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Upturn AI Summary - About
Central Puerto S.A.(CEPU)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for CEPU
10/23/2026: CEPU (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Central Puerto S.A. is a major Argentine power generation company providing electricity through a mix of thermal, hydroelectric, and wind assets. The firm has a leading position in the local wholesale energy market and is known for its operational experience in navigating complex, capital-intensive infrastructure projects. While it offers potential value for investors seeking exposure to energy assets in emerging markets, it faces significant risks from Argentina's volatile economic environment, currency devaluation, and regulatory shifts. Investors should monitor energy policy changes and macroeconomic stability indicators. The stock may suit investors willing to accept high volatility for a potential value play in the energy sector.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Growth is constrained by the macroeconomic and regulatory environment in Argentina. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | The stock can exhibit strong momentum when positive sentiment regarding the Argentine economy builds. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The company often trades at low valuation multiples due to the country risk discount. |
| Dividend investor | Mixed fit | Dividends are possible but inconsistent given the capital-intensive nature and economic volatility. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High exposure to sovereign, currency, and regulatory risk makes this an unsuitable choice for risk-averse investors. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The stock is highly sensitive to fluctuations in Argentine macroeconomic and political indicators. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Low multiples may reflect structural risks rather than just undervaluation. |
| Competition risk (regulatory and sector-specific) | Medium / high | Profitability is heavily dependent on government-negotiated power prices and capacity payments. |
| Business quality | Medium | The underlying assets are robust, but the operating environment remains challenging. |
| Dividend income | Medium | Dividends depend on unpredictable cash flows and regulatory approvals. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Expanding in a volatile economy requires precise execution and government cooperation. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 21.64% | Avg. Invested days 38 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/23/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.76B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 5.33 | 1Y Target Price 23.81 |
Price to earnings Ratio 5.33 | 1Y Target Price 23.81 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 278.1K shares | Beta -0.18 | 52 Weeks Range 10.89 - 16.98 | Updated Date 10/22/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 10.89 - 16.98 | Updated Date 10/22/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 8.84% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.21 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Thermal Power Generation | Combined cycle and steam turbines providing base-load and peak power. | This is the primary engine of the company's revenue and stability. |
| Renewable/Hydro Generation | Wind and hydroelectric plants that provide long-term contracted cash flows. | These assets help modernize the portfolio and offer sustainable, long-term revenue. |
| Geography: Argentina | Wholesale electricity sales throughout the national grid. | The company's performance is intrinsically linked to the Argentine economy. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 5.33 | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 2.51B | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value 2.51B | Price to Sales(TTM) - | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.24 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 4.37 | Shares Outstanding 149.90M | Shares Floating 103.84M |
Shares Outstanding 149.90M | Shares Floating 103.84M | ||
Percent Insiders 4.48 | Percent Institutions 5.16 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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