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CME Group Inc (CME)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/09/2026: CME (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $288.33
1 Year Target Price $288.33
| 4 | Strong Buy |
| 3 | Buy |
| 7 | Hold |
| 4 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 26.65% | Avg. Invested days 60 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 96.15B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 25.81 | 1Y Target Price 288.33 |
Price to earnings Ratio 25.81 | 1Y Target Price 288.33 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 18 | Beta 0.29 | 52 Weeks Range 221.25 - 286.76 | Updated Date 01/8/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 221.25 - 286.76 | Updated Date 01/8/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.84% | Basic EPS (TTM) 10.33 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 58.95% | Operating Margin (TTM) 63.39% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 1.6% | Return on Equity (TTM) 13.35% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 25.81 | Forward PE 22.73 | Enterprise Value 97075549625 | Price to Sales(TTM) 15.06 |
Enterprise Value 97075549625 | Price to Sales(TTM) 15.06 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 15.17 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 18.14 | Shares Outstanding 360596647 | Shares Floating 359038388 |
Shares Outstanding 360596647 | Shares Floating 359038388 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.43 | Percent Institutions 91.84 |
Upturn AI SWOT
CME Group Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
CME Group Inc. was founded in 2007 through the merger of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), which itself was established in 1848. Other significant milestones include the acquisition of the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) and the Commodity Exchange Inc. (COMEX) in 2008, and the acquisition of the Kansas City Board of Trade (KCBT) in 2017. CME Group has evolved into a leading global derivatives marketplace, offering a wide range of futures and options on interest rates, equities, foreign exchange, energy, agricultural commodities, and metals.
Core Business Areas
- Derivatives Trading and Clearing: CME Group operates a global marketplace for trading and clearing a wide range of futures and options contracts across various asset classes. This includes interest rates, equities, foreign exchange, energy, agricultural commodities, and metals. They provide robust clearing and settlement services, mitigating counterparty risk for participants.
- Data Services: CME Group offers a comprehensive suite of market data, analytics, and other information services derived from its trading activity and historical data. This includes real-time data feeds, historical databases, and customized analytics tools for financial professionals.
- Technology and Infrastructure: The company provides advanced trading technology and infrastructure solutions to its clients, enabling efficient and reliable execution of trades across its platforms. This includes CME Globex, its flagship electronic trading platform.
Leadership and Structure
CME Group is led by a Board of Directors and a senior management team. Terry Duffy serves as the Executive Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. The company operates through various divisions focused on its core business areas, with a global presence spanning multiple continents.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- E-mini S&P 500 Futures: The E-mini S&P 500 futures contract is one of the most liquid equity index futures in the world, providing investors and traders with exposure to the S&P 500 index. Competitors include Eurex (with DAX futures), ICE (with various equity index futures), and other global exchanges offering similar products.
- Eurodollar Futures: These futures contracts are based on U.S. dollar deposits in European banks, widely used for hedging interest rate risk and speculating on short-term interest rate movements. Competitors include ICE (with SOFR futures) and other interest rate derivative markets.
- WTI Crude Oil Futures: West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures are a benchmark for oil prices, used for hedging and speculation in the energy markets. Competitors include ICE (with Brent Crude futures) and other energy commodity exchanges.
- Foreign Exchange Futures and Options: CME Group offers a wide array of FX futures and options contracts across major and emerging market currencies. Competitors include ICE, LSE Group, and various interdealer brokers in the FX market.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The derivatives and financial exchange industry is highly competitive and regulated, driven by demand for risk management, price discovery, and efficient trading. Key trends include the increasing adoption of electronic trading, the growing importance of data services, and the ongoing consolidation among exchanges. The industry is also influenced by macroeconomic conditions, regulatory changes, and technological advancements.
Positioning
CME Group is a dominant player in the global derivatives marketplace, holding a leading position in futures and options trading volume across many asset classes. Its competitive advantages include its diverse product portfolio, robust clearing services, extensive global reach, and strong technological infrastructure. The company benefits from network effects and economies of scale.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for derivatives, data, and related services is substantial and continues to grow. While specific TAM figures vary by asset class and service, it encompasses the global financial markets where risk management and price discovery are paramount. CME Group is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of this TAM due to its established infrastructure, diverse offerings, and strong market position.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Diversified product offering across multiple asset classes.
- Leading market share in key futures and options contracts.
