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Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Warrant (BAERW)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/15/2025: BAERW (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -83.76% | Avg. Invested days 24 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size ETF | Market Capitalization 0 USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price - |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price - | ||
Volume (30-day avg) - | Beta 0.11 | 52 Weeks Range 0.03 - 0.29 | Updated Date 05/14/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 0.03 - 0.29 | Updated Date 05/14/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) - |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -10.13% | Operating Margin (TTM) -66.56% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.62% | Return on Equity (TTM) -42.6% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value - | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value - | Price to Sales(TTM) - | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding - | Shares Floating 35999840 |
Shares Outstanding - | Shares Floating 35999840 | ||
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Warrant
Company Overview
History and Background
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. is a provider of aerial firefighting and related services. The company went public via a SPAC merger with Jack Creek Investment Corp. in 2022. The warrants represent the right to purchase shares of the underlying common stock.
Core Business Areas
- Aerial Firefighting: Suppression of wildfires using fixed-wing aircraft and helicopters.
- Wildfire Detection and Mapping: Utilizing advanced sensor technology to detect and map wildfires, providing critical intelligence to ground crews.
- Aerial Surveying and Mapping: Providing aerial surveying and mapping services for various applications, including infrastructure inspection and natural resource management.
Leadership and Structure
Leadership includes Tim Sheehy (CEO). The organizational structure is typical of a public company with a board of directors and various executive management roles.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Air Attack: Fixed-wing aircraft and helicopters delivering water and retardant to suppress wildfires. Market share data for specific aerial firefighting services is fragmented, making precise calculations difficult. Key competitors include Neptune Aviation, Coulson Aviation, and 10 Tanker Air Carrier. Bridger's revenue from this product cannot be precisely isolated but constitutes a major portion of total sales. No publicly available market share.
- Wildfire Detection and Mapping: Use of aircraft and software in early detection of forest fires. Market is fragmented, but there is continued investment in technology such as this. No market share data is available.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The aerial firefighting industry is driven by increasing wildfire frequency and intensity due to climate change, growing populations in fire-prone areas, and aging infrastructure. It is very competitive. Competition for US Governement contracts is stiff.
Positioning
Bridger Aerospace positions itself as a technology-driven provider of aerial firefighting solutions, utilizing advanced aircraft and sensor technology to enhance firefighting effectiveness.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global aerial firefighting market is estimated to be in the billions of dollars annually and is growing. Bridger is positioned to grow into this TAM by servicing a variety of contracts and customers. No publicly available TAM figure.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Modern aircraft fleet
- Advanced sensor technology
- Experienced flight crews
- Established relationships with government agencies
Weaknesses
- High operating costs
- Dependence on government contracts
- Vulnerability to weather conditions
- Small market share vs. peers
Opportunities
- Expansion into new geographic markets
- Development of new firefighting technologies
- Increased demand for aerial firefighting services due to climate change
- Acquisition of smaller competitors
Threats
- Competition from larger aerial firefighting providers
- Changes in government regulations
- Economic downturn affecting government budgets
- Accidents or incidents leading to operational disruptions
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Neptune Aviation (Private)
- Coulson Aviation (Private)
- 10 Tanker Air Carrier (Private)
Competitive Landscape
Bridger Aerospace is a smaller player in a competitive market dominated by larger, more established aerial firefighting providers. Bridger's advantage lies in their modern fleet and technology, while their disadvantage is their relatively smaller size and limited resources.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Growth trends should be analyzed via financial data from the underlying common stock, Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (BAER).
Future Projections: Future projections should be based on the underlying stock, Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (BAER) from analyst reports.
Recent Initiatives: Refer to news releases and filings from Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (BAER) for the most recent initiatives.
Summary
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. is a provider of aerial firefighting and related services in a growing market. The warrants' value is entirely dependent on the underlying stock BAER. The company has strengths in technology and modern aircraft but faces competition from larger providers. Careful analysis of BAER stock is necessary to assess the warrant valuation and future growth potential and whether the stock will reach the minimum threshold for the warrants to have value.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings (SEC)
- Industry Reports
- Financial News Outlets
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market share and some revenue data are estimated based on available information and may not be precise. The value of the warrant is 100% correlated to the BAER stock.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Warrant
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Belgrade, MT, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-03-15 | President & CEO Mr. Sam Davis | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Security & Protection Services | Full time employees 191 | Website https://www.bridgeraerospace.com |
Full time employees 191 | Website https://www.bridgeraerospace.com |
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. provides aerial wildfire surveillance, relief and suppression, and aerial firefighting services in the United States. The company offers fire suppression services, such as aerial firefighting support for ground crews by operating the Viking CL-415EAF (Super Scooper) aircraft to drop water quickly and directly on wildfires. It also provides aerial surveillance services via manned (Air Attack) aircraft for fire suppression over an incident and providing tactical coordination with the incident commander, and decision-makers rapid, current intelligence from useful aerial vantage points, giving access to information to support ground firefighters and safety for the public. In addition, the company offers maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) that provides maintenance and repair services for return-to-service upgrades of the Spanish scoopers, as well as airframe modification and integration solutions for governmental and commercial customers. Further, it operates an aircraft fleet of sixteen planes. The company was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Belgrade, Montana.

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