Allegheny Technologies Incorporated logo

Allegheny Technologies Incorporated(ATI)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
5-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$191.84
10/09/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for ATI

10/09/2026: ATI (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Allegheny Technologies Incorporated is a manufacturer of high-performance specialty metals and engineered components, primarily serving the global aerospace and defense industries. The company has a leading position in titanium and nickel-based superalloys, which are essential for high-stress jet engine and structural applications. Its core investment story centers on the multi-year recovery and growth in commercial aviation and defense build rates. However, investors should monitor risks such as cyclical demand volatility, raw material price fluctuations, and intense competition. While the stock may not suit dividend-focused investors, it remains a notable choice for those seeking exposure to the advanced aerospace manufacturing value chain.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitATI offers exposure to aerospace recovery but growth is tied to cyclical industry cycles.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveATI often sees price momentum during periods of strong aerospace build-rate announcements.
Value investorMixed fitValuation fluctuates based on the cyclical nature of its primary end-markets.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company prioritizes capital reinvestment over steady dividend income.
Low-risk investorWeak fitHigh exposure to cyclical aerospace and commodity pricing leads to stock price volatility.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock is sensitive to aerospace production rates and raw material commodity price swings.
Valuation riskMediumValuation levels can become stretched during peak aerospace cycle expectations.
Competition risk (aerospace materials)MediumCompetition from specialized peers like HWM and CRS limits pricing power.
Business qualityMedium / highATI holds strong technology moats in high-heat, high-stress alloys.
Dividend incomeLowThe company does not provide a reliable income stream for dividend-focused investors.
Execution riskMediumOperational delays in scaling production for aerospace programs can impact margins.

Price Behavior

Strong Uptrend
PRICE PATH

Strong Uptrend

The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 34.19%
Avg. Invested days 42
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/09/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
ATI receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
ATI has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with moderate financial health, solid growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, moderate earnings growth (+9.9%) and solid cash generation (FCF margin 7.3%) are partially offset by moderate revenue growth (+5.2%), soft profitability (net margin 8.8%), very low insider ownership of 0.82%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
ATI's financial health is supported by solid liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 32.8%). Profitability is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is ATI's strongest growth driver at +98.5% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, while revenue growth (+5.2%, moderate) and earnings growth (+9.9%, moderate) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 95.7% and approximately 99.1% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership is only 0.82%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 13.74%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 4.57%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 4.53%
Capital World Investors 3.85%
State Street Corp 3.85%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
ATI generates approximately $218 of gross profit, $138 of operating income, and $73 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Soft margins and moderate cash conversion support a 3-star rating, while capital efficiency is solid.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 19.85%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
ATI has a high-quality, large-cap, liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while soft valuation.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Quality TiltLarge / Mega Cap StabilityHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 25.62B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 55.5
1Y Target Price 256
Price to earnings Ratio 55.5
1Y Target Price 256
Volume (30-day avg) 1.8M shares
Beta 0.99
52 Weeks Range 79.29 - 243.57
Updated Date 10/09/2026
52 Weeks Range 79.29 - 243.57
Updated Date 10/09/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 3.39

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
HPMC (High Performance Materials & Components)Titanium, nickel-based superalloys, and precision components for engines and frames.This is the core profit driver, benefiting from long-term aerospace demand.
AA&S (Advanced Alloys & Solutions)Specialty sheet and plate for energy, electronics, and general industrial applications.Provides secondary growth through high-tech and energy sector demand.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 55.5
Forward PE 28.82
Enterprise Value 26.49B
Price to Sales(TTM) 5.43
Enterprise Value 26.49B
Price to Sales(TTM) 5.43
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.62
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 30.05
Shares Outstanding 136.17M
Shares Floating 134.90M
Shares Outstanding 136.17M
Shares Floating 134.90M
Percent Insiders 0.82
Percent Institutions 95.67

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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