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Upturn AI Summary - About
Builders FirstSource Inc(BLDR)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for BLDR
10/26/2026: BLDR (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Builders FirstSource is a leading supplier of structural building products and services for professional homebuilders in the United States. The company has a leading position in the industry, having built a robust national network through strategic acquisitions like the merger with BMC Stock Holdings. Its primary growth story revolves around consolidating a fragmented market and increasing the adoption of prefabricated components. However, investors face risks from its significant sensitivity to housing market cycles, commodity price volatility, and high capital requirements. The stock may best suit growth-oriented investors who can tolerate cyclicality and are comfortable with a company that reinvests all cash flow into growth rather than paying dividends.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit | The company utilizes a proven acquisition strategy to capture share in a massive, fragmented market. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | Strong performance during housing booms can drive significant short-term stock appreciation. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | Cyclical nature makes valuation sensitive to housing market downturns. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not pay a dividend, focusing instead on capital reinvestment. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | Significant exposure to housing cycles creates high beta and volatility. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Commodity lumber prices fluctuate rapidly, impacting short-term margins. |
| Valuation risk | Medium / high | Market expectations for housing growth can lead to valuation swings. |
| Competition risk (National Retailers) | Medium | Large retailers like HD and LOW command massive resources. |
| Business quality | Strong | The company has established a robust, hard-to-replicate national distribution network. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | There is no dividend component to total return. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Integrating large acquisitions is complex and resource-intensive. |
Price Behavior
Steep Decline
The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 6.18% | Avg. Invested days 50 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  4.0 | Stock Returns Performance  2.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/26/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 6.12B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 61.79 | 1Y Target Price 69.36 |
Price to earnings Ratio 61.79 | 1Y Target Price 69.36 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3.3M shares | Beta 1.45 | 52 Weeks Range 49.67 - 131.50 | Updated Date 10/25/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 49.67 - 131.50 | Updated Date 10/25/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.92 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Structural Components | Trusses, wall panels, and engineered wood. | Selling prefabricated construction parts that save builders labor and time. |
| Lumber & Materials | Lumber, sheet goods, and building supplies. | Providing the essential commodities required to frame homes. |
| Services & Finished Goods | Millwork, windows, doors, and installation. | High-margin finished products and labor-intensive installation services. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-10-29 | When Before Market | Estimate 1.13 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 0.71% | Operating Margin (TTM) 3.33% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.39% | Return on Equity (TTM) 2.51% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 61.79 | Forward PE 14.47 | Enterprise Value 11.78B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.42 |
Enterprise Value 11.78B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.42 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.82 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.4 | Shares Outstanding 107.60M | Shares Floating 104.48M |
Shares Outstanding 107.60M | Shares Floating 104.48M | ||
Percent Insiders 2.72 | Percent Institutions 101.88 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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