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Upturn AI Summary - About
Cogent Communications Group Inc(CCOI)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for CCOI
11/13/2026: CCOI (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Cogent Communications is a specialized telecommunications company focused on providing high-capacity internet transit and data center services to businesses and service providers. The company is known for its lean, facilities-based network model and a long-standing commitment to consistent dividend growth. Its primary growth opportunity lies in expanding high-margin wavelength services and integrating its recent wireline acquisition. Key risks include significant debt leverage, intense price competition from hyperscalers, and the operational challenges of integrating acquired network assets. This stock may best suit dividend-focused investors, though it requires monitoring of debt-to-EBITDA ratios and successful execution on its long-haul fiber expansion initiatives.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Growth is modest and mature, making it less suitable for investors seeking hyper-growth. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum is conditional on positive trends in enterprise demand and successful integration of recent assets. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | The company is often valued based on its dividend yield and cash flow stability rather than deep-value multiples. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | The company's long history of consistent dividend growth makes it an attractive candidate for income-focused portfolios. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High leverage and exposure to telecom sector pricing volatility may present risks unsuitable for very conservative investors. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium / high | Telecom sector sensitivity to interest rates and competitive pricing creates significant stock price swings. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Valuation is often tied to dividend sustainability, which can be affected by debt service requirements. |
| Competition risk (Carrier/Cloud) | High | Intense competition from hyperscalers and legacy carriers exerts constant downward pressure on pricing. |
| Business quality | Medium | The company has a strong, focused network, but its reliance on specific customer segments introduces concentration risk. |
| Dividend income | Medium | While the dividend is a priority, high debt levels and capital expenditure needs require disciplined cash management. |
| Execution risk | Medium / high | Successfully integrating large assets like the former T-Mobile wireline business is complex and impacts profitability. |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 200.98M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 9.96 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 9.96 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 2.2M shares | Beta 0.77 | 52 Weeks Range 3.56 - 28.59 | Updated Date 11/13/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 3.56 - 28.59 | Updated Date 11/13/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.80% | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.69 |
Sector & Industry Intelligence
Sector
Communication Services
Constructive- Sentiment
- Strong Bullish
- Momentum
- BUY Breadth Improving
- BUY participation
- 52.4%
- Active BUY / eligible
- 11 / 21
- 30-Day BUY Count Change
- +2
- Market state
- Strong Bullish
More qualifying stocks are receiving or maintaining BUY advisories, indicating improving market participation.
Industry
Telecom Services
- BUY participation
- 40.0%
- Active BUY / eligible
- 2 / 5
- 30-Day BUY Count Change
- -1
Eligible universe: 5 stocks.
Sector signal summarizes BUY breadth conditions for the sector. It does not override this stock’s BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory.
Price Behavior
Steep Decline
The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.
Extreme Price Shocks
The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -54.22% | Avg. Invested days 36 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/13/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| NetCentric Services | Internet transit for high-bandwidth users like streaming services and ISPs. | The company gets paid by big internet companies to move their large volumes of traffic. |
| Corporate Services | Dedicated internet and fiber connectivity for office-based businesses. | This is the 'bread and butter' connectivity service provided to law firms, banks, and offices. |
| Geography | North American and European fiber network markets. | Most revenue comes from North American business hubs, with a significant presence in Europe. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 5000 | Enterprise Value 2.48B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.23 |
Enterprise Value 2.48B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.23 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.65 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.32 | Shares Outstanding 51.20M | Shares Floating 42.07M |
Shares Outstanding 51.20M | Shares Floating 42.07M | ||
Percent Insiders 4.12 | Percent Institutions 91.82 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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