Mission Produce Inc logo

Mission Produce Inc(AVO)

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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$13.14
09/25/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Upturn Advisory & Investor View for AVO

09/25/2026: AVO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Mission Produce Inc is a global agricultural firm that specializes in the production and distribution of avocados, maintaining a strong position through a vertically integrated supply chain. The company benefits from owning significant farmland and operating advanced ripening facilities, which provide a consistent supply to global retailers. While its focus on the avocado market offers secular growth potential driven by health trends, it remains subject to significant price volatility and climate-related supply risks. The stock may interest growth-oriented investors seeking exposure to fresh produce, though the lack of a dividend and inherent commodity risk are key factors to monitor closely.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitThe company offers exposure to the growing global demand for avocados but is constrained by commodity price volatility.
Momentum investorWeak fitThe stock often lacks the high-volatility price surges typical of momentum plays.
Value investorMixed fitValuation fluctuates significantly based on agricultural cycle expectations.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company does not pay a dividend.
Low-risk investorWeak fitAgricultural commodity exposure creates high inherent risks for low-risk portfolios.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighAvocado prices fluctuate based on supply, affecting margins.
Valuation riskMediumMarket expectations for growth can lead to valuation swings.
Competition risk (Avocado market competition)Medium / highIntense competition from other fruit importers.
Business qualityMediumStrong operational footprint but dependent on weather.
Dividend incomeLow / noneNo dividend payments for income-oriented investors.
Execution riskMediumManagement must effectively execute global logistics.

Price Behavior

Downtrend
PRICE PATH

Downtrend

The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -27.62%
Avg. Invested days 39
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 09/25/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
AVO receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by soft unit economics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
AVO has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with moderate financial health, moderate growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, moderate earnings growth (+2.7%) and solid revenue growth (+12.7%) are partially offset by soft cash generation (FCF margin 2.7%), soft profitability (net margin 2.7%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
AVO's financial health is supported by solid cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation (2.7% of revenue). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Revenue growth is AVO's strongest growth driver at +12.7% FY2025 versus FY2024 (solid, 4 stars). By comparison, while free-cash-flow growth (-39.2%, negative) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 47.6% and approximately 53.4% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 38.44% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. 4.65%
Fourth Sail Capital, LP 4.54%
BlackRock Inc 3.98%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 1.99%
Rubric Capital Management LP 1.97%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
AVO generates approximately $116 of gross profit, $47 of operating income, and $27 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Strong cash conversion and healthy margins support the rating, although capital efficiency remains below the highest tier.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 34.57%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
AVO has a liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while valuation that is moderately attractive rather than deeply discounted.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Low VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.15B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 438
1Y Target Price 16.5
Price to earnings Ratio 438
1Y Target Price 16.5
Volume (30-day avg) 726.4K shares
Beta 0.48
52 Weeks Range 10.07 - 15.53
Updated Date 09/26/2026
52 Weeks Range 10.07 - 15.53
Updated Date 09/26/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.03

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Avocado Marketing and DistributionSale of avocados to retailers and foodservice companies.The main source of revenue is selling avocados.
GeographyNorth American and International markets (including Peru farming).Revenue is global, with supply heavily influenced by Peruvian operations.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Earnings Date

Report Date 2026-09-08
When After Market
Estimate 0.1
Actual 0.16

Profitability

Profit Margin 0.12%
Operating Margin (TTM) 2.02%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 2.14%
Return on Equity (TTM) 0.5%

Valuation

Trailing PE 438
Forward PE 13.81
Enterprise Value 1.59B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.86
Enterprise Value 1.59B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.86
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.18
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 23.52
Shares Outstanding 87.68M
Shares Floating 46.79M
Shares Outstanding 87.68M
Shares Floating 46.79M
Percent Insiders 38.44
Percent Institutions 47.65

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Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About Mission Produce Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquarters Oxnard, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2020-10-01
President & CEO Mr. John Pawlowski
Sector Consumer Defensive
Industry Food Distribution
Full time employees 3800
Full time employees 3800

Mission Produce, Inc. engages in the sourcing, farming, packaging, marketing, and distribution of avocados, mangoes, and blueberries to food retailers, wholesalers, and foodservice customers in the United States and internationally. The company operates through three segments, Marketing and Distribution; International Farming; and Blueberries. It also provides ripening, bagging, custom packing, logistical management, and quality assurance services. In addition, the company offers merchandising and promotional support, and insights on market trends, and training services. Mission Produce, Inc. was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Oxnard, California.