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Blue Bird Corp (BLBD)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$57.89
Last Close (24-hour delay)
Profit since last BUY52.46%
upturn advisory
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY since 94 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

09/16/2025: BLBD (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

7 Analysts rated it

Limited analyst coverage, niche firm, research info may be scarce.

1 Year Target Price $56.57

1 Year Target Price $56.57

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$56.57 Target price
52w Low $30.04
Current$57.89
52w High $60.45

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 90.53%
Avg. Invested days 49
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 4.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/16/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.78B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 16.11
1Y Target Price 56.57
Price to earnings Ratio 16.11
1Y Target Price 56.57
Volume (30-day avg) 7
Beta 1.61
52 Weeks Range 30.04 - 60.45
Updated Date 09/16/2025
52 Weeks Range 30.04 - 60.45
Updated Date 09/16/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 3.49

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 8.16%
Operating Margin (TTM) 12.72%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 17.2%
Return on Equity (TTM) 64.54%

Valuation

Trailing PE 16.11
Forward PE 14.14
Enterprise Value 1756219376
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.25
Enterprise Value 1756219376
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.25
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.24
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.48
Shares Outstanding 31707900
Shares Floating 31393400
Shares Outstanding 31707900
Shares Floating 31393400
Percent Insiders 0.7
Percent Institutions 113.4

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Blue Bird Corp

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Blue Bird Corp. was founded in 1927 by Albert L. Luce Sr. as a solution to transport his children to school. Over the years, it has grown to become a leading manufacturer of school buses, known for its innovation and safety features. The company has adapted to changing market demands, including the development of alternative fuel buses.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • School Bus Manufacturing: Blue Bird's primary business is the design, engineering, manufacture, and sale of school buses. This includes Type A, C, and D school buses powered by diesel, gasoline, propane, CNG, and electric.
  • Parts and Service: Blue Bird also provides aftermarket parts, service, and support for its buses. This includes a network of dealers and service centers.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The leadership team includes Phil Horlock (President and CEO), and Jennifer Stevenson (Chief Financial Officer). The organizational structure consists of various departments including engineering, manufacturing, sales, marketing, and finance, all reporting to the executive leadership.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Type C School Buses: Blue Bird's Type C conventional school buses are a core product, available in various fuel types. The Blue Bird Vision is a popular model. While exact market share is dynamic, Blue Bird has a significant portion of the Type C market. Competitors include Thomas Built Buses (Daimler) and IC Bus (Navistar).
  • Type D School Buses: The Blue Bird All American is a Type D school bus, known for its flat-front design and durability. It's available in different fuel options, including electric. Blue Bird holds a substantial share of the Type D market. Competitors include Thomas Built Buses and IC Bus.
  • Electric School Buses: Blue Bird is a leader in electric school bus technology, offering electric versions of its Type C and Type D buses. The market share for electric buses is growing rapidly, and Blue Bird aims to be a key player. Competitors in the electric bus market include Proterra and Lion Electric.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The school bus industry is characterized by relatively stable demand, driven by student transportation needs. There is increasing interest in alternative fuel and electric buses to reduce emissions and operating costs. Government regulations and funding play a significant role in the industry.

Positioning

Blue Bird Corp is positioned as a leading manufacturer of school buses, known for innovation, safety, and a wide range of fuel options. They have a competitive advantage in the electric school bus market with their established infrastructure and dealer network.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The total addressable market for school buses is estimated to be in the billions of dollars annually. Blue Bird is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of this market, especially with the growing demand for electric buses.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong brand recognition
  • Established dealer network
  • Wide range of product offerings (fuel types)
  • Leadership in electric school bus technology
  • Long history in the industry

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on government funding
  • Exposure to commodity price fluctuations (steel, fuel)
  • Potential supply chain disruptions
  • High capital expenditure requirements

Opportunities

  • Growing demand for electric school buses
  • Government incentives and funding for clean transportation
  • Expansion into new markets
  • Development of advanced safety features

Threats

  • Increased competition from new entrants
  • Changes in government regulations
  • Economic downturns impacting school budgets
  • Technological advancements disrupting the industry

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • NAV
  • WAB
  • BYDDF

Competitive Landscape

Blue Bird benefits from its focus on EV buses, but competitors have more diversified business models. Competition is largely based on price, features, and government incentives.

Major Acquisitions

None

  • Year: 2024
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 0
  • Strategic Rationale: No recent acquisitions.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Historical growth can be seen in the company's annual reports, look at revenue, sales, and profit over the past few years.

Future Projections: Future projections are based on analyst estimates, look for analyst reports on sites such as Yahoo Finance, and others. These may be influenced by growth in electric vehicle market.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in electric bus technology, expansion of production capacity, and strategic partnerships. See the company's investor relations page for the latest updates.

Summary

Blue Bird is a major player in the school bus market, especially poised for growth in electric buses. However, the company faces competition from established players and risks linked to governmental regulation and supply chains. Blue Bird's established brand and focus on EV buses provide opportunities, while challenges include reliance on government funding and potential economic downturns. The company needs to continue innovating and managing costs to maintain its competitive edge in a dynamically changing market.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company Financial Reports
  • Industry Analysis Reports
  • Press Releases
  • Analyst Reports

Disclaimers:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions are dynamic, and the information provided may not be current. Verify data with official sources before making investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Blue Bird Corp

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Macon, GA, United States
IPO Launch date 2014-03-20
President, CEO & Director Mr. John Wyskiel
Sector Industrials
Industry Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Full time employees 1945
Full time employees 1945

Blue Bird Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells school buses in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Bus and Parts. It offers Type C, Type D, and specialty buses; and alternative power options through its propane powered, gasoline powered, compressed natural gas powered, and electric powered school buses, as well as diesel engines. The company also sells replacement bus parts; and provides extended warranties related to its products. Blue Bird Corporation sells its products through drop ship and a network of dealers, as well as directly to fleet operators, the United States government, and state governments; independent service centers; and maintains a parts distribution center. Blue Bird Corporation was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Macon, Georgia.