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Upturn AI Summary - About
Mission Produce Inc(AVO)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for AVO
10/23/2026: AVO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Mission Produce is a specialized, vertically integrated global supplier of avocados, focusing on sourcing, ripening, and distribution. Its primary strength lies in its extensive international supply network and value-added ripening infrastructure, which support significant relationships with major global retailers. While the company has a leading position in the avocado market, it remains highly exposed to commodity price volatility and weather-related supply risks. The investment story centers on the long-term expansion of avocado consumption globally, balanced against financial risks from logistics costs and competitive pressures. The stock may suit growth-oriented investors interested in ag-tech and consumer staples, provided they are prepared for price fluctuations.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The company offers exposure to the growing avocado category but faces commodity price volatility. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | Stock performance is often tied to seasonal harvest cycles rather than linear momentum trends. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | Valuation is often dependent on short-term market cycles for produce. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | Mission Produce does not pay a regular dividend to shareholders. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | Agricultural commodity exposure inherently involves higher operational and price risk. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Avocado market prices fluctuate significantly based on global supply and demand cycles. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Earnings volatility can lead to swings in valuation multiples. |
| Competition risk (Fresh produce distribution) | Medium / high | The market for fresh produce is highly fragmented with intense competition on price and logistics. |
| Business quality | Medium | The company has a strong, specialized franchise but is subject to physical supply risks. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | The company does not provide a yield to investors. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Managing global supply chains and ripening facilities requires precise operational execution. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -27.62% | Avg. Invested days 39 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/23/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.02B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 389.67 | 1Y Target Price 16.32 |
Price to earnings Ratio 389.67 | 1Y Target Price 16.32 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 959.6K shares | Beta 0.43 | 52 Weeks Range 10.07 - 15.53 | Updated Date 10/24/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 10.07 - 15.53 | Updated Date 10/24/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.03 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Avocado Sales | Sale of sourced and grown avocados to retailers, wholesalers, and foodservice. | The company makes money primarily by buying or growing avocados and moving them to market. |
| Marketing and Ripening | Value-added services and customized marketing programs. | They capture extra profit by ripening fruit exactly when retailers need it. |
| Geography: North America | Primary market for distribution and sales. | Most revenue is generated from the North American market, though they are expanding internationally. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 389.67 | Forward PE 14.93 | Enterprise Value 1.30B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.77 |
Enterprise Value 1.30B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.77 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.05 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.68 | Shares Outstanding 87.68M | Shares Floating 46.87M |
Shares Outstanding 87.68M | Shares Floating 46.87M | ||
Percent Insiders 38.44 | Percent Institutions 47.64 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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