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Centerra Gold Inc (CGAU)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/06/2026: CGAU (3-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 92 days. Simulated Profits (96.04%). Updated daily EoD!
1 Year Target Price $11.3
1 Year Target Price $11.3
| 3 | Strong Buy |
| 5 | Buy |
| 2 | Hold |
| 2 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 33.55% | Avg. Invested days 41 | Today’s Advisory Strong Buy |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.98B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 9.17 | 1Y Target Price 11.3 |
Price to earnings Ratio 9.17 | 1Y Target Price 11.3 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 12 | Beta 1.25 | 52 Weeks Range 5.31 - 15.47 | Updated Date 01/6/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 5.31 - 15.47 | Updated Date 01/6/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.34% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.61 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 26.35% | Operating Margin (TTM) 34.06% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.98% | Return on Equity (TTM) 18.39% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 9.17 | Forward PE 9.99 | Enterprise Value 2432900268 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.32 |
Enterprise Value 2432900268 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.32 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.89 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 4.35 | Shares Outstanding 201768421 | Shares Floating 201121854 |
Shares Outstanding 201768421 | Shares Floating 201121854 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.18 | Percent Institutions 93.87 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Centerra Gold Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Centerra Gold Inc. was founded in 2004. It emerged from the privatization of Kyrgyzaltyn, a state-owned enterprise in Kyrgyzstan, and acquired certain assets from Cameco Corporation. Key milestones include the development and operation of the Kumtor gold mine in Kyrgyzstan and the Boroo gold mine in Mongolia. In recent years, Centerra has focused on divesting its Kyrgyz assets and expanding its operations in North America, particularly through the acquisition of the Greenstone mine in Ontario, Canada.
Core Business Areas
- Gold Mining Operations: Centerra Gold Inc. is primarily engaged in the exploration, development, mining, and processing of gold and other precious metals. Its operations are focused on producing gold doru00e9, which is then further processed into refined gold.
- Project Development and Exploration: The company actively explores for new mineral deposits and develops existing projects to expand its production capacity and resource base. This includes geological surveying, drilling, and feasibility studies.
Leadership and Structure
Centerra Gold Inc. is led by a Board of Directors and a senior management team. The organizational structure is typically aligned with its operational regions and functional departments such as exploration, mining operations, finance, and corporate development.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Gold Production: Centerra Gold Inc.'s primary product is gold, which is extracted and processed into doru00e9 bars. The company's market share in the global gold production is relatively small compared to major diversified mining giants, but it holds a significant position among mid-tier gold producers. Competitors include Barrick Gold, Newmont Mining, Kinross Gold, and Agnico Eagle Mines.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The gold mining industry is characterized by global demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, a store of value, and an industrial commodity. The industry is subject to volatile commodity prices, regulatory changes, environmental concerns, and geopolitical risks. The focus has been shifting towards sustainable mining practices and exploration in new, prospective regions.
Positioning
Centerra Gold Inc. positions itself as a growth-oriented gold producer with a diversified portfolio of assets. Its competitive advantages include its established operational expertise, access to capital for development, and strategic acquisitions to expand its geographical footprint and production base. However, its past reliance on specific jurisdictions has also presented challenges.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The Total Addressable Market for gold is vast, driven by global demand from investors, central banks, and various industries. While Centerra's direct market share in terms of total global gold production is fractional, its TAM is tied to the global gold market, which is influenced by macroeconomic factors, inflation, and investor sentiment. Centerra aims to capture a larger share of this market through strategic growth initiatives and efficient operations.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Experienced management team with expertise in mining and exploration.
- Strategic acquisitions to diversify geographical presence and production.
- Focus on developing high-quality, long-life gold assets.
- Established operational infrastructure at key mining sites.
Weaknesses
- Historical reliance on specific jurisdictions can create geopolitical risk.
- Past operational challenges and disputes in certain regions.
- Susceptibility to fluctuations in gold prices.
- Environmental and social governance (ESG) compliance costs and scrutiny.
Opportunities
- Exploration success and discovery of new gold deposits.
- Expansion of existing mines and development of new projects.
- Strategic partnerships and joint ventures.
- Growing demand for gold as an investment and safe-haven asset.
- Leveraging technology to improve mining efficiency and reduce costs.
Threats
- Volatility in gold prices.
- Increasingly stringent environmental regulations.
- Geopolitical instability and changes in mining policies in operating countries.
- Competition for exploration land and skilled labor.
- Supply chain disruptions and rising operating costs.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Barrick Gold (ABX)
- Newmont Corporation (NEM)
- Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC)
- Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM)
Competitive Landscape
Centerra Gold Inc. competes in a highly consolidated global gold mining market. Its advantages lie in its specific project development capabilities and strategic positioning in certain geographies. However, it faces intense competition from larger, more diversified players with greater financial resources and a broader global footprint. Its ability to navigate regulatory environments and commodity price volatility is crucial for maintaining its competitive edge.
Major Acquisitions
Greenstone Gold Mine
- Year: 2021
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 2184
- Strategic Rationale: To acquire a large-scale, long-life gold asset in a stable jurisdiction (Ontario, Canada) to significantly increase production and diversify its geographic exposure away from past challenges in Kyrgyzstan.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Centerra's historical growth has been marked by organic development of its mines and strategic acquisitions. Fluctuations have occurred due to commodity prices and operational challenges in specific regions. The recent divestment of Kyrgyz assets and focus on North America represent a strategic shift.
Future Projections: Analyst projections for Centerra Gold Inc. typically focus on future production volumes, cost structures, and the impact of new projects like Greenstone. These projections are contingent on market conditions and project execution.
Recent Initiatives: Key recent initiatives include the acquisition of the Greenstone mine in Ontario, Canada, and strategic efforts to optimize its operational portfolio and manage its asset base effectively.
Summary
Centerra Gold Inc. is a mid-tier gold producer undergoing a significant strategic shift towards North America, exemplified by the acquisition of the Greenstone mine. While it possesses operational expertise, it faces strong competition and commodity price volatility. Key to its future success will be the effective integration and development of its new assets, prudent cost management, and navigating the inherent risks of the mining industry.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company investor relations materials (e.g., annual reports, press releases)
- Financial news outlets (e.g., Reuters, Bloomberg)
- Financial data providers (e.g., Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch)
- Industry analysis reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Financial data and market share figures are subject to change and may not be entirely up-to-date. Specific numerical financial data (revenue, net income, EPS, etc.) for 'Financial Performance' and 'Dividends and Shareholder Returns' requires access to the most recent financial statements. Market share data is an estimation for comparative purposes.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Centerra Gold Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Toronto, ON, Canada | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-04-15 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Paul Botond Stilicho Tomory | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Gold | Full time employees - | Website https://www.centerragold.com |
Full time employees - | Website https://www.centerragold.com | ||
Centerra Gold Inc. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of gold and copper properties in North America, Turkey, and internationally. It also explores for molybdenum deposits. The company's principal assets include the Mount Milligan gold-copper mine located in British Columbia, Canada; and the Öksüt gold mine located in Türkiye. It also owns the Kemess project in British Columbia, Canada; the Goldfield District project in Nevada, United States; owns and operates a Molybdenum BU, which includes the Langeloth metallurgical processing facility that operates in Pennsylvania; and the Thompson Creek Mine in Idaho; and 75% owned the Endako Mine in British Columbia, Canada. Centerra Gold Inc. was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

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