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Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Warrant (BAERW)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/07/2025: BAERW (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -90% | Avg. Invested days 27 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  1.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/07/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size ETF | Market Capitalization 0 USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price - |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price - | ||
Volume (30-day avg) - | Beta 0.11 | 52 Weeks Range 0.03 - 0.29 | Updated Date 05/14/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 0.03 - 0.29 | Updated Date 05/14/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) - |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -10.13% | Operating Margin (TTM) -66.56% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.62% | Return on Equity (TTM) -42.6% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value - | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value - | Price to Sales(TTM) - | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding - | Shares Floating 35999840 |
Shares Outstanding - | Shares Floating 35999840 | ||
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Warrant
Company Overview
History and Background
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (BAER) is an aerial firefighting company. Initially focused on aerial survey and mapping, they pivoted to aerial firefighting, becoming a public company through a SPAC merger. BAER aims to be a leader in wildfire management with real-time fire intelligence and rapid response capabilities.
Core Business Areas
- Aerial Firefighting: Provides aerial firefighting services, including retardant drops, reconnaissance flights, and water scooping.
- Wildfire Management: Offers a suite of services for wildfire management, encompassing early detection, suppression, and post-fire assessment using a fleet of specialized aircraft.
Leadership and Structure
The leadership team includes executives with backgrounds in aviation, finance, and emergency management. The company operates with a hierarchical structure, organizing its operations and support functions under key leadership positions.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Aerial Retardant Delivery: Delivery of fire retardant using specialized aircraft. Market share data is not explicitly public, but BAER competes with larger players like Neptune Aviation and Coulson Aviation. Competitors also include government agencies using their own aircraft.
- Water Scooping: Scooping water from water bodies to drop on fires. Market share data not explicitly public, but BAER utilizes its CL-415 aircrafts. Competitors also include government agencies using their own aircraft and Neptune Aviation.
- Reconnaissance and Mapping: Providing real-time intelligence on wildfires. Market share data not available.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The aerial firefighting industry is experiencing increased demand due to climate change and longer wildfire seasons. The industry relies on specialized aircraft, trained pilots, and advanced technologies for effective fire suppression.
Positioning
Bridger Aerospace focuses on rapid response and technologically advanced firefighting solutions. Its competitive advantage lies in its dedicated fleet, real-time intelligence capabilities, and focus on data driven solutions.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for aerial firefighting is estimated to be in the billions of dollars annually, driven by the rising frequency and intensity of wildfires globally. Bridger Aerospace is positioning itself to capture a larger share of this market through innovation and expansion.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Specialized fleet of CL-415 aircraft
- Experienced flight crews and operations teams
- Focus on real-time fire intelligence
- Vertically integrated capabilities.
Weaknesses
- Relatively smaller size compared to larger competitors
- Dependence on government contracts
- Limited diversification beyond aerial firefighting
- Leveraged balance sheet
Opportunities
- Expanding service offerings to include drone-based solutions
- Securing long-term contracts with government agencies
- Geographic expansion to other regions with high wildfire risk
- Increased demand for aerial firefighting due to climate change
Threats
- Competition from larger aerial firefighting companies
- Government budget cuts impacting firefighting contracts
- Rising fuel costs and maintenance expenses
- Aviation accidents and safety risks
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- NEPT
- RDHL
Competitive Landscape
Bridger Aerospace faces competition from larger, more established players in the aerial firefighting industry. Its competitive advantage lies in its focus on real-time intelligence and rapid response.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Bridger Aerospace has experienced rapid revenue growth driven by an increase in wildfire activity and expanding operations.
Future Projections: Analysts predict continued revenue growth for Bridger Aerospace as the demand for aerial firefighting services increases. However, profitability and cash flow remain key challenges.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding the fleet, investing in real-time intelligence technology, and pursuing international contracts.
Summary
Bridger Aerospace is a growing aerial firefighting company with specialized assets and a focus on real-time intelligence. Its revenue growth is tied to wildfire activity and government contracts, making it volatile. The company's reliance on equity offerings and high debt is cause for concern. BAER needs to generate stronger cash flow and demonstrate consistent profitability to ensure long-term sustainability.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings (SEC), Investor Presentations, News Articles, Analyst Reports.
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market data and projections are subject to change and may not be accurate. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Warrant
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Belgrade, MT, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-03-15 | President & CEO Mr. Sam Davis | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Security & Protection Services | Full time employees 191 | Website https://www.bridgeraerospace.com |
Full time employees 191 | Website https://www.bridgeraerospace.com | ||
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. provides aerial wildfire surveillance, relief and suppression, and aerial firefighting services in the United States. The company offers fire suppression services, such as aerial firefighting support for ground crews by operating the Viking CL-415EAF (Super Scooper) aircraft to drop water quickly and directly on wildfires. It also provides aerial surveillance services via manned (Air Attack) aircraft for fire suppression over an incident and providing tactical coordination with the incident commander, and decision-makers rapid, current intelligence from useful aerial vantage points, giving access to information to support ground firefighters and safety for the public. In addition, the company offers maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) that provides maintenance and repair services for return-to-service upgrades of the Spanish scoopers, as well as airframe modification and integration solutions for governmental and commercial customers. Further, it operates an aircraft fleet of sixteen planes. The company was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Belgrade, Montana.
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