Upturn unsubscribed user
$1.14/ day, billed weekly
Cancel anytime
(Ad-Free, Unlimited access)​
NO CREDIT CARD REQUIRED
BLBD logo BLBD
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
BLBD logo

Blue Bird Corp (BLBD)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$44.95
Last Close (24-hour delay)
Profit since last BUY18.38%
upturn advisory
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY since 48 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

07/11/2025: BLBD (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

7 Analysts rated it

Limited analyst coverage, niche firm, research info may be scarce.

1 Year Target Price $51.57

1 Year Target Price $51.57

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$51.57 Target price
52w Low $30.04
Current$44.95
52w High $55.6

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 47.94%
Avg. Invested days 40
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 07/11/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.42B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 13.96
1Y Target Price 51.57
Price to earnings Ratio 13.96
1Y Target Price 51.57
Volume (30-day avg) 7
Beta 1.4
52 Weeks Range 30.04 - 55.60
Updated Date 07/12/2025
52 Weeks Range 30.04 - 55.60
Updated Date 07/12/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 3.22

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 7.97%
Operating Margin (TTM) 9.54%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 16.6%
Return on Equity (TTM) 73.03%

Valuation

Trailing PE 13.96
Forward PE 12.32
Enterprise Value 1381156112
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.05
Enterprise Value 1381156112
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.05
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.02
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.95
Shares Outstanding 31565500
Shares Floating 31442663
Shares Outstanding 31565500
Shares Floating 31442663
Percent Insiders 0.83
Percent Institutions 119.22

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Blue Bird Corp

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Blue Bird Corp. was founded in 1927 by Albert L. Luce in Fort Valley, Georgia. Originally producing school buses, it has evolved to offer a range of alternative fuel options and advanced safety features. Blue Bird has remained a prominent player in the student transportation market.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • School Buses: Designs, manufactures, and sells school buses, including conventional (Type C), transit-style (Type D), and small bus models. These buses come in various fuel types, including diesel, gasoline, propane, and electric.
  • Aftermarket Parts and Services: Provides aftermarket parts, service support, and extended warranty programs for its school buses.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Phil Horlock serves as the President and CEO. The company has a board of directors overseeing strategic direction, and its organizational structure is divided into functional areas such as engineering, manufacturing, sales, and finance.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Type C School Buses: Conventional school buses are the workhorse of student transportation. Blue Bird is a leader in this segment. Competitors include Navistar (IC Bus) and Thomas Built Buses (Daimler Truck North America). Market share data is constantly in flux and is hard to pinpoint the latest value, but generally they have a good portion of the Type C bus market.
  • Type D School Buses: Transit-style school buses offer enhanced visibility and maneuverability. Competitors include Navistar (IC Bus) and Thomas Built Buses (Daimler Truck North America). Market share data is constantly in flux and is hard to pinpoint the latest value.
  • Electric School Buses: Blue Bird has invested heavily in electric school bus technology, offering a zero-emission transportation solution. Competitors include Lion Electric (LEV), Proterra (PTRA), and GreenPower Motor Company (GP). This a growing segment that they are trying to capture.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The school bus market is driven by student population, school district budgets, and regulatory requirements, particularly safety and emissions standards. Demand for alternative fuel and electric buses is increasing due to environmental concerns and government incentives.

Positioning

Blue Bird Corp. is a leading school bus manufacturer with a strong brand reputation and a comprehensive product portfolio. It differentiates itself through its commitment to safety, innovation, and alternative fuel options.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The North American school bus market is estimated to be around $3-$4 billion annually. Blue Bird aims to increase its market share through expanded alternative fuel offerings and electric school bus sales.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong brand reputation
  • Comprehensive product portfolio
  • Leadership in alternative fuel buses
  • Established distribution network
  • Long history in the school bus market

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on school district budgets
  • Exposure to commodity price fluctuations
  • Potential supply chain disruptions
  • Profit margins in alternative fuel technologies are still low.

Opportunities

  • Growing demand for electric school buses
  • Government incentives for alternative fuel vehicles
  • Expansion into new geographic markets
  • Development of advanced safety features
  • Increase services and aftermarket parts sales

Threats

  • Intense competition in the school bus market
  • Economic downturn impacting school budgets
  • Changing regulatory requirements
  • Technological advancements from competitors
  • Rising material costs

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • NAV
  • Daimler Truck North America - Private
  • LEV
  • GP

Competitive Landscape

Blue Bird competes on price, product features, and brand reputation. It is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for electric buses. However, Navistar (IC Bus) and Thomas Built Buses (Daimler Truck North America) offer strong competition in the traditional school bus market. LEV (Lion Electric) is also a major competitor in the electric market.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Historical growth is tied to school bus sales volumes, which are impacted by school funding and economic conditions. Requires sales data over time.

Future Projections: Analyst estimates suggest growth in revenue driven by increased demand for electric and alternative fuel buses. The growth rate is likely to be in the 5-10% range over the next few years. This needs to be verified with actual analyst estimates.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding its electric bus production capacity, developing new safety technologies, and strengthening its relationships with school districts.

Summary

Blue Bird is a prominent player in the school bus market, particularly with alternative fuel offerings. The company has a long history and is well positioned for the growing electric school bus market. Potential threats include increasing competition, fluctuation in material costs and dependence on government incentives. They need to ensure they are first to the market in the newer technology to maintain future growth.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company reports
  • Industry analysis reports
  • Analyst estimates
  • Company press releases

Disclaimers:

The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Market share data is approximate and may vary depending on the source. Financial data is based on available information and may not be complete or accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Blue Bird Corp

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Macon, GA, United States
IPO Launch date 2014-03-20
President, CEO & Director Mr. John Wyskiel
Sector Industrials
Industry Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Full time employees 1945
Full time employees 1945

Blue Bird Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells school buses in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Bus and Parts. It offers Type C, Type D, and specialty buses; and alternative power options through its propane powered, gasoline powered, compressed natural gas powered, and electric powered school buses, as well as diesel engines. The company also sells replacement bus parts; and provides extended warranties related to its products. Blue Bird Corporation sells its products through drop ship and a network of dealers, as well as directly to fleet operators, the United States government, and state governments; independent service centers; and maintains a parts distribution center. Blue Bird Corporation was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Macon, Georgia.