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Upturn AI Summary - About
Comstock Holding Companies Inc(CHCI)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for CHCI
11/12/2026: CHCI (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Comstock Holding Companies Inc is a specialized real estate developer and asset manager primarily focused on transit-oriented, mixed-use projects in the Washington, D.C. metropolitan area. The company has successfully evolved its business model to emphasize recurring fee-based revenue from asset management alongside its core development activities. Its primary opportunity lies in capitalizing on the sustained demand for highly accessible, urban-style developments in Northern Virginia. However, the company faces risks from geographic concentration, interest rate volatility, and intense competition from larger real estate firms. This stock may suit investors seeking exposure to regional real estate markets, though it remains a higher-risk investment requiring careful monitoring of interest rate trends and project execution milestones.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The growth potential is tied to regional development cycles rather than exponential tech-like expansion. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | This is a volatile stock where technical momentum can drive short-term price action. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | Valuation depends on the underlying value of real estate assets, which can be complex to assess. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not prioritize regular dividend distributions. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High sensitivity to interest rates and real estate cycles makes this a high-risk equity. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Thin trading volume and sensitivity to real estate news can lead to rapid price swings. |
| Valuation risk | Medium / high | Estimating the net asset value of projects is subjective and sensitive to market conditions. |
| Competition risk (regional real estate) | High | Large incumbents have significant scale advantages in the D.C. market. |
| Business quality | Medium | The company has successfully transitioned its business model, but its scale is modest. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | Income investors will not find a consistent dividend yield here. |
| Execution risk | Medium / high | Large-scale construction and development projects are prone to delays and cost overruns. |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 162.87M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 6.77 | 1Y Target Price 7 |
Price to earnings Ratio 6.77 | 1Y Target Price 7 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 30.5K shares | Beta -0.41 | 52 Weeks Range 10.14 - 22.07 | Updated Date 11/12/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 10.14 - 22.07 | Updated Date 11/12/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.34 |
Sector & Industry Intelligence
Sector
Real Estate
Constructive- Sentiment
- Strong Bullish
- Momentum
- BUY Breadth Improving
- BUY participation
- 64.5%
- Active BUY / eligible
- 20 / 31
- 30-Day BUY Count Change
- +16
- Market state
- Strong Bullish
More qualifying stocks are receiving or maintaining BUY advisories, indicating improving market participation.
Industry
Real Estate Services
- BUY participation
- 0.0%
- Active BUY / eligible
- 0 / 2
- 30-Day BUY Count Change
- 0
Eligible universe: 2 stocks.
Sector signal summarizes BUY breadth conditions for the sector. It does not override this stock’s BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory.
Price Behavior

Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.

Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 104.14% | Avg. Invested days 46 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals 
Financial Health Rating 
Growth Momentum Score 
Ownership 
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue) 
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile 
Style Classification
Quality Focused
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Real Estate Services | Fees from development, construction, and property management services. | The company acts as a professional services firm managing real estate projects for others. |
| Asset Management | Returns from managed properties and portfolio management fees. | The company earns money by managing and leasing real estate portfolios. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-11-05 | When - | Estimate - | Actual 0.06 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 30.43% | Operating Margin (TTM) 21.51% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 13.57% | Return on Equity (TTM) 35.94% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 6.77 | Forward PE 12.9 | Enterprise Value 149.87M | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.99 |
Enterprise Value 149.87M | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.99 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.83 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.37 | Shares Outstanding 10.06M | Shares Floating 3.73M |
Shares Outstanding 10.06M | Shares Floating 3.73M | ||
Percent Insiders 62.9 | Percent Institutions 14.69 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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