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Ascendis Pharma AS (ASND)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$125.09
Last Close (24-hour delay)
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PASS
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/03/2025: ASND (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

16 Analysts rated it

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, frequently surpass the market, reflecting reliable and trustworthy advice.

Year Target Price $231.2

Year Target Price $231.2

Analyst’s Price TargetsFor last 52 week
$231.2Target price
Low$111.09
Current$125.09
high$183

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -14.15%
Avg. Invested days 39
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/03/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 10.42B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 231.2
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 231.2
Volume (30-day avg) 16
Beta 0.36
52 Weeks Range 111.09 - 183.00
Updated Date 06/30/2025
52 Weeks Range 111.09 - 183.00
Updated Date 06/30/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -6.79

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -92.67%
Operating Margin (TTM) -103.23%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -22.39%
Return on Equity (TTM) -818.43%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 10790064343
Price to Sales(TTM) 28.26
Enterprise Value 10790064343
Price to Sales(TTM) 28.26
Enterprise Value to Revenue 25.03
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -20.75
Shares Outstanding 60494200
Shares Floating 59902597
Shares Outstanding 60494200
Shares Floating 59902597
Percent Insiders 0.78
Percent Institutions 113.57

Analyst Ratings

Rating 4
Target Price 231.2
Buy 4
Strong Buy 12
Buy 4
Strong Buy 12
Hold -
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Ascendis Pharma AS

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Ascendis Pharma AS was founded in 2006. It is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing therapies to address unmet medical needs, primarily in endocrinology and oncology. The company leverages its TransCon technology platform to create sustained-release therapies.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Endocrinology: Focuses on developing therapies for growth disorders, rare endocrine diseases, and other endocrine-related conditions, with its lead product being Skytrofa (lonapegsomatropin-tcgd) for pediatric growth hormone deficiency (GHD).
  • Oncology: Developing TransCon prodrugs designed to unleash cancer-fighting agents directly into tumors while sparing normal tissues. They are still in Phase 1 testing.
  • Rare Disease: Addresses the unmet needs of rare disease patients, researching and developing therapies for different indications.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Jan Mikkelsen is the President and CEO. The company has a board of directors and operates with a functional organizational structure focusing on research and development, commercialization, and business development.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Skytrofa (lonapegsomatropin-tcgd): A long-acting growth hormone approved for pediatric growth hormone deficiency (GHD). Expected peak sales are estimated at $1 billion per year. Competitors include Pfizer's Genotropin, Novo Nordisk's Norditropin, and Eli Lilly's Humatrope, although Skytrofa offers once-weekly dosing, giving it a competitive advantage.
  • TransCon CNP (C-type Natriuretic Peptide): A product candidate in phase 2 for achondroplasia, a form of dwarfism. Competitors are BioMarin's Voxzogo. Revenue is still pending.
  • TransCon hGH: A next generation human growth hormone prodrug. A phase 1 candidate for hypoparathyroidism. Competitors are Takeda Pharmaceuticals's Natpara and Ascendis' own Skytrofa.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The biopharmaceutical industry is highly competitive and regulated, with significant investment in research and development. The market for growth hormone therapies is well-established and growing. Orphan drugs receive market exclusivity, incentivizing the development of treatments for rare diseases. The oncology market is highly competitive.

Positioning

Ascendis Pharma AS is positioned as an innovative biopharmaceutical company leveraging its TransCon technology to develop differentiated therapies with improved pharmacological profiles. They aim to address unmet medical needs in endocrinology and oncology with superior therapies for orphan disease.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The total addressable market for growth hormone deficiency is estimated to be several billion dollars globally. Ascendis Pharma AS, with Skytrofa, is positioned to capture a significant portion of this TAM due to its once-weekly dosing convenience. Achondroplasia has an estimated total market value of $1B. Oncology therapeutics are much larger with multiple players.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Proprietary TransCon technology
  • Approved product (Skytrofa) generating revenue
  • Strong pipeline of product candidates
  • Experienced management team
  • Once-weekly GHD therapy

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on a single product for revenue
  • High R&D expenses
  • Competition from established pharmaceutical companies
  • Dependent on regulatory approvals
  • Currently loss-making

Opportunities

  • Expanding indications for Skytrofa
  • Advancing pipeline candidates through clinical development
  • Partnerships and collaborations
  • Geographic expansion
  • Addressing other indications with TransCon technology

Threats

  • Clinical trial failures
  • Regulatory hurdles
  • Patent expirations
  • Competition from biosimilars
  • Adverse safety events

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • PFE
  • NVO
  • LLY
  • BMRA

Competitive Landscape

Ascendis Pharma AS has a competitive advantage with Skytrofa's once-weekly dosing. However, they face competition from established pharmaceutical companies with broader product portfolios and greater resources. Ascendis Pharma AS faces a growing competitive landscape.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Ascendis Pharma AS has experienced rapid growth in recent years driven by the approval and launch of Skytrofa.

Future Projections: Analysts expect revenue growth to continue as Skytrofa gains market share and pipeline candidates advance. Profitability is expected in the coming years as revenue scales.

Recent Initiatives: Expanding Skytrofa commercialization efforts, advancing TransCon CNP in achondroplasia, and developing new TransCon candidates for oncology.

Summary

Ascendis Pharma AS is a growing biopharmaceutical company with a novel technology platform and an approved product, Skytrofa, driving revenue growth. The company faces challenges including ongoing losses, high R&D expenses, and competition. Successful pipeline development and commercialization are critical for long-term success. The future depends heavily on clinical trial results and market penetration.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company filings (SEC)
  • Analyst reports
  • Company website
  • ClinicalTrials.gov
  • Company 10K reports
  • Market research reports.

Disclaimers:

The data provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market share figures are estimates and may vary. Financial data is based on the most recent available information and is subject to change.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Ascendis Pharma AS

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters -
IPO Launch date 2015-01-28
President, CEO, Member of Executive Board & Executive Director Mr. Jan Moller Mikkelsen
Sector Healthcare
Industry Biotechnology
Full time employees 1017
Full time employees 1017

Ascendis Pharma A/S, operates as a biopharmaceutical company that focuses on developing TransCon-based therapies for unmet medical needs in Denmark, rest of Europe, North America, and internationally. The company offers SKYTROFA for treating pediatric patients with growth hormone deficiency; and YORVIPATH, a once-daily subcutaneous injection for the treatment of adults with chronic hypoparathyroidism. It is also developing a pipeline of three independent endocrinology rare disease product candidates in clinical development, as well as focuses on advancing oncology therapeutic candidates. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Hellerup, Denmark.