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Upturn AI Summary - About
Cellebrite DI(CLBT)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for CLBT
10/08/2026: CLBT (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Cellebrite DI is a global leader in digital intelligence, providing mission-critical forensics software and hardware to law enforcement and government agencies. Its primary business strength lies in its ability to extract and analyze data from secured mobile devices, creating a durable competitive position. The investment story revolves around a strategic transition to a recurring software-as-a-service model, which enhances financial predictability and growth. Investors should monitor competitive risks from evolving smartphone encryption and regulatory scrutiny regarding investigative tools. Overall, Cellebrite fits investors looking for exposure to the growing cybersecurity forensics market, though it is best suited for those comfortable with the inherent volatility of a technology-focused government vendor.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit | The transition to a SaaS-based revenue model provides a compelling growth narrative for long-term investors. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum is conditional on the company maintaining consistent growth in its subscription metrics and positive market sentiment. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | Valuation may appear full for a growth-stage software firm, requiring a discount to justify a value entry. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company currently reinvests all cash flow into growth and does not pay a dividend. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The niche nature of the business and high regulatory exposure contribute to higher volatility than broad-market stocks. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium / high | Technology-focused stocks, particularly in forensics, often react sharply to news regarding data privacy or regulation. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | High growth expectations are priced into the stock, meaning any earnings miss could lead to price contraction. |
| Competition risk (AI/Software competition) | Medium / high | New entrants focusing on AI-based investigation could erode the company's competitive edge in data analysis. |
| Business quality | Strong | The high barrier to entry and sticky nature of government contracts speak to a high-quality, defensible business model. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | There is no current expectation of income generation for shareholders. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Successfully transitioning the entire customer base to a subscription model requires flawless execution. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Highly Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent, large price swings that make its near-term movement less predictable.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -6.14% | Avg. Invested days 45 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/08/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.82B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 48.8 | 1Y Target Price 15.36 |
Price to earnings Ratio 48.8 | 1Y Target Price 15.36 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 2.6M shares | Beta 1.13 | 52 Weeks Range 9.58 - 19.98 | Updated Date 10/08/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 9.58 - 19.98 | Updated Date 10/08/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.23 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Subscription & Licenses | Recurring revenue from software platforms like Pathfinder and annual licenses for forensics tools. | Most revenue is now predictable and recurring, which is favorable for long-term valuation. |
| Services & Support | Training, professional services, and hardware maintenance contracts. | This segment ensures strong customer retention and long-term relationships with government agencies. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 48.8 | Forward PE 35.71 | Enterprise Value 2.47B | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.49 |
Enterprise Value 2.47B | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.49 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.8 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 23.96 | Shares Outstanding 251.34M | Shares Floating 112.43M |
Shares Outstanding 251.34M | Shares Floating 112.43M | ||
Percent Insiders 43.25 | Percent Institutions 51.33 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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