ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares logo

ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares(ASML)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
5-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$1495.16
11/13/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for ASML

11/13/2026: ASML (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

ASML Holding N.V. is a critical player in the semiconductor industry, recognized for its unique position as the sole global supplier of extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography systems. The company has a leading position in the chip manufacturing ecosystem, with strong historical margins and a clear growth trajectory driven by the rising complexity of AI and high-performance chips. While its technological dominance is a key strength, the company faces material risks from geopolitical trade regulations, customer concentration, and industry cyclicality. ASML may suit growth-oriented investors looking for exposure to the backbone of modern computing. Potential investors should monitor export policy shifts and industry-wide capital expenditure trends.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorStrong fitASML is at the heart of the semiconductor growth narrative, benefiting from long-term demand for advanced computing power.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveASML often exhibits strong price trends tied to industry capacity cycles and innovation milestones.
Value investorMixed fitThe stock often trades at a premium valuation due to its unique market position, which may not satisfy traditional value criteria.
Dividend investorMixed fitWhile ASML pays a dividend, it is primarily growth-focused rather than an income-oriented investment.
Low-risk investorWeak fitASML is sensitive to the cyclical nature of the semiconductor industry and geopolitical risks, contributing to stock volatility.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityMedium / highThe stock can experience significant swings based on industry cycles and macroeconomic shifts.
Valuation riskMediumInvestors pay a premium for ASML's unique market position, which can lead to corrections if growth slows.
Competition risk (Geopolitical/Tech)HighExport controls and potential technological disruption represent significant threats to its business model.
Business qualityStrongASML’s high barriers to entry and essential technology underpin a franchise of high quality.
Dividend incomeLowThe focus is on capital reinvestment for growth rather than high yield.
Execution riskMediumDelivering complex, cutting-edge machines on time is critical to maintaining customer roadmaps.

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 576.26B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 36.79
1Y Target Price 2115.1
Price to earnings Ratio 36.79
1Y Target Price 2115.1
Volume (30-day avg) 1.7M shares
Beta 1.33
52 Weeks Range 940.34 - 1994.73
Updated Date 11/14/2026
52 Weeks Range 940.34 - 1994.73
Updated Date 11/14/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 0.62%
Basic EPS (TTM) 40.64

Sector & Industry Intelligence

Sector

Technology

Caution
Sentiment
Near Bearish
Momentum
Rapid Breadth Deterioration
BUY participation
30.1%
Active BUY / eligible
37 / 123
30-Day BUY Count Change
-42
Market state
Weak Bullish / Near Bearish

BUY participation is falling rapidly, suggesting elevated market vulnerability.

Industry

Semiconductor Equipment & Materials

BUY participation
0.0%
Active BUY / eligible
0 / 8
30-Day BUY Count Change
-6

Sector signal summarizes BUY breadth conditions for the sector. It does not override this stock’s BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory.

Price Behavior

Rolling Over
PRICE PATH

Rolling Over

The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 88.86%
Avg. Invested days 51
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 4.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 11/13/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
ASML receives a 4-star rating, supported by strong unit economics, solid company fundamentals, solid quantitative characteristics, and strong analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
ASML has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with solid financial health, solid growth momentum, and moderate ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, solid earnings growth (+26.9%) and strong cash generation (FCF margin 33.9%) are partially offset by very low insider ownership of 0.06%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
ASML's financial health is supported by strong cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation of $11.1B (33.9% of revenue). Operating efficiency is solid (4 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Earnings growth is ASML's strongest growth driver at +26.9% FY2025 versus FY2024 (solid, 4 stars). Revenue growth (+15.6%, solid) and free-cash-flow growth (+22.0%, solid) are also constructive, though not equally high across every growth measure.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 19.9% (soft) and 5520.2% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable (strong). Insider ownership is only 0.06%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

FMR Inc 1.42%
Fisher Asset Management, LLC 1.23%
Capital World Investors 0.97%
Amvescap Plc. 0.81%
State Farm Mutual Automobile Ins Co 0.72%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
ASML generates approximately $528 of gross profit, $346 of operating income, and $339 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Strong margins, cash conversion, and capital efficiency support the rating.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 17.32%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
ASML has a high-quality, large-cap, liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while soft valuation.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Quality TiltHigh VolatilityLarge / Mega Cap StabilityHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Lithography Systems (EUV/DUV)Sale of advanced photolithography machines for semiconductor fabrication.ASML's primary revenue comes from selling the highly expensive, essential tools used to make every modern high-end computer chip.
Installed Base ManagementService contracts, software upgrades, and spare parts for existing systems.Once machines are installed, ASML generates recurring revenue by keeping them running at peak efficiency for many years.
Geography (Global)Sales to major chip manufacturers in Taiwan, South Korea, US, and China.Revenue is heavily dependent on capital spending from a small group of large global semiconductor manufacturing companies.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Valuation

Trailing PE 36.79
Forward PE 22.88
Enterprise Value 576.78B
Price to Sales(TTM) 14.6
Enterprise Value 576.78B
Price to Sales(TTM) 14.6
Enterprise Value to Revenue 13.17
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 31.57
Shares Outstanding 385.42M
Shares Floating 21.28B
Shares Outstanding 385.42M
Shares Floating 21.28B
Percent Insiders 0.06
Percent Institutions 19.87

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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