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Ball Corporation(BALL)

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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
3-STAR RATING
SELL
SELL for 4 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
-3%
LAST CLOSE
$61.01
09/15/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Upturn Advisory & Investor View for BALL

09/15/2026: BALL (3-star) is a SELL. SELL for 4 days. Simulated Profits (-3.00%). Updated daily EoD!

Ball Corporation is a prominent player in the global sustainable packaging market, focusing on infinitely recyclable aluminum beverage containers. The company benefits from a strong shift by major brands toward aluminum as a sustainable alternative to plastic. Its primary growth opportunity lies in leveraging this global transition while optimizing manufacturing efficiency. Key risks include exposure to volatile aluminum and energy prices, as well as competitive pressure from other metal packaging giants. The stock may best suit value and dividend-focused investors seeking exposure to essential consumer goods, though it requires monitoring of input costs and global beverage demand trends.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitBall offers steady growth tied to sustainability trends, but is a mature industry player.
Momentum investorMixed fitThe stock tends to trade based on commodity cycles, requiring positive upturns in raw material pricing for a momentum play.
Value investorStrong fitThe company's focus on cash flow and dividend consistency often attracts value-oriented investors.
Dividend investorStrong fitBall provides a reliable dividend stream supported by its essential role in the beverage supply chain.
Low-risk investorStrong fitAs a large-cap manufacturer of essential consumer goods, it offers lower volatility compared to pure-play growth stocks.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityMedium / highAluminum and energy price swings directly impact operating margins.
Valuation riskMediumThe stock is often priced based on growth projections for the sustainable packaging transition.
Competition risk (metal packaging)Medium / highStrong competition from Crown and Ardagh keeps pricing power in check.
Business qualityStrongBall maintains a solid reputation and essential market position in its sector.
Dividend incomeMediumDividends are stable, though yields may be lower than pure utility-style stocks.
Execution riskMediumMaintaining complex global manufacturing operations requires consistent operational excellence.

Price Behavior

Steady Uptrend
PRICE PATH

Steady Uptrend

The stock demonstrates consistent and steady upward price momentum.

Smooth
PRICE STABILITY

Smooth

The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 25.02%
Avg. Invested days 48
Today’s Advisory SELL
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 09/15/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

BALL receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid quantitative characteristics, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by soft unit economics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

BALL has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with moderate financial health, moderate growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, solid cash generation (FCF margin 6.0%) and solid revenue growth (+11.6%) are partially offset by negative earnings growth (-77.2%), soft profitability (net margin 6.9%), very low insider ownership of 0.26%.

Financial Health Rating

BALL's financial health is supported by solid cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation (6.0% of revenue). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

Free-cash-flow growth is BALL's strongest growth driver at +313.6% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, revenue growth (+11.6%, solid) is also solid, while earnings growth (-77.2%, negative) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

Institutional ownership is 90.4% and approximately 99.6% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership is only 0.26%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 8.64%
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. 6.82%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 6.56%
State Street Corp 4.68%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 4.37%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

BALL generates approximately $149 of gross profit, $106 of operating income, and $60 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Strong cash conversion and healthy margins support the rating, although capital efficiency remains below the highest tier.

Economic Dimensions

Effective Tax Rate: 20.78%

Quantitative Style Profile

BALL has a large-cap, liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedLarge / Mega Cap StabilityHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 16.07B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 17.4
1Y Target Price 72.57
Price to earnings Ratio 17.4
1Y Target Price 72.57
Volume (30-day avg) 1.8M shares
Beta 0.95
52 Weeks Range 44.21 - 67.62
Updated Date 09/15/2026
52 Weeks Range 44.21 - 67.62
Updated Date 09/15/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 1.34%
Basic EPS (TTM) 3.49

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Beverage PackagingManufacturing aluminum beverage cans and ends for global drink brands.The company makes money by selling high volumes of recyclable cans to major beverage producers.
GeographyOperations spanning North America, Europe, and South America.Global reach provides a hedge against regional economic downturns.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 17.4
Forward PE 13.4
Enterprise Value 22.80B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.12
Enterprise Value 22.80B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.12
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.59
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.71
Shares Outstanding 264.70M
Shares Floating 263.66M
Shares Outstanding 264.70M
Shares Floating 263.66M
Percent Insiders 0.26
Percent Institutions 90.38

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Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About Ball Corporation

Exchange NYSE
Headquarters Westminster, CO, United States
IPO Launch date 1984-09-07
CEO & Director Mr. Ronald J. Lewis
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Packaging & Containers
Full time employees 16000
Full time employees 16000

Ball Corporation supplies aluminum packaging products for the beverage, personal care, and household products industries in the United States, Brazil, and internationally. The company manufactures and sells aluminum beverage containers to fillers of carbonated soft drinks, beer, energy drinks, and other beverages. It manufactures and sells extruded aluminum aerosol containers, recloseable aluminum bottles, aluminum cups, and aluminum slugs. The company was founded in 1880 and is headquartered in Westminster, Colorado.