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Upturn AI Summary - About
ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares(ASML)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for ASML
11/13/2026: ASML (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
ASML Holding N.V. is a critical player in the semiconductor industry, recognized for its unique position as the sole global supplier of extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography systems. The company has a leading position in the chip manufacturing ecosystem, with strong historical margins and a clear growth trajectory driven by the rising complexity of AI and high-performance chips. While its technological dominance is a key strength, the company faces material risks from geopolitical trade regulations, customer concentration, and industry cyclicality. ASML may suit growth-oriented investors looking for exposure to the backbone of modern computing. Potential investors should monitor export policy shifts and industry-wide capital expenditure trends.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit | ASML is at the heart of the semiconductor growth narrative, benefiting from long-term demand for advanced computing power. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | ASML often exhibits strong price trends tied to industry capacity cycles and innovation milestones. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | The stock often trades at a premium valuation due to its unique market position, which may not satisfy traditional value criteria. |
| Dividend investor | Mixed fit | While ASML pays a dividend, it is primarily growth-focused rather than an income-oriented investment. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | ASML is sensitive to the cyclical nature of the semiconductor industry and geopolitical risks, contributing to stock volatility. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium / high | The stock can experience significant swings based on industry cycles and macroeconomic shifts. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Investors pay a premium for ASML's unique market position, which can lead to corrections if growth slows. |
| Competition risk (Geopolitical/Tech) | High | Export controls and potential technological disruption represent significant threats to its business model. |
| Business quality | Strong | ASML’s high barriers to entry and essential technology underpin a franchise of high quality. |
| Dividend income | Low | The focus is on capital reinvestment for growth rather than high yield. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Delivering complex, cutting-edge machines on time is critical to maintaining customer roadmaps. |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 576.26B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 36.79 | 1Y Target Price 2115.1 |
Price to earnings Ratio 36.79 | 1Y Target Price 2115.1 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.7M shares | Beta 1.33 | 52 Weeks Range 940.34 - 1994.73 | Updated Date 11/14/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 940.34 - 1994.73 | Updated Date 11/14/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.62% | Basic EPS (TTM) 40.64 |
Sector & Industry Intelligence
Sector
Technology
Caution- Sentiment
- Near Bearish
- Momentum
- Rapid Breadth Deterioration
- BUY participation
- 30.1%
- Active BUY / eligible
- 37 / 123
- 30-Day BUY Count Change
- -42
- Market state
- Weak Bullish / Near Bearish
BUY participation is falling rapidly, suggesting elevated market vulnerability.
Industry
Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
- BUY participation
- 0.0%
- Active BUY / eligible
- 0 / 8
- 30-Day BUY Count Change
- -6
Sector signal summarizes BUY breadth conditions for the sector. It does not override this stock’s BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory.
Price Behavior

Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.

Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 88.86% | Avg. Invested days 51 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals 
Financial Health Rating 
Growth Momentum Score 
Ownership 
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue) 
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile 
Style Classification
Quality Focused
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Lithography Systems (EUV/DUV) | Sale of advanced photolithography machines for semiconductor fabrication. | ASML's primary revenue comes from selling the highly expensive, essential tools used to make every modern high-end computer chip. |
| Installed Base Management | Service contracts, software upgrades, and spare parts for existing systems. | Once machines are installed, ASML generates recurring revenue by keeping them running at peak efficiency for many years. |
| Geography (Global) | Sales to major chip manufacturers in Taiwan, South Korea, US, and China. | Revenue is heavily dependent on capital spending from a small group of large global semiconductor manufacturing companies. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 36.79 | Forward PE 22.88 | Enterprise Value 576.78B | Price to Sales(TTM) 14.6 |
Enterprise Value 576.78B | Price to Sales(TTM) 14.6 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 13.17 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 31.57 | Shares Outstanding 385.42M | Shares Floating 21.28B |
Shares Outstanding 385.42M | Shares Floating 21.28B | ||
Percent Insiders 0.06 | Percent Institutions 19.87 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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