ASML Holding NV ADR logo

ASML Holding NV ADR(ASML)

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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL
5-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$1591.48
09/15/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Upturn Advisory & Investor View for ASML

09/15/2026: ASML (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

ASML is the indispensable manufacturer of lithography systems used by the global semiconductor industry to print complex chip designs. The company possesses a leading position with its exclusive EUV technology, which remains critical for advanced chip production. While the company's long-term growth opportunity is supported by the rising demand for AI and high-performance computing, it faces significant risks from geopolitical export restrictions and cyclical industry demand. The stock is a growth-oriented play, though it experiences high volatility, making it less suitable for risk-averse investors. Investors should monitor developments in export regulations, the ramp-up of High-NA EUV capacity, and overall semiconductor capital expenditure cycles.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorStrong fitASML is a fundamental enabler of long-term secular growth in the semiconductor industry.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveThe stock often trends strongly during cycles of high semiconductor capital expenditure.
Value investorMixed fitThe company often commands a premium valuation reflecting its technological moat.
Dividend investorMixed fitASML pays a dividend, but the focus is primarily on capital appreciation.
Low-risk investorWeak fitExposure to industry cyclicality and geopolitical risk leads to stock price volatility.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock is sensitive to semiconductor cycle shifts and market sentiment.
Valuation riskMedium / highHigh P/E ratios often require sustained earnings growth to justify current prices.
Competition risk (Geopolitical/Trade)HighExport controls on advanced equipment significantly restrict market access in certain regions.
Business qualityStrongASML possesses a durable competitive advantage due to its unique technological position.
Dividend incomeLowDividend yields are modest compared to mature utility or consumer staple stocks.
Execution riskMediumSuccessfully scaling production of next-generation EUV systems is technically demanding.

Price Behavior

Rolling Over
PRICE PATH

Rolling Over

The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 116.24%
Avg. Invested days 57
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 5.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 09/15/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

ASML receives a 4-star rating, supported by strong unit economics, solid company fundamentals, solid quantitative characteristics, and strong analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

ASML has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with solid financial health, solid growth momentum, and moderate ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, solid earnings growth (+26.9%) and strong cash generation (FCF margin 32.6%) are partially offset by very low insider ownership of 0.02%.

Financial Health Rating

ASML's financial health is supported by strong cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation of $10.6B (32.6% of revenue). Operating efficiency is solid (4 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

Earnings growth is ASML's strongest growth driver at +26.9% FY2025 versus FY2024 (solid, 4 stars). Revenue growth (+15.6%, solid) and free-cash-flow growth (+12.0%, solid) are also constructive, though not equally high across every growth measure.

Ownership

Institutional ownership is 20.4% and approximately 5553.7% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership is only 0.02%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Fisher Asset Management, LLC 1.23%
Capital World Investors 0.97%
FMR Inc 0.82%
Amvescap Plc. 0.77%
State Farm Mutual Automobile Ins Co 0.72%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

ASML generates approximately $528 of gross profit, $346 of operating income, and $326 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Strong margins, cash conversion, and capital efficiency support the rating.

Economic Dimensions

Effective Tax Rate: 17.65%

Quantitative Style Profile

ASML has a high-quality, large-cap, liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while valuation that is moderately attractive rather than deeply discounted.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Quality TiltHigh VolatilityLarge / Mega Cap StabilityHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 605.02B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 53.47
1Y Target Price 2146.66
Price to earnings Ratio 53.47
1Y Target Price 2146.66
Volume (30-day avg) 1.2M shares
Beta 1.36
52 Weeks Range 855.54 - 1997.38
Updated Date 09/15/2026
52 Weeks Range 855.54 - 1997.38
Updated Date 09/15/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 0.58%
Basic EPS (TTM) 29.46

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Lithography Systems (EUV/DUV)Sale of photolithography hardware to foundries and memory manufacturers.The core revenue driver is the sale of high-tech machines that create chips.
Service and MaintenanceSupport, software, and spare parts for installed systems.Steady recurring revenue from maintaining the machines already in use.
Geography (Global)Operations in Asia, US, and Europe.Global exposure means the company is sensitive to international trade policies.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 53.47
Forward PE 27.78
Enterprise Value 611.50B
Price to Sales(TTM) 17.13
Enterprise Value 611.50B
Price to Sales(TTM) 17.13
Enterprise Value to Revenue 15.92
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 47.85
Shares Outstanding 384.10M
Shares Floating 21.33B
Shares Outstanding 384.10M
Shares Floating 21.33B
Percent Insiders 0.02
Percent Institutions 20.4

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI Summary

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Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

News (Last Updated: 09/15/2026)

About ASML Holding NV ADR

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquarters -
IPO Launch date 1995-03-15
President, CEO and Chair of the Board of Management Mr. Christophe D. Fouquet
Sector Technology
Industry Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
Full time employees 43938
Full time employees 43938

ASML Holding N.V. provides lithography solutions for the development, production, marketing, sales, upgrading, and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment systems. The company offers lithography, metrology, and inspection systems. It also provides extreme ultraviolet lithography systems; and deep ultraviolet lithography systems comprising immersion and dry lithography systems solutions to manufacture various range of semiconductor nodes and technologies. In addition, the company offers metrology and inspection systems, including YieldStar optical metrology systems, a diffraction-based wafer metrology platform to assess the quality of patterns on the wafers; and HMI electron beam solutions to locate and analyze individual chip defects. Further, it provides computational lithography solutions, and lithography systems and control software solutions; and refurbishes and upgrades lithography systems, as well as offers customer support and related services. Additionally, the company offers hardware, software, and services to chipmakers to produce the patterns of integrated circuits. It operates in Japan, South Korea, Singapore, Taiwan, China, rest of Asia, the Netherlands, rest of Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the United States. The company was formerly known as ASM Lithography Holding N.V. and changed its name to ASML Holding N.V. in 2001. ASML Holding N.V. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, the Netherlands.