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Blue Bird Corp (BLBD)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
07/11/2025: BLBD (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $51.57
1 Year Target Price $51.57
4 | Strong Buy |
2 | Buy |
1 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 47.94% | Avg. Invested days 40 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.42B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 13.96 | 1Y Target Price 51.57 |
Price to earnings Ratio 13.96 | 1Y Target Price 51.57 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 7 | Beta 1.4 | 52 Weeks Range 30.04 - 55.60 | Updated Date 07/12/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 30.04 - 55.60 | Updated Date 07/12/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.22 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 7.97% | Operating Margin (TTM) 9.54% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 16.6% | Return on Equity (TTM) 73.03% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 13.96 | Forward PE 12.32 | Enterprise Value 1381156112 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.05 |
Enterprise Value 1381156112 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.05 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.02 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.95 | Shares Outstanding 31565500 | Shares Floating 31442663 |
Shares Outstanding 31565500 | Shares Floating 31442663 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.83 | Percent Institutions 119.22 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Blue Bird Corp

Company Overview
History and Background
Blue Bird Corp. was founded in 1927 by Albert L. Luce in Fort Valley, Georgia. Originally producing school buses, it has evolved to offer a range of alternative fuel options and advanced safety features. Blue Bird has remained a prominent player in the student transportation market.
Core Business Areas
- School Buses: Designs, manufactures, and sells school buses, including conventional (Type C), transit-style (Type D), and small bus models. These buses come in various fuel types, including diesel, gasoline, propane, and electric.
- Aftermarket Parts and Services: Provides aftermarket parts, service support, and extended warranty programs for its school buses.
Leadership and Structure
Phil Horlock serves as the President and CEO. The company has a board of directors overseeing strategic direction, and its organizational structure is divided into functional areas such as engineering, manufacturing, sales, and finance.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Type C School Buses: Conventional school buses are the workhorse of student transportation. Blue Bird is a leader in this segment. Competitors include Navistar (IC Bus) and Thomas Built Buses (Daimler Truck North America). Market share data is constantly in flux and is hard to pinpoint the latest value, but generally they have a good portion of the Type C bus market.
- Type D School Buses: Transit-style school buses offer enhanced visibility and maneuverability. Competitors include Navistar (IC Bus) and Thomas Built Buses (Daimler Truck North America). Market share data is constantly in flux and is hard to pinpoint the latest value.
- Electric School Buses: Blue Bird has invested heavily in electric school bus technology, offering a zero-emission transportation solution. Competitors include Lion Electric (LEV), Proterra (PTRA), and GreenPower Motor Company (GP). This a growing segment that they are trying to capture.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The school bus market is driven by student population, school district budgets, and regulatory requirements, particularly safety and emissions standards. Demand for alternative fuel and electric buses is increasing due to environmental concerns and government incentives.
Positioning
Blue Bird Corp. is a leading school bus manufacturer with a strong brand reputation and a comprehensive product portfolio. It differentiates itself through its commitment to safety, innovation, and alternative fuel options.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The North American school bus market is estimated to be around $3-$4 billion annually. Blue Bird aims to increase its market share through expanded alternative fuel offerings and electric school bus sales.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand reputation
- Comprehensive product portfolio
- Leadership in alternative fuel buses
- Established distribution network
- Long history in the school bus market
Weaknesses
- Reliance on school district budgets
- Exposure to commodity price fluctuations
- Potential supply chain disruptions
- Profit margins in alternative fuel technologies are still low.
Opportunities
- Growing demand for electric school buses
- Government incentives for alternative fuel vehicles
- Expansion into new geographic markets
- Development of advanced safety features
- Increase services and aftermarket parts sales
Threats
- Intense competition in the school bus market
- Economic downturn impacting school budgets
- Changing regulatory requirements
- Technological advancements from competitors
- Rising material costs
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- NAV
- Daimler Truck North America - Private
- LEV
- GP
Competitive Landscape
Blue Bird competes on price, product features, and brand reputation. It is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for electric buses. However, Navistar (IC Bus) and Thomas Built Buses (Daimler Truck North America) offer strong competition in the traditional school bus market. LEV (Lion Electric) is also a major competitor in the electric market.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth is tied to school bus sales volumes, which are impacted by school funding and economic conditions. Requires sales data over time.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates suggest growth in revenue driven by increased demand for electric and alternative fuel buses. The growth rate is likely to be in the 5-10% range over the next few years. This needs to be verified with actual analyst estimates.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding its electric bus production capacity, developing new safety technologies, and strengthening its relationships with school districts.
Summary
Blue Bird is a prominent player in the school bus market, particularly with alternative fuel offerings. The company has a long history and is well positioned for the growing electric school bus market. Potential threats include increasing competition, fluctuation in material costs and dependence on government incentives. They need to ensure they are first to the market in the newer technology to maintain future growth.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company reports
- Industry analysis reports
- Analyst estimates
- Company press releases
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Market share data is approximate and may vary depending on the source. Financial data is based on available information and may not be complete or accurate.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Blue Bird Corp
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Macon, GA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2014-03-20 | President, CEO & Director Mr. John Wyskiel | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery | Full time employees 1945 | Website https://www.blue-bird.com |
Full time employees 1945 | Website https://www.blue-bird.com |
Blue Bird Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells school buses in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Bus and Parts. It offers Type C, Type D, and specialty buses; and alternative power options through its propane powered, gasoline powered, compressed natural gas powered, and electric powered school buses, as well as diesel engines. The company also sells replacement bus parts; and provides extended warranties related to its products. Blue Bird Corporation sells its products through drop ship and a network of dealers, as well as directly to fleet operators, the United States government, and state governments; independent service centers; and maintains a parts distribution center. Blue Bird Corporation was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Macon, Georgia.

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