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BioXcel Therapeutics Inc (BTAI)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/06/2026: BTAI (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $16.75
1 Year Target Price $16.75
| 1 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 0 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -95.02% | Avg. Invested days 22 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 39.15M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 16.75 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 16.75 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3 | Beta 0.22 | 52 Weeks Range 1.17 - 8.08 | Updated Date 01/6/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 1.17 - 8.08 | Updated Date 01/6/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -9.29 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) -14320.41% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -67.31% | Return on Equity (TTM) -1766.94% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 110288134 | Price to Sales(TTM) 52.06 |
Enterprise Value 110288134 | Price to Sales(TTM) 52.06 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 146.66 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -0.75 | Shares Outstanding 21869491 | Shares Floating 21302415 |
Shares Outstanding 21869491 | Shares Floating 21302415 | ||
Percent Insiders 4.21 | Percent Institutions 12.1 |
Upturn AI SWOT
BioXcel Therapeutics Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
BioXcel Therapeutics, Inc. was founded in 2015 with the mission to develop innovative therapeutics leveraging artificial intelligence (AI) for drug discovery and development. The company's core strategy is to identify novel drug candidates and advance them through clinical trials. A significant milestone was the initiation of clinical programs in immuno-oncology and neuroscience. The company has evolved by integrating AI into its research and development processes, aiming to accelerate the discovery and development timelines compared to traditional methods.
Core Business Areas
- Oncology Therapeutics: BioXcel Therapeutics is focused on developing novel therapies for cancer, utilizing its AI platform to identify new targets and drug candidates. Their approach aims to enhance the efficacy of existing cancer treatments and discover new mechanisms of action. Currently, the company has preclinical and early-stage clinical programs in this area.
- Neuroscience Therapeutics: The company is also exploring the development of treatments for neurological disorders, again leveraging AI to identify therapeutic opportunities. This segment focuses on conditions with high unmet medical needs. Their pipeline includes candidates targeting various neurological pathways.
Leadership and Structure
BioXcel Therapeutics, Inc. operates with a management team that includes expertise in drug development, AI, and business strategy. The organizational structure is designed to foster innovation, with dedicated teams for research, clinical development, regulatory affairs, and commercial strategy. Specific leadership roles and the exact organizational chart are subject to change and are best obtained from the company's official investor relations or corporate website.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Product Name 1: BXCL701 (Agonistic Immuno-Oncology Agent): A small molecule agent designed to activate the innate immune system and overcome resistance to immunotherapy. It is being investigated in combination with other cancer treatments. Competitors in this space include companies developing similar immuno-oncology agents and checkpoint inhibitors. Specific market share data is not publicly available for this early-stage asset.
- Product Name 2: BXCL501 (Selective Beta-3 Adrenergic Receptor Agonist): A neuroscience-focused asset intended for the treatment of agitation associated with neurological and psychiatric conditions, such as Alzheimer's disease and schizophrenia. Competitors include pharmaceutical companies with existing treatments for agitation, though BXCL501 aims for a novel mechanism and improved safety profile. Market share data for this investigational product is not applicable.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The biopharmaceutical industry is characterized by high research and development costs, stringent regulatory processes, and a constant need for innovation. The immuno-oncology market is rapidly expanding, driven by the promise of more effective cancer treatments. The neuroscience sector faces significant challenges in drug development due to the complexity of the brain, but also presents substantial opportunities for treatments addressing unmet needs. AI integration is a growing trend across the industry, aiming to improve efficiency and success rates in drug discovery.
