integrated model that combines asset ownership with internal MRO services, supported by proprietary technologies like the AerAware flight system. The company’s growth story hinges on the rising global demand for cost-effective maintenance and spare parts as fleets age. However, investors must monitor risks related to its cyclical nature, capital intensity, and intense competition from larger aerospace firms. As a non-dividend-paying growth play in a volatile sector, AerSale may best suit investors comfortable with industry-specific risks and long-term execution targets.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitWhile the business has unique niche growth prospects, it is sensitive to cyclical aviation sector conditions.
Momentum investorWeak fitMomentum is currently not supported by a consistent uptrend, requiring a positive signal to become attractive.
Value investorMixed fitThe company's asset-heavy nature can make valuation complex, but it may appeal to those looking at intrinsic asset value.
Dividend investorWeak fitAerSale does not provide income through dividends, making it unsuitable for income-focused portfolios.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe aviation aftermarket industry carries inherent volatility and execution risks unsuitable for conservative investors.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock price is sensitive to cyclical aviation market trends and asset sales timing.
Valuation riskMediumEarnings can be lumpy, complicating traditional valuation methods.
Competition risk (Aerospace Services)Medium / highThe company faces competition from significantly larger and better-capitalized aerospace firms.
Business qualityMediumThe business relies heavily on timely acquisition of assets at attractive prices.
Dividend incomeLow / noneThere is no dividend policy in place.
Execution riskMediumSuccessful implementation of technologies like AerAware is critical for long-term growth.

Price Behavior

Steep Decline
PRICE PATH

Steep Decline

The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -26.31%
Avg. Invested days 37
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 1.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/30/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
ASLE receives a 3-star rating based on the available scored pillars. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
ASLE has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with moderate financial health, moderate growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong earnings growth (+46.6%) is partially offset by weak cash generation (FCF margin -8.7%), slightly negative revenue growth (-2.8%), soft profitability (net margin 2.6%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
ASLE's financial health is supported by solid liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 30.7%). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Earnings growth is ASLE's strongest growth driver at +46.6% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, while revenue growth (-2.8%, slightly negative) and free-cash-flow growth (-62.8%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 64.9% and approximately 62.8% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 26.27% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

M3F, Inc. 9.83%
BlackRock Inc 5.75%
Private Capital Management, LLC 4.39%
Acadian Asset Management LLC 3.82%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 3.30%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
ASLE generates approximately $315 of gross profit, $47 of operating income, and $-87 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Negative free cash flow explains the 1-star rating, with weak cash conversion and weak capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 18.54%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
ASLE has a liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedLow VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 230.52M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 6.5
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 6.5
Volume (30-day avg) 450.1K shares
Beta 0.38
52 Weeks Range 4.54 - 7.93
Updated Date 10/31/2026
52 Weeks Range 4.54 - 7.93
Updated Date 10/31/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.08

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Asset ManagementLeasing and sale of mid-life aircraft and engines.Profit from owning and selling aviation assets.
Technical ServicesMRO and component maintenance services.Steady revenue from fixing planes and engines.
Parts SupplySale of used serviceable materials (USM).Reselling parts harvested from retired aircraft.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2026-11-05
When After Market
Estimate 0.08
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -1.23%
Operating Margin (TTM) -6.7%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 0.17%
Return on Equity (TTM) -0.9%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 20.45
Enterprise Value 399.97M
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.76
Enterprise Value 399.97M
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.76
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.32
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 16.7
Shares Outstanding 47.73M
Shares Floating 29.99M
Shares Outstanding 47.73M
Shares Floating 29.99M
Percent Insiders 26.27
Percent Institutions 64.94

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.