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Ball Corporation(BALL)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
2-STAR RATING
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY for 3 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
-1.02% ▼
LAST CLOSE
$64.1
10/27/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
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Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for BALL

10/27/2026: BALL (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Ball Corporation is a leading global manufacturer of infinitely recyclable aluminum packaging, serving major beverage brands worldwide. The company is characterized by its scale, long-term supply agreements, and a strategic pivot toward sustainable packaging solutions following its recent divestiture of the Aerospace division. This move simplifies its business model, focusing capital on core packaging operations and the emerging aluminum cup market. Key risks include sensitivity to aluminum commodity prices, high capital expenditure requirements, and competitive pressures within the metal packaging sector. The stock may suit dividend-oriented and defensive investors who value stable, essential consumer-linked cash flows, though monitoring capital efficiency post-divestiture remains critical.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitThe company is transitioning into a slower-growth, mature packaging provider following the aerospace divestiture.
Momentum investorMixed fitMomentum is conditional on positive market sentiment regarding volume recovery and margin expansion.
Value investorStrong fitThe stock often attracts value investors seeking stable cash flows and market-leading positions.
Dividend investorStrong fitBall offers a reliable dividend supported by stable, long-term customer contracts.
Low-risk investorStrong fitThe essential nature of beverage packaging provides a defensive profile during market volatility.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityMediumCommodity price swings in aluminum can impact input costs, though largely passed through to customers.
Valuation riskMediumValuations are tied to broader industrial sector cycles and interest rate sensitivity.
Competition risk (aluminum packaging)MediumIntense competition from peers like Crown Holdings limits pricing power.
Business qualityStrongThe company has strong, entrenched relationships with the world's largest beverage brands.
Dividend incomeMediumDividends are secure but growth is generally conservative rather than aggressive.
Execution riskMediumSuccessful capital deployment and plant efficiency are essential to maintain margins.

Price Behavior

Flat / Range-Bound
PRICE PATH

Flat / Range-Bound

The stock price has been trading within a narrow range with minimal directional movement.

Smooth
PRICE STABILITY

Smooth

The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 23.74%
Avg. Invested days 43
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/27/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
BALL receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid quantitative characteristics, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by soft unit economics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
BALL has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with moderate financial health, moderate growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, solid cash generation (FCF margin 6.0%) and solid revenue growth (+11.6%) are partially offset by negative earnings growth (-77.2%), soft profitability (net margin 6.9%), very low insider ownership of 0.26%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
BALL's financial health is supported by solid cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation (6.0% of revenue). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is BALL's strongest growth driver at +313.6% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, revenue growth (+11.6%, solid) is also solid, while earnings growth (-77.2%, negative) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 90.7% and approximately 99.6% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership is only 0.26%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 7.94%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 6.58%
State Street Corp 5.07%
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. 4.65%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 4.35%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
BALL generates approximately $149 of gross profit, $106 of operating income, and $60 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Soft margins explain the 2-star rating, with moderate cash conversion and soft capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 20.78%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
BALL has a large-cap, liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedLarge / Mega Cap StabilityHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 17.06B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 18.47
1Y Target Price 71.54
Price to earnings Ratio 18.47
1Y Target Price 71.54
Volume (30-day avg) 2.2M shares
Beta 0.96
52 Weeks Range 44.21 - 67.62
Updated Date 10/27/2026
52 Weeks Range 44.21 - 67.62
Updated Date 10/27/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 1.24%
Basic EPS (TTM) 3.49

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Beverage PackagingManufacturing aluminum cans and ends for beverage brands globally.The company makes money by being the essential supplier of cans to major beverage brands, benefiting from global demand for aluminum packaging.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Earnings Date

Report Date 2026-11-03
When Before Market
Estimate 1.06
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 6.61%
Operating Margin (TTM) 9.23%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 4.63%
Return on Equity (TTM) 17.15%

Valuation

Trailing PE 18.47
Forward PE 14.22
Enterprise Value 23.79B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.19
Enterprise Value 23.79B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.19
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.66
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.18
Shares Outstanding 264.70M
Shares Floating 263.66M
Shares Outstanding 264.70M
Shares Floating 263.66M
Percent Insiders 0.26
Percent Institutions 90.74

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.