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Axon Enterprise Inc.(AXON)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for AXON
10/30/2026: AXON (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Axon Enterprise is a leading provider of integrated hardware and software solutions for public safety, transitionally shifting from a non-lethal weapon maker to a high-margin SaaS platform company. Its primary strengths lie in the stickiness of its cloud-based Evidence platform and the brand dominance of its TASER devices. The investment story centers on the scaling of its software ecosystem, particularly through new generative AI capabilities that enhance operational efficiency for police agencies. Key risks include heavy reliance on government budgets, potential regulatory changes, and execution challenges in international expansion. The stock may suit growth-oriented investors looking for exposure to the digital transformation of public safety sectors.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit | The company consistently delivers strong revenue growth and is scaling its high-margin software services. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | The stock often exhibits strong price trends aligned with its consistent business execution. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | The stock frequently trades at a premium valuation due to its growth profile. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | Axon does not pay a dividend, focusing all capital on reinvestment. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The stock exhibits high volatility characteristic of high-growth technology companies. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | High growth expectations can lead to significant share price swings. |
| Valuation risk | Medium / high | Investors pay a premium price for future growth expectations. |
| Competition risk (AI/Software) | Medium | New entrants or incumbents like Motorola are aggressively targeting software revenue. |
| Business quality | Strong | The company has a defensible moat through its integrated platform and long-term contracts. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | Investors should not expect any income stream from this stock. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Expanding internationally and integrating new AI products requires flawless execution. |
Price Behavior
Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.
Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 50.44% | Avg. Invested days 46 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/30/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 34.75B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 177.5 | 1Y Target Price 680.37 |
Price to earnings Ratio 177.5 | 1Y Target Price 680.37 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 971.0K shares | Beta 1.44 | 52 Weeks Range 339.01 - 738.23 | Updated Date 10/31/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 339.01 - 738.23 | Updated Date 10/31/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.41 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| TASERS | Sale of non-lethal weapons, cartridges, and related accessories. | Hardware sales provide the entry point into the ecosystem. |
| Software & Services | Evidence.com subscriptions, AI software, and cloud storage. | This is the core driver of long-term high-margin growth. |
| Geography (North America) | Revenue from US and Canadian federal, state, and local agencies. | The vast majority of current revenue remains domestic. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-11-05 | When After Market | Estimate 0.44 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 6.19% | Operating Margin (TTM) 5.17% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.51% | Return on Equity (TTM) 6.22% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 177.5 | Forward PE 43.48 | Enterprise Value 36.73B | Price to Sales(TTM) 10.8 |
Enterprise Value 36.73B | Price to Sales(TTM) 10.8 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 11.41 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 90.41 | Shares Outstanding 81.24M | Shares Floating 77.31M |
Shares Outstanding 81.24M | Shares Floating 77.31M | ||
Percent Insiders 4.51 | Percent Institutions 91.22 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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