- Strong global brand recognition and established infrastructure.
- Robust clearing and settlement services mitigating counterparty risk.
- Significant economies of scale and network effects.
- Advanced technological capabilities and trading platforms.
Weaknesses
- Dependence on trading volumes, which can be cyclical.
- Significant capital investment required for technology and infrastructure upgrades.
- Potential for increased competition from new entrants or alternative trading venues.
- Regulatory scrutiny and compliance costs.
Opportunities
- Growth in emerging markets and new asset classes.
- Expansion of data and analytics services.
- Development of new products and services to meet evolving market needs.
- Strategic acquisitions and partnerships.
- Increased demand for hedging tools due to market volatility.
Threats
- Economic downturns impacting trading volumes.
- Increased competition from other exchanges and over-the-counter (OTC) markets.
- Adverse regulatory changes impacting derivatives trading.
- Cybersecurity threats and data breaches.
- Technological disruption from new trading paradigms.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Intercontinental Exchange (ICE)
- Eurex (Deutsche Bu00f6rse Group)
- London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG)
Competitive Landscape
CME Group's primary competitive advantages lie in its broad diversification across asset classes, its deep liquidity in key contracts, and its robust clearing infrastructure. Its scale allows for significant economies of scale, which can be difficult for competitors to match. However, competitors like ICE are strong in specific areas, such as energy and interest rates, and LSEG and Eurex are dominant in European markets. The ongoing competition necessitates continuous innovation and investment in technology.
Major Acquisitions
LexisNexis Risk Solutions''} Portfolio of CME Information Services
- Year: 2023
- Acquisition Price (USD millions):
- Strategic Rationale: Acquired a portfolio of information services to enhance its data offerings and expand its reach in the financial data market.
Kcg Holdings, Inc. (Certain Assets)
- Year: 2018
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 400
- Strategic Rationale: Acquisition of market data and analytics assets to strengthen its data services business.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: CME Group has experienced consistent historical growth, driven by increased trading volumes, the expansion of its product offerings, and strategic acquisitions. The shift towards electronic trading and the increasing demand for risk management solutions have been key growth drivers.
Future Projections: Analyst projections for CME Group generally indicate continued growth, driven by innovation in product development, expansion into new markets, and increasing adoption of its data services. Expectations are for steady revenue and earnings growth, supported by its dominant market position and ongoing strategic initiatives. Specific EPS growth projections often range from 8-12% annually.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include the expansion of its cryptocurrency futures and options offerings, investments in new data analytics platforms, and the ongoing development of its CME Globex trading platform to enhance performance and accessibility. The company has also focused on expanding its clearing services and exploring new asset classes for derivatives.
Summary
CME Group is a highly robust and dominant player in the global derivatives market, excelling in product diversification and technological infrastructure. Its strong market position, consistent financial performance, and commitment to shareholder returns are key strengths. However, the company must remain vigilant against market volatility, evolving regulatory landscapes, and increasing competition from established and emerging players. Continuous innovation and strategic investments in data and technology are crucial for sustained future growth.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- CME Group Inc. Investor Relations
- SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Reputable financial data providers (e.g., Bloomberg, Refinitiv)
- Industry analysis reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and general market knowledge as of the current date. Financial data and market share figures are subject to change and may vary depending on the source and reporting period. This information is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About CME Group Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Chicago, IL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2002-12-06 | Chairman & CEO Mr. Terrence A. Duffy | ||
Sector Financial Services | Industry Financial Data & Stock Exchanges | Full time employees 3760 | Website https://www.cmegroup.com |
Full time employees 3760 | Website https://www.cmegroup.com | ||
CME Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates contract markets for the trading of futures and options on futures contracts worldwide. It offers futures and options products based on interest rates, equity indexes, foreign exchange, agricultural commodities, energy, and metals, as well as fixed income and foreign currency trading services. The company provides clearing house services, including clearing, settling, and guaranteeing futures and options contracts, and cleared swaps products traded through its exchanges; and trade processing and risk mitigation services. In addition, the company offers a range of market data services, including real-time and historical data services. It serves professional traders, financial institutions, institutional and individual investors, corporations, manufacturers, producers, governments, and central banks. The company was formerly known as Chicago Mercantile Exchange Holdings Inc. and changed its name to CME Group Inc. in July 2007. The company was founded in 1898 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.

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