Baozun Inc logo

Baozun Inc(BZUN)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
2-STAR RATING
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY for 12 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
+12.62% ▲
LAST CLOSE
$3.48
10/13/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for BZUN

10/13/2026: BZUN (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Baozun Inc is a specialized e-commerce services company and brand operator that helps global retailers navigate the complex Chinese market. Its core strengths include deep technical integration with major platforms and a transition toward a higher-margin brand management model. While this shift offers significant long-term growth opportunities, the company faces execution risks, intense competition from platform-native solutions, and macro-economic headwinds in China. Investors should monitor the profitability of its brand management segment and the retention of its key global partners. Baozun may suit growth-oriented investors with a high risk tolerance who are comfortable with the inherent volatility of the Chinese consumer retail sector.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitThe company offers exposure to the growth of the Chinese consumer market, though growth has slowed significantly.
Momentum investorWeak fitThe stock has faced sustained downward pressure, lacking the positive price trend momentum requires.
Value investorMixed fitWhile the stock appears inexpensive relative to historical highs, the business model is still undergoing a complex transition.
Dividend investorWeak fitBaozun does not pay a dividend and has historically reinvested all capital.
Low-risk investorWeak fitHigh volatility and sensitivity to geopolitical and regulatory risks make it unsuitable for conservative portfolios.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock is susceptible to sharp swings based on Chinese retail data and geopolitical sentiment.
Valuation riskMediumWhile trading at lower multiples, valuation is tied to the successful execution of the new brand management model.
Competition risk (E-commerce service providers)HighIntense competition from platform-native solutions threatens Baozun's core service margins.
Business qualityMediumThe ongoing transition to brand management creates uncertainty regarding long-term margin profiles.
Dividend incomeLow / noneThere is no dividend income for investors.
Execution riskHighManaging retail brands like GAP requires a different skillset than providing back-end tech support.

Price Behavior

Strong Uptrend
PRICE PATH

Strong Uptrend

The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.

Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -25.97%
Avg. Invested days 20
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/13/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
BZUN receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
BZUN has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with moderate financial health, moderate growth momentum, and moderate ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, growth and ownership metrics are mixed: negative earnings growth (-30.7%), soft cash generation (FCF margin 2.7%), moderate revenue growth (+5.6%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
BZUN's financial health is supported by solid liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 32.6%). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is BZUN's strongest growth driver at +349.2% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, while revenue growth (+5.6%, moderate) and earnings growth (-30.7%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 24.2% (moderate) and 77.5% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable (solid). Insider ownership is only 0.09%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Schroder Investment Management Group 4.17%
Acadian Asset Management LLC 3.66%
Two Sigma Investments LLC 1.93%
Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership 1.54%
Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd 1.35%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
BZUN generates approximately $509 of gross profit, $8 of operating income, and $27 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Soft margins explain the 1-star rating, with weak cash conversion and weak capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: -5.22% (Tax Credit)

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
BZUN has a liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedLow VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 196.83M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 24.21
1Y Target Price 4.59
Price to earnings Ratio 24.21
1Y Target Price 4.59
Volume (30-day avg) 230.1K shares
Beta 0.39
52 Weeks Range 2.07 - 3.82
Updated Date 10/13/2026
52 Weeks Range 2.07 - 3.82
Updated Date 10/13/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.14

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
E-commerce ServiceOperations, IT, and marketing services for brand partners.Baozun earns fees for helping global brands sell online in China.
Brand ManagementDirect ownership/operation of retail brands like GAP China.Baozun acts as a retailer, keeping the profit (and risk) of selling products directly.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 24.21
Forward PE 16.37
Enterprise Value 68.57M
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.02
Enterprise Value 68.57M
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.02
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.04
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 2.18
Shares Outstanding 53.63M
Shares Floating 41.55M
Shares Outstanding 53.63M
Shares Floating 41.55M
Percent Insiders 0.09
Percent Institutions 24.2

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.