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Blue Bird Corp (BLBD)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/31/2025: BLBD (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $63.75
1 Year Target Price $63.75
| 4 | Strong Buy |
| 2 | Buy |
| 1 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 77.03% | Avg. Invested days 51 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.49B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 12.11 | 1Y Target Price 63.75 |
Price to earnings Ratio 12.11 | 1Y Target Price 63.75 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 7 | Beta 1.42 | 52 Weeks Range 30.04 - 61.95 | Updated Date 01/1/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 30.04 - 61.95 | Updated Date 01/1/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.88 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 8.63% | Operating Margin (TTM) 12.36% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 18.36% | Return on Equity (TTM) 61.56% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 12.11 | Forward PE 13.12 | Enterprise Value 1351614073 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.01 |
Enterprise Value 1351614073 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.01 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.14 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.69 | Shares Outstanding 31714959 | Shares Floating 31365143 |
Shares Outstanding 31714959 | Shares Floating 31365143 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.97 | Percent Institutions 113.58 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Blue Bird Corp

Company Overview
History and Background
Blue Bird Corporation was founded in 1927 by Albert Louis McLeod in Fort Valley, Georgia. It is one of the largest bus manufacturers in the United States, primarily known for its school buses. Over the decades, Blue Bird has evolved, adapting to changing safety standards and technological advancements in the automotive and transportation industries. It has a long-standing reputation for reliability and safety in student transportation.
Core Business Areas
- School Buses: Design, manufacture, and sale of a wide range of school buses, including conventional, transit, and specialty models. This is their primary and most recognized business segment.
- Commercial Buses: Production of buses for various commercial applications, such as shuttle buses, tour buses, and transit buses for public transportation, though this is a smaller segment compared to school buses.
- Parts and Service: Provides aftermarket parts and service support for its bus products, including maintenance, repairs, and replacement parts.
Leadership and Structure
Blue Bird Corporation is a publicly traded company with a Board of Directors overseeing its strategy and operations. The executive leadership team includes a CEO, CFO, and other key officers responsible for different functional areas. The company operates manufacturing facilities and sales networks across North America.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- All American School Bus: Blue Bird's flagship conventional school bus, known for its robust construction, safety features, and reliability in student transportation. Competitors include Thomas Built Buses, IC Bus, and Freightliner. Market share data for individual products is not publicly disclosed, but Blue Bird is a significant player in the school bus market.
- Vision School Bus: Another popular model of conventional school bus offering various configurations and seating capacities. Competitors include Thomas Built Buses, IC Bus, and Freightliner. Specific market share for this model is not publicly available.
- Electric Buses (e.g., All-Electric Type D): Blue Bird is expanding its offering of electric school buses, a growing segment driven by environmental concerns and government incentives. Competitors in this space include Navistar (IC Bus), GreenPower Motor Company, and Proterra. The market share for electric school buses is rapidly growing but still a fraction of the overall school bus market.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The bus manufacturing industry, particularly for school buses, is characterized by long sales cycles, significant capital investment, and stringent regulatory requirements related to safety and emissions. The market is influenced by government funding for education, fleet replacement cycles, and increasing demand for alternative fuel vehicles (electric and propane).
Positioning
Blue Bird is positioned as a leading manufacturer of school buses in North America, with a strong brand reputation for safety and durability. Its competitive advantages lie in its extensive dealer network, established customer relationships, and a broad product portfolio designed to meet diverse customer needs. The company is also making significant investments in electric vehicle technology to address the evolving market.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for school buses in North America is estimated to be in the billions of dollars, driven by the need to replace aging fleets and comply with evolving safety and environmental standards. Blue Bird holds a significant position within this TAM, competing for a substantial share of annual fleet purchases. The growing segment of electric buses represents a significant opportunity within this overall market.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition and reputation for safety and reliability in the school bus market.
- Extensive dealer network and established customer relationships across North America.
- Broad product portfolio catering to various school transportation needs.
- Experience in manufacturing and implementing alternative fuel vehicles (e.g., propane, electric).
Weaknesses
- Susceptible to fluctuations in government funding for education.
- Long sales cycles can impact revenue predictability.
- Competition from larger, diversified transportation manufacturers.
- Reliance on a large portion of its revenue from the school bus segment.
Opportunities
- Growing demand for electric school buses driven by environmental initiatives and incentives.
- Expansion into new geographic markets or commercial bus applications.
- Leveraging technology for enhanced bus safety and operational efficiency.
- Partnerships for battery technology or charging infrastructure development.
Threats
- Economic downturns affecting school district budgets.
- Increased competition, especially in the emerging electric bus market.
- Supply chain disruptions and raw material cost volatility.
- Changes in government regulations or funding priorities.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Thomas Built Buses (part of Daimler Truck AG)
- IC Bus (part of Navistar International Corporation)
- New Flyer Industries (part of NFI Group)
- Gillig Corporation
Competitive Landscape
Blue Bird's competitive advantages include its long-standing reputation, extensive dealer network, and a broad product range. However, it faces strong competition from larger players like IC Bus and Thomas Built Buses, which have significant resources and market reach. The rapidly evolving electric bus segment presents both opportunities and threats, with newer players and established competitors investing heavily.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Blue Bird's historical growth has been closely tied to the demand for school buses, influenced by school district budgets and fleet replacement cycles. The company has also focused on expanding its product offerings, including alternative fuel vehicles, to drive growth.
Future Projections: Future growth is expected to be driven by the increasing adoption of electric school buses, potential government incentives for zero-emission vehicles, and ongoing demand for traditional school bus replacements. Analyst estimates for future earnings per share (EPS) and revenue growth would provide more specific projections.
Recent Initiatives: Significant investment in developing and expanding its electric bus product line.,Partnerships to enhance its electric vehicle offerings and charging solutions.,Focus on operational efficiency and cost management to improve profitability.
Summary
Blue Bird Corp is a prominent player in the school bus manufacturing industry with a strong legacy of safety and reliability. Its core strength lies in its established brand and dealer network. The company's future growth is significantly tied to the burgeoning electric bus market, where it is actively investing. However, it faces intense competition and economic sensitivities related to school district funding, necessitating continued innovation and strategic partnerships to maintain its market position.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Industry Analysis Reports
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters, Wall Street Journal)
- Company Investor Relations
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and general industry knowledge. Financial data and market share figures are subject to change and may not be entirely up-to-date. This JSON output is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Blue Bird Corp
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Macon, GA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2014-03-20 | President, CEO & Director Mr. John Wyskiel | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery | Full time employees 2008 | Website https://www.blue-bird.com |
Full time employees 2008 | Website https://www.blue-bird.com | ||
Blue Bird Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells school buses in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Bus and Parts. It offers Type C, Type D, and specialty buses; and alternative power options through its propane powered, gasoline powered, compressed natural gas powered, and electric powered school buses, as well as diesel engines. The company also sells replacement bus parts; and provides extended warranties related to its products. Blue Bird Corporation sells its products through drop ship and a network of dealers, as well as directly to fleet operators, the United States government, and state governments; independent service centers; and maintains a parts distribution center. Blue Bird Corporation was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Macon, Georgia.

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