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Upturn AI Summary - About
Bumble Inc(BMBL)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for BMBL
10/30/2026: BMBL (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Bumble Inc is a prominent player in the online dating industry, known for its focus on empowering women through its signature 'first move' feature. The company has a solid position in the premium dating market, which supports its subscription-based business model and healthy revenue generation. Its primary growth opportunity lies in international expansion and new, AI-driven product features. However, Bumble faces significant risks from intense competition, particularly from Match Group, and shifting consumer behavior. The stock is best suited for growth-oriented investors with a high risk tolerance, and observers should closely monitor user acquisition trends and leadership's ability to maintain brand relevance.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Bumble offers growth potential in the digital dating space but faces stiff competition and slowing user acquisition. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | This style is conditional on a clear positive technical trend, which can be volatile for this stock. |
| Value investor | Weak fit | The company's valuation is often tied to growth projections rather than traditional value metrics. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | Bumble does not currently pay a dividend, making it unsuitable for income-focused portfolios. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The stock's high volatility and exposure to consumer sentiment make it unsuitable for conservative investors. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The stock is subject to sharp price fluctuations based on earnings reports and competitive updates. |
| Valuation risk | Medium / high | Expectations of future growth can lead to significant repricing if performance targets are missed. |
| Competition risk (Match Group) | High | Match Group's extensive portfolio provides them with significant resources to challenge Bumble's market share. |
| Business quality | Medium | Bumble has a strong brand but remains sensitive to changing user preferences. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | There is no dividend yield to provide a buffer for shareholders. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Successful product iteration and effective leadership are critical to sustaining user growth. |
Price Behavior
Steady Uptrend
The stock demonstrates consistent and steady upward price momentum.
Extreme Price Shocks
The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -67.6% | Avg. Invested days 19 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/30/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 917.77M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 4.32 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 4.32 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 9.5M shares | Beta 1.89 | 52 Weeks Range 2.44 - 6.00 | Updated Date 11/01/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 2.44 - 6.00 | Updated Date 11/01/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -4.15 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| In-App Purchases & Subscriptions | Bumble Premium, Bumble Boost, Spotlight, and SuperSwipe features across all app platforms. | Bumble makes money by converting free users into paying subscribers who want enhanced features and greater visibility. |
| Geography | North America, Europe, and Rest of World revenue streams. | International expansion is key, but North America currently drives the majority of high-margin revenue. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-11-04 | When After Market | Estimate 0.23 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -57.96% | Operating Margin (TTM) 28.14% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 9.15% | Return on Equity (TTM) -76.92% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 9.32 | Enterprise Value 1.11B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.03 |
Enterprise Value 1.11B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.03 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.24 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.72 | Shares Outstanding 131.97M | Shares Floating 74.58M |
Shares Outstanding 131.97M | Shares Floating 74.58M | ||
Percent Insiders 24.47 | Percent Institutions 93.73 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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