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Ball Corporation(BALL)

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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL
3-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$57.13
09/28/2026
(24-hour delay)

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*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Upturn Advisory & Investor View for BALL

09/28/2026: BALL (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Ball Corporation is a prominent global manufacturer of sustainable aluminum packaging, primarily serving the beverage industry. The company has a leading position in the beverage can market, supported by strong, long-term contracts with major multinational beverage firms. Following the strategic divestiture of its aerospace business in 2024, Ball is now focused on its core packaging operations, aiming for improved capital efficiency and shareholder returns. Key risks include exposure to volatile aluminum and energy costs, as well as competitive pricing pressure within the packaging industry. The stock may be suitable for value and income-oriented investors seeking exposure to sustainable consumer packaging trends.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitGrowth is tied to long-term sustainability trends rather than high-velocity tech-style scaling.
Momentum investorMixed fitStock performance generally tracks broader industrial trends and commodity cycles.
Value investorStrong fitThe company's focus on cash flow and market position can appeal to valuation-conscious investors.
Dividend investorStrong fitA history of reliable dividend payments makes it suitable for income-focused portfolios.
Low-risk investorStrong fitBall's established market position in essential packaging offers relative stability compared to cyclical growth stocks.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityMediumAluminum commodity prices can cause short-term fluctuations in operating margins.
Valuation riskMediumThe stock is often priced based on steady growth, leaving it sensitive to earnings revisions.
Competition risk (metal packaging)MediumPricing power is limited by the intense competition among global can manufacturers.
Business qualityStrongThe company occupies a central position in the global beverage supply chain.
Dividend incomeLowDividends are well-supported by stable, long-term operational cash flows.
Execution riskMediumManaging global operations and pass-through costs is essential to maintaining profitability.

Price Behavior

Rolling Over
PRICE PATH

Rolling Over

The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.

Smooth
PRICE STABILITY

Smooth

The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 25.02%
Avg. Invested days 48
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 09/28/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
BALL receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid quantitative characteristics, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by soft unit economics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
BALL has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with moderate financial health, moderate growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, solid cash generation (FCF margin 6.0%) and solid revenue growth (+11.6%) are partially offset by negative earnings growth (-77.2%), soft profitability (net margin 6.9%), very low insider ownership of 0.26%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
BALL's financial health is supported by solid cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation (6.0% of revenue). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is BALL's strongest growth driver at +313.6% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, revenue growth (+11.6%, solid) is also solid, while earnings growth (-77.2%, negative) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 90.5% and approximately 99.6% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership is only 0.26%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 8.64%
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. 6.82%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 6.56%
State Street Corp 4.68%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 4.37%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
BALL generates approximately $149 of gross profit, $106 of operating income, and $60 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Soft margins explain the 2-star rating, with moderate cash conversion and soft capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 20.78%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
BALL has a large-cap, liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedLarge / Mega Cap StabilityHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 15.04B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 16.28
1Y Target Price 72.57
Price to earnings Ratio 16.28
1Y Target Price 72.57
Volume (30-day avg) 1.9M shares
Beta 0.95
52 Weeks Range 44.21 - 67.62
Updated Date 09/27/2026
52 Weeks Range 44.21 - 67.62
Updated Date 09/27/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 1.41%
Basic EPS (TTM) 3.49

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Beverage PackagingManufacturing and selling aluminum beverage cans to global beverage companies.The company earns the bulk of its revenue by providing the essential container for most global canned beverages.
GeographyOperations spanning North America, Europe, and South America.Revenue is well-diversified across major global regions, reducing reliance on any single economy.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 16.28
Forward PE 13.24
Enterprise Value 22.30B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.05
Enterprise Value 22.30B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.05
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.58
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.62
Shares Outstanding 264.70M
Shares Floating 263.66M
Shares Outstanding 264.70M
Shares Floating 263.66M
Percent Insiders 0.26
Percent Institutions 90.53

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI Summary

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Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About Ball Corporation

Exchange NYSE
Headquarters Westminster, CO, United States
IPO Launch date 1984-09-07
CEO & Director Mr. Ronald J. Lewis
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Packaging & Containers
Full time employees 16000
Full time employees 16000

Ball Corporation supplies aluminum packaging products for the beverage, personal care, and household products industries in the United States, Brazil, and internationally. The company manufactures and sells aluminum beverage containers to fillers of carbonated soft drinks, beer, energy drinks, and other beverages. It manufactures and sells extruded aluminum aerosol containers, recloseable aluminum bottles, aluminum cups, and aluminum slugs. The company was founded in 1880 and is headquartered in Westminster, Colorado.