Comstock Holding Companies Inc logo

Comstock Holding Companies Inc(CHCI)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
3-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$16.01
11/12/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for CHCI

11/12/2026: CHCI (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Comstock Holding Companies Inc is a specialized real estate developer and asset manager primarily focused on transit-oriented, mixed-use projects in the Washington, D.C. metropolitan area. The company has successfully evolved its business model to emphasize recurring fee-based revenue from asset management alongside its core development activities. Its primary opportunity lies in capitalizing on the sustained demand for highly accessible, urban-style developments in Northern Virginia. However, the company faces risks from geographic concentration, interest rate volatility, and intense competition from larger real estate firms. This stock may suit investors seeking exposure to regional real estate markets, though it remains a higher-risk investment requiring careful monitoring of interest rate trends and project execution milestones.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitThe growth potential is tied to regional development cycles rather than exponential tech-like expansion.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveThis is a volatile stock where technical momentum can drive short-term price action.
Value investorMixed fitValuation depends on the underlying value of real estate assets, which can be complex to assess.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company does not prioritize regular dividend distributions.
Low-risk investorWeak fitHigh sensitivity to interest rates and real estate cycles makes this a high-risk equity.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThin trading volume and sensitivity to real estate news can lead to rapid price swings.
Valuation riskMedium / highEstimating the net asset value of projects is subjective and sensitive to market conditions.
Competition risk (regional real estate)HighLarge incumbents have significant scale advantages in the D.C. market.
Business qualityMediumThe company has successfully transitioned its business model, but its scale is modest.
Dividend incomeLow / noneIncome investors will not find a consistent dividend yield here.
Execution riskMedium / highLarge-scale construction and development projects are prone to delays and cost overruns.

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 162.87M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 6.77
1Y Target Price 7
Price to earnings Ratio 6.77
1Y Target Price 7
Volume (30-day avg) 30.5K shares
Beta -0.41
52 Weeks Range 10.14 - 22.07
Updated Date 11/12/2026
52 Weeks Range 10.14 - 22.07
Updated Date 11/12/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.34

Sector & Industry Intelligence

Sector

Real Estate

Constructive
Sentiment
Strong Bullish
Momentum
BUY Breadth Improving
BUY participation
64.5%
Active BUY / eligible
20 / 31
30-Day BUY Count Change
+16
Market state
Strong Bullish

More qualifying stocks are receiving or maintaining BUY advisories, indicating improving market participation.

Industry

Real Estate Services

BUY participation
0.0%
Active BUY / eligible
0 / 2
30-Day BUY Count Change
0

Eligible universe: 2 stocks.

Sector signal summarizes BUY breadth conditions for the sector. It does not override this stock’s BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory.

Price Behavior

Rolling Over
PRICE PATH

Rolling Over

The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.

Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 104.14%
Avg. Invested days 46
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 5.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 11/12/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
CHCI receives a 3-star rating based on the available scored pillars. The rating is constrained by soft analyst coverage, weak price momentum, and limited analyst upside.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
CHCI has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with solid financial health, moderate growth momentum, and moderate ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, solid earnings growth (+17.1%) supports the fundamentals score.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
CHCI's financial health is supported by solid liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 51.3%). Profitability is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Revenue growth is CHCI's strongest growth driver at +22.6% FY2025 versus FY2024 (solid, 4 stars). By comparison, earnings growth (+17.1%, solid) is also solid, while free-cash-flow growth (-59.5%, negative) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 14.7% (soft) and 37.1% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable (moderate). Insider ownership of 62.90% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Truffle Hound Capital, LLC 2.38%
BlackRock Inc 1.73%
Renaissance Technologies Corp 1.64%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 1.52%
Geode Capital Management, LLC 1.32%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
CHCI generates approximately $235 of gross profit, $190 of operating income, and $70 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Moderate margins and weak cash conversion support a 3-star rating, while capital efficiency is strong.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: -32.41% (Tax Credit)

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
CHCI has a high-quality, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedQuality TiltLow VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap Risk

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Real Estate ServicesFees from development, construction, and property management services.The company acts as a professional services firm managing real estate projects for others.
Asset ManagementReturns from managed properties and portfolio management fees.The company earns money by managing and leasing real estate portfolios.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2026-11-05
When -
Estimate -
Actual 0.06

Profitability

Profit Margin 30.43%
Operating Margin (TTM) 21.51%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 13.57%
Return on Equity (TTM) 35.94%

Valuation

Trailing PE 6.77
Forward PE 12.9
Enterprise Value 149.87M
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.99
Enterprise Value 149.87M
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.99
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.83
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.37
Shares Outstanding 10.06M
Shares Floating 3.73M
Shares Outstanding 10.06M
Shares Floating 3.73M
Percent Insiders 62.9
Percent Institutions 14.69

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.