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Upturn AI Summary - About
Ast Spacemobile Inc(ASTS)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for ASTS
10/28/2026: ASTS (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
AST SpaceMobile is a satellite communications company developing a space-based network to connect standard mobile phones globally. The stock is a high-growth, high-risk play on the future of connectivity, bolstered by strong partnerships with major carriers like AT&T and a unique, patented technical approach. Its main opportunity lies in capturing the massive, unserved global market for mobile broadband. However, it faces significant risks, including high capital requirements, execution challenges in satellite deployment, and intense competition from well-funded rivals. It is best suited for growth-oriented investors who can tolerate high volatility, with close monitoring of commercial launch timelines and future funding status.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | The company represents a high-upside play on a novel telecommunications infrastructure market. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | The stock often reacts sharply to technical milestones and major partnership announcements. |
| Value investor | Weak fit | The company lacks current earnings, making traditional value metrics inapplicable. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company is in an intensive capital-spending phase and does not pay dividends. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | Extreme volatility and business-model risk make this unsuitable for low-risk portfolios. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The stock is highly sensitive to news, causing rapid price swings. |
| Valuation risk | High | Valuations are driven by future growth expectations rather than current fundamentals. |
| Competition risk (Satellite-to-Cell) | High | Well-funded competitors could reach commercial scale faster. |
| Business quality | Medium / high | The business is in an early, unproven commercialization stage. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | No income is currently generated or returned to shareholders. |
| Execution risk | High | Success depends on complex satellite manufacturing and orbital deployment. |
Price Behavior
Steep Decline
The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.
Highly Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent, large price swings that make its near-term movement less predictable.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 705.71% | Avg. Invested days 31 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  4.0 | Stock Returns Performance  5.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/28/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 16.33B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 74.68 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 74.68 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 15.6M shares | Beta 2.71 | 52 Weeks Range 36.72 - 133.86 | Updated Date 10/28/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 36.72 - 133.86 | Updated Date 10/28/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.13 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Space-Based Cellular Services | Revenue share agreements with mobile network operators for providing satellite-based connectivity to their existing subscriber base. | The company plans to earn money by helping telecom companies keep their customers connected everywhere, sharing the subscription revenue. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 13.28B | Price to Sales(TTM) 141.63 |
Enterprise Value 13.28B | Price to Sales(TTM) 141.63 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 108.69 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -2.34 | Shares Outstanding 299.79M | Shares Floating 266.48M |
Shares Outstanding 299.79M | Shares Floating 266.48M | ||
Percent Insiders 8.01 | Percent Institutions 54.87 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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