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Blue Bird Corp (BLBD)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/16/2025: BLBD (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $56.57
1 Year Target Price $56.57
4 | Strong Buy |
2 | Buy |
1 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 90.53% | Avg. Invested days 49 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.78B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 16.11 | 1Y Target Price 56.57 |
Price to earnings Ratio 16.11 | 1Y Target Price 56.57 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 7 | Beta 1.61 | 52 Weeks Range 30.04 - 60.45 | Updated Date 09/16/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 30.04 - 60.45 | Updated Date 09/16/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.49 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 8.16% | Operating Margin (TTM) 12.72% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 17.2% | Return on Equity (TTM) 64.54% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 16.11 | Forward PE 14.14 | Enterprise Value 1756219376 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.25 |
Enterprise Value 1756219376 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.25 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.24 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.48 | Shares Outstanding 31707900 | Shares Floating 31393400 |
Shares Outstanding 31707900 | Shares Floating 31393400 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.7 | Percent Institutions 113.4 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Blue Bird Corp

Company Overview
History and Background
Blue Bird Corp. was founded in 1927 by Albert L. Luce Sr. as a solution to transport his children to school. Over the years, it has grown to become a leading manufacturer of school buses, known for its innovation and safety features. The company has adapted to changing market demands, including the development of alternative fuel buses.
Core Business Areas
- School Bus Manufacturing: Blue Bird's primary business is the design, engineering, manufacture, and sale of school buses. This includes Type A, C, and D school buses powered by diesel, gasoline, propane, CNG, and electric.
- Parts and Service: Blue Bird also provides aftermarket parts, service, and support for its buses. This includes a network of dealers and service centers.
Leadership and Structure
The leadership team includes Phil Horlock (President and CEO), and Jennifer Stevenson (Chief Financial Officer). The organizational structure consists of various departments including engineering, manufacturing, sales, marketing, and finance, all reporting to the executive leadership.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Type C School Buses: Blue Bird's Type C conventional school buses are a core product, available in various fuel types. The Blue Bird Vision is a popular model. While exact market share is dynamic, Blue Bird has a significant portion of the Type C market. Competitors include Thomas Built Buses (Daimler) and IC Bus (Navistar).
- Type D School Buses: The Blue Bird All American is a Type D school bus, known for its flat-front design and durability. It's available in different fuel options, including electric. Blue Bird holds a substantial share of the Type D market. Competitors include Thomas Built Buses and IC Bus.
- Electric School Buses: Blue Bird is a leader in electric school bus technology, offering electric versions of its Type C and Type D buses. The market share for electric buses is growing rapidly, and Blue Bird aims to be a key player. Competitors in the electric bus market include Proterra and Lion Electric.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The school bus industry is characterized by relatively stable demand, driven by student transportation needs. There is increasing interest in alternative fuel and electric buses to reduce emissions and operating costs. Government regulations and funding play a significant role in the industry.
Positioning
Blue Bird Corp is positioned as a leading manufacturer of school buses, known for innovation, safety, and a wide range of fuel options. They have a competitive advantage in the electric school bus market with their established infrastructure and dealer network.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for school buses is estimated to be in the billions of dollars annually. Blue Bird is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of this market, especially with the growing demand for electric buses.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition
- Established dealer network
- Wide range of product offerings (fuel types)
- Leadership in electric school bus technology
- Long history in the industry
Weaknesses
- Reliance on government funding
- Exposure to commodity price fluctuations (steel, fuel)
- Potential supply chain disruptions
- High capital expenditure requirements
Opportunities
- Growing demand for electric school buses
- Government incentives and funding for clean transportation
- Expansion into new markets
- Development of advanced safety features
Threats
- Increased competition from new entrants
- Changes in government regulations
- Economic downturns impacting school budgets
- Technological advancements disrupting the industry
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- NAV
- WAB
- BYDDF
Competitive Landscape
Blue Bird benefits from its focus on EV buses, but competitors have more diversified business models. Competition is largely based on price, features, and government incentives.
Major Acquisitions
None
- Year: 2024
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 0
- Strategic Rationale: No recent acquisitions.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth can be seen in the company's annual reports, look at revenue, sales, and profit over the past few years.
Future Projections: Future projections are based on analyst estimates, look for analyst reports on sites such as Yahoo Finance, and others. These may be influenced by growth in electric vehicle market.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in electric bus technology, expansion of production capacity, and strategic partnerships. See the company's investor relations page for the latest updates.
Summary
Blue Bird is a major player in the school bus market, especially poised for growth in electric buses. However, the company faces competition from established players and risks linked to governmental regulation and supply chains. Blue Bird's established brand and focus on EV buses provide opportunities, while challenges include reliance on government funding and potential economic downturns. The company needs to continue innovating and managing costs to maintain its competitive edge in a dynamically changing market.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Financial Reports
- Industry Analysis Reports
- Press Releases
- Analyst Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions are dynamic, and the information provided may not be current. Verify data with official sources before making investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Blue Bird Corp
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Macon, GA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2014-03-20 | President, CEO & Director Mr. John Wyskiel | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery | Full time employees 1945 | Website https://www.blue-bird.com |
Full time employees 1945 | Website https://www.blue-bird.com |
Blue Bird Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells school buses in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Bus and Parts. It offers Type C, Type D, and specialty buses; and alternative power options through its propane powered, gasoline powered, compressed natural gas powered, and electric powered school buses, as well as diesel engines. The company also sells replacement bus parts; and provides extended warranties related to its products. Blue Bird Corporation sells its products through drop ship and a network of dealers, as well as directly to fleet operators, the United States government, and state governments; independent service centers; and maintains a parts distribution center. Blue Bird Corporation was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Macon, Georgia.

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