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CAE Inc. Common Shares(CAE)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
1-STAR RATING
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY for 5 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
+2.45% ▲
LAST CLOSE
$26.37
11/02/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for CAE

11/02/2026: CAE (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

CAE Inc. is a global leader in simulation and training, serving the civil aviation, defense, and healthcare sectors. The company benefits from a large installed base of flight simulators, providing recurring service revenue. Its primary growth opportunity lies in digitizing pilot training through advanced analytics like CAE Rise and expanding its defense portfolio. However, investors face risks from cyclical aerospace demand, intense competition from major defense contractors, and potential execution challenges in large-scale projects. The stock is generally suited for investors seeking exposure to the aerospace sector with a long-term horizon; monitoring defense contract awards and global air traffic trends is essential for assessing future performance.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitCAE offers steady growth linked to aviation cycles, but is not a high-beta hyper-growth stock.
Momentum investorWeak fitThe stock tends to trade based on long-term industry fundamentals rather than short-term price momentum.
Value investorMixed fitValuation is often tied to capital expenditure cycles, making it a nuanced play for value investors.
Dividend investorMixed fitDividends are present but may not provide the high yields preferred by pure income investors.
Low-risk investorMixed fitWhile established, the company is exposed to cyclical risks inherent in aerospace and defense.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityMediumAerospace stocks can experience volatility tied to global economic and air traffic reports.
Valuation riskMediumPricing power and market multiples are dependent on the successful execution of long-term service contracts.
Competition risk (Defense contractors)Medium / highLarge defense firms often compete for the same government training and simulation budgets.
Business qualityMediumCAE has a strong market position but operates in capital-intensive, cyclical segments.
Dividend incomeLowDividend payouts are subject to cash flow management and corporate capital allocation policies.
Execution riskMediumDelivering complex, large-scale defense projects on time and budget is critical for margin stability.

Price Behavior

Downtrend
PRICE PATH

Downtrend

The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -16.56%
Avg. Invested days 27
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 11/02/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
CAE receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
CAE has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with moderate financial health, moderate growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2026 versus FY2025, solid cash generation (FCF margin 11.9%) is partially offset by negative earnings growth (-22.5%), moderate revenue growth (+4.6%), soft profitability (net margin 6.4%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
CAE's financial health is supported by solid cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation (11.9% of revenue). Profitability is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is CAE's strongest growth driver at +29.4% FY2026 versus FY2025 (solid, 4 stars). By comparison, while earnings growth (-22.5%, negative) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 88.1% and approximately 89.8% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership is only 0.03%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Caisse De Depot Et Placement Du Quebec 9.61%
1832 Asset Management L.P 6.08%
Brandes Investment Partners & Co 5.72%
Browning West LP 3.92%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 2.76%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
CAE generates approximately $273 of gross profit, $127 of operating income, and $119 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2026 results. Moderate margins and solid cash conversion support a 3-star rating, while capital efficiency is soft.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 19.37%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
CAE has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while valuation that is moderately attractive rather than deeply discounted.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Small / Mid Cap RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 8.30B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 40.31
1Y Target Price 33.11
Price to earnings Ratio 40.31
1Y Target Price 33.11
Volume (30-day avg) 626.5K shares
Beta 1.02
52 Weeks Range 22.76 - 34.24
Updated Date 11/01/2026
52 Weeks Range 22.76 - 34.24
Updated Date 11/01/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.64

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Civil AviationPilot training, simulator sales, and software services for airlines.This is the company's steady, recurring revenue engine.
Defense and SecurityTraining systems and operational support for military forces.This segment is driven by government budgets and long-term contracts.
HealthcarePatient simulators and medical training curriculum.A smaller, niche area focused on medical education technology.
GeographyOperations spanning North America, Europe, and Asia-Pacific.Global exposure balances regional economic risks.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Valuation

Trailing PE 40.31
Forward PE 28.41
Enterprise Value 10.18B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.66
Enterprise Value 10.18B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.66
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.85
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14.15
Shares Outstanding 321.85M
Shares Floating 289.16M
Shares Outstanding 321.85M
Shares Floating 289.16M
Percent Insiders 0.03
Percent Institutions 88.11

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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