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Upturn AI SWOT - About
AXL 
American Axle & Manufacturing (AXL)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
06/18/2025: AXL (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Number of Analysts
8 Analysts rated it
Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.
1 Year Target Price $5.2
1 Year Target Price $5.2
| 0 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 6 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -32.42% | Avg. Invested days 28 | Today’s Advisory WEAK BUY |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 06/18/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 496.01M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 23.22 | 1Y Target Price 5.2 |
Price to earnings Ratio 23.22 | 1Y Target Price 5.2 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 8 | Beta 1.58 | 52 Weeks Range 3.00 - 7.65 | Updated Date 06/30/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 3.00 - 7.65 | Updated Date 06/30/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.18 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 0.36% | Operating Margin (TTM) 4.32% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.01% | Return on Equity (TTM) 3.55% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 23.22 | Forward PE 11.61 | Enterprise Value 2677609158 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.08 |
Enterprise Value 2677609158 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.08 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.45 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 3.87 | Shares Outstanding 118662000 | Shares Floating 108419846 |
Shares Outstanding 118662000 | Shares Floating 108419846 | ||
Percent Insiders 4.76 | Percent Institutions 114.89 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3 | Target Price 5.2 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy - |
Buy 1 | Strong Buy - | ||
Hold 6 | Sell 1 | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
American Axle & Manufacturing
Company Overview
History and Background
American Axle & Manufacturing (AAM) was founded in 1994 when a group of private investors purchased five General Motors (GM) components manufacturing plants. AAM has grown to become a leading global supplier of driveline and metal forming technologies.
Core Business Areas
- Driveline: Designs, engineers, and manufactures driveline systems, modules, and components, including axles, driveshafts, transfer cases, and electric driveline systems for light vehicles, commercial vehicles, and industrial applications.
- Metal Forming: Manufactures a range of metal-formed products, including gears, axle components, and other precision parts.
Leadership and Structure
David C. Dauch serves as the Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. The company has a typical corporate structure with executive leadership overseeing various functional areas and business units.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Axles: AAM is a leading manufacturer of axles for various vehicles, including independent rear axles, beam axles, and electric axles. Market share data is difficult to pinpoint precisely, but AAM is a significant player in the global axle market. Competitors include Dana Incorporated, Meritor (now Cummins Meritor), and Linamar.
- Driveshafts: AAM produces driveshafts for various automotive applications. AAM is a key supplier to major automotive OEMs. Competitors include Dana Incorporated, GKN Automotive, and IFA Rotorion.
- Electric Driveline Systems: AAM is investing in electric driveline systems for electric vehicles. As the EV market grows, AAM aims to capture a significant share of this growing market. Competitors include BorgWarner, Magna International, and ZF Friedrichshafen.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The automotive supplier industry is highly competitive and subject to technological changes, including the shift towards electric vehicles. Demand for automotive components is heavily dependent on automotive production volumes.
Positioning
AAM is positioned as a leading global supplier of driveline and metal forming technologies. The company is focusing on developing electric driveline systems to capitalize on the growth of the EV market.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global automotive driveline market is estimated to be worth billions of dollars. AAM is positioned to capture a portion of this TAM, particularly as the demand for electric driveline systems grows.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong relationships with major automotive OEMs
- Global manufacturing footprint
- Expertise in driveline technologies
- Growing presence in electric driveline systems
Weaknesses
- High debt levels
- Dependence on automotive production volumes
- Vulnerability to commodity price fluctuations
- Exposure to cyclical downturns in the automotive industry
Opportunities
- Growth in the electric vehicle market
- Expansion into new geographic markets
- Development of innovative driveline technologies
- Acquisition of complementary businesses
Threats
- Intense competition in the automotive supplier industry
- Technological disruptions, particularly in electric vehicles
- Economic downturns that reduce automotive production
- Increasing raw material costs
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- DAN
- CMMT
- MTOR
- LNR
Competitive Landscape
AAM competes with other automotive suppliers based on price, quality, technology, and customer service. The company's competitive advantages include its expertise in driveline technologies and its strong relationships with major automotive OEMs.
Major Acquisitions
Grede Holdings LLC
- Year: 2019
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 525
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded AAM's metal forming capabilities and diversified its customer base.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Evaluate AAM's revenue and earnings growth over the past few years, considering the impact of economic conditions and industry trends.
Future Projections: Review analyst estimates for AAM's future revenue, earnings, and cash flow growth. Factor in growth in electric driveline systems
Recent Initiatives: Highlight recent strategic initiatives, such as acquisitions, investments in new technologies, and cost-reduction programs.
Summary
American Axle & Manufacturing is a key player in driveline and metal forming technologies, showing promise in electric driveline systems but facing headwinds with high debt and industry cyclicality. The company's strengths lie in OEM relationships and global reach, but it needs to manage commodity prices and navigate technological shifts effectively. Recent acquisitions have broadened its capabilities, while competition and raw material costs present ongoing challenges. Successfully capitalizing on EV market growth is vital for future success.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Investor presentations
- Press releases
- Analyst reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is not financial advice. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change. Market share is an estimate.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About American Axle & Manufacturing
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Detroit, MI, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1999-01-29 | Chairman & CEO Mr. David Charles Dauch | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Auto Parts | Full time employees 19000 | Website https://www.aam.com |
Full time employees 19000 | Website https://www.aam.com | ||
American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, engineers, and manufactures driveline and metal forming technologies that supports electric, hybrid, and internal combustion vehicles. It operates through two segments, Driveline and Metal Forming segments. The Driveline segment offers front and rear axles, driveshafts, differential assemblies, clutch modules, balance shaft systems, disconnecting driveline technology, and electric and hybrid driveline products and systems for light trucks, sport utility vehicles, crossover vehicles, passenger cars, and commercial vehicles. The Metal Forming segment provides range of products, such as engine, transmission, driveline, and safety-critical components for traditional internal combustion engine and electric vehicle architectures, including light vehicles, commercial vehicles, and off-highway vehicles, as well as products for industrial markets. It operates in North America, Asia, Europe, and South America. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Detroit, Michigan.
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