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Upturn AI Summary - About
Cal-Maine Foods Inc(CALM)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for CALM
10/27/2026: CALM (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Cal-Maine Foods Inc is the largest U.S. producer and distributor of fresh shell eggs, operating as a cyclical play on commodity agriculture. The company’s strength lies in its extensive scale, vertical integration, and successful shift toward higher-margin specialty eggs like cage-free products. While the growth story centers on market consolidation and increasing premium egg penetration, the company faces significant risks from volatile feed costs, disease-related supply shocks, and regulatory pressures. Cal-Maine is best suited for income-focused investors who can manage the volatility associated with its variable dividend policy. Key developments to monitor include avian flu reports, changes in retail demand, and progress on cage-free facility expansions.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Growth is tied to industry trends and acquisitions rather than exponential, technology-driven scaling. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | The stock often reacts strongly to market-wide volatility in commodity egg pricing and supply shocks. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | Valuation is often tied to cyclical earnings, making timing difficult for traditional value strategies. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | The variable dividend policy provides meaningful income during peak commodity price cycles. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The company's reliance on commodity prices and vulnerability to animal disease outbreaks creates high earnings volatility. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Egg prices fluctuate rapidly based on supply, demand, and input costs. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Stock price often tracks earnings volatility, leading to potential entry timing risks. |
| Competition risk (commodity price competition) | Medium | The commodity nature of the product makes it difficult to maintain pricing power against rivals. |
| Business quality | Medium | Operational success is highly dependent on effective disease management and animal health. |
| Dividend income | Medium / high | Dividends are variable and depend directly on the company's net income for the period. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Integrating acquisitions and converting to cage-free facilities requires significant capital and operational focus. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Smooth
The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 88.5% | Avg. Invested days 86 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  5.0 | Stock Returns Performance  4.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/27/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.91B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 50.67 | 1Y Target Price 68.33 |
Price to earnings Ratio 50.67 | 1Y Target Price 68.33 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.4M shares | Beta 0.23 | 52 Weeks Range 60.13 - 95.25 | Updated Date 10/26/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 60.13 - 95.25 | Updated Date 10/26/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.73% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.23 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Conventional Eggs | Standard shell eggs sold to major retail chains. | This is the core, high-volume, commodity-price-sensitive part of the business. |
| Specialty Eggs | Cage-free, organic, and free-range eggs. | This segment provides higher margins and tracks changing consumer health preferences. |
| Geography: United States | Primary production and distribution across the U.S. | The company is domestically focused with minimal international exposure. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 50.67 | Forward PE 19.8 | Enterprise Value 2.15B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.15 |
Enterprise Value 2.15B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.15 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.85 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.34 | Shares Outstanding 46.71M | Shares Floating 41.83M |
Shares Outstanding 46.71M | Shares Floating 41.83M | ||
Percent Insiders 9.93 | Percent Institutions 97.98 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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