Positioning
BioXcel Therapeutics positions itself as an AI-driven biopharmaceutical company with a differentiated approach to drug discovery and development. Its competitive advantage lies in its proprietary AI platform, which aims to identify novel drug candidates and accelerate their progression through the development pipeline. The company focuses on therapeutic areas with significant unmet medical needs.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for oncology therapeutics is in the hundreds of billions of dollars globally, with significant growth projected. The neuroscience market, particularly for conditions like Alzheimer's disease and agitation, also represents a multi-billion dollar opportunity. BioXcel Therapeutics is positioned to address specific segments within these broad markets with its targeted therapeutic candidates. The company's market penetration will depend on the successful clinical development and commercialization of its pipeline assets.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Proprietary AI platform for drug discovery and development
- Focus on high unmet medical needs in oncology and neuroscience
- Experienced management team with scientific and business acumen
- Potential for accelerated drug development timelines
Weaknesses
- Early-stage pipeline with unproven clinical efficacy
- High dependence on successful clinical trial outcomes
- Significant capital requirements for drug development
- Reliance on AI as a core but still evolving technology
Opportunities
- Growing demand for novel cancer therapies
- Unmet needs in neurological and psychiatric disorders
- Advancements in AI and machine learning can further enhance discovery
- Potential for strategic partnerships and collaborations
Threats
- Intense competition in oncology and neuroscience markets
- Regulatory hurdles and lengthy approval processes
- Clinical trial failures or unexpected adverse events
- Fluctuations in pharmaceutical R&D funding and investor sentiment
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Pfizer Inc. (PFE)
- Eli Lilly and Company (LLY)
- Bristol Myers Squibb Company (BMY)
- Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK)
Competitive Landscape
BioXcel Therapeutics faces competition from established pharmaceutical giants with extensive R&D capabilities, broad product portfolios, and significant market presence in oncology and neuroscience. Its advantage lies in its AI-driven approach, which could lead to faster discovery and potentially novel mechanisms of action. However, it lacks the established commercial infrastructure and proven track record of its larger competitors. The company's ability to secure partnerships and demonstrate unique clinical benefits will be crucial.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: BioXcel Therapeutics' historical growth has been characterized by the expansion of its R&D pipeline, driven by its AI platform. This includes the initiation and progression of preclinical and early-stage clinical programs. The company has also focused on strengthening its leadership team and securing funding to support its growth.
Future Projections: Future growth projections for BioXcel Therapeutics are heavily dependent on the successful clinical development and regulatory approval of its lead drug candidates. Analyst estimates, if available, would likely focus on potential market penetration and peak sales of its pipeline products. Key milestones such as positive Phase 2/3 trial results would be significant drivers of future valuation and growth.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives likely include advancing its clinical programs, potentially through new trial initiations or data readouts, exploring new therapeutic applications for its AI platform, and engaging in strategic partnerships or collaborations to accelerate development and commercialization efforts. Securing additional funding rounds is also a common initiative for growth-stage biotechs.
Summary
BioXcel Therapeutics is an early-stage biopharmaceutical company utilizing AI for drug discovery in oncology and neuroscience. Its AI platform is a key strength, aiming to accelerate development. However, its pipeline is unproven, and the company faces significant financial risks and intense competition from larger established players. Success hinges on clinical trial outcomes and securing substantial funding. The company needs to carefully manage its cash burn and demonstrate clear clinical differentiation to thrive.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company's official investor relations website
- SEC filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Financial news and analysis platforms
- Industry research reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Investment in biotechnology companies, especially early-stage ones, involves significant risk. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About BioXcel Therapeutics Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters New Haven, CT, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2018-03-08 | Founder, CEO, President, & Director Dr. Vimal D. Mehta Ph.D. | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic | Full time employees 37 | |
Full time employees 37 | |||
BioXcel Therapeutics, Inc., together with its subsidiary, OnkosXcel Therapeutics LLC, operates as a biopharmaceutical company that utilizes artificial intelligence approaches to develop medicines in neuroscience and immuno-oncology in the United States. The company IGALMI, a sublingual film for the acute treatment of agitation associated with schizophrenia or bipolar I or II disorder in adults. It also develops its neuroscience candidate, BXCL501, which is an investigational, proprietary, orally dissolving film formulation of dexmedetomidine in Phase 3 trial for the treatment of agitation associated with bipolar disorders, schizophrenia, and Alzheimer's disease, as well as opioid use disorder, alcohol use disorder with comorbid post-traumatic stress disorder, and acute stress disorder; and its immune-oncology candidate, BXCL701, which is an investigational oral innate immune activator that has completed Phase 1b/2a trial for the treatment of aggressive forms of prostate cancer, pancreatic cancer, and other solid and liquid tumors. In addition, the company engages in the development of BXCL502 for the treatment of stress-related neuropsychiatric symptoms in dementia and other stress-related disorders; BXCL503, a drug candidate to target apathy in dementia; and BXCL504, which has the potential to address apathy and aggression in dementia. The company has collaborations with Columbia University, Yale University Medical School, and University of North Carolina for the development of BXCL501. BioXcel Therapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in New Haven, Connecticut.

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