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Upturn AI Summary - About
CME Group Inc(CME)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for CME
10/01/2026: CME (2-star) is a SELL. SELL for 4 days. Simulated Profits (-1.24%). Updated daily EoD!
CME Group is a global leader in the derivatives marketplace, operating exchanges that provide essential trading and clearing services for a vast range of asset classes. The company is known for its high operating margins, strong cash generation, and a defensible, liquidity-driven business model. Its primary investment story centers on consistent growth through both market participation and the expansion of data and technology services. Key risks include sensitivity to trading volume cycles, intense competition, and potential regulatory shifts. CME Group is well-suited for investors seeking long-term exposure to financial markets, with a focus on stable dividend income and efficient capital returns.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | CME offers steady, mature growth rather than rapid, disruptive expansion. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | The stock can exhibit strong price trends during periods of high market volatility and increased trading volume. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | Valuation is often premium due to the company's high quality and market position. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | CME provides a consistent, growing dividend supported by strong free cash flow. |
| Low-risk investor | Medium fit | While the business model is robust, it remains sensitive to systemic market volatility and volume cycles. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium | Volume is correlated to volatility, and lower market activity can impact revenue. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | The stock often trades at a premium multiple which can limit upside. |
| Competition risk (Electronic platform competition) | Medium | New low-cost electronic trading venues could pressure fee structures. |
| Business quality | Strong | The company holds a dominant, high-margin, and defensible market position. |
| Dividend income | Strong | The company has a strong record of returning cash to shareholders. |
| Execution risk | Low | The company has a proven history of successfully integrating large-scale acquisitions. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Smooth
The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 32.1% | Avg. Invested days 54 | Today’s Advisory SELL |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/01/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 94.20B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 22.22 | 1Y Target Price 283.6 |
Price to earnings Ratio 22.22 | 1Y Target Price 283.6 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.8M shares | Beta 0.28 | 52 Weeks Range 217.29 - 318.32 | Updated Date 10/01/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 217.29 - 318.32 | Updated Date 10/01/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.94% | Basic EPS (TTM) 11.79 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Clearing and Transaction Fees | Fees charged for executing and clearing futures and options trades. | This is the core engine, generating revenue every time someone trades on their exchange. |
| Market Data & Information Services | Subscriptions and licenses for trading data and analytical tools. | This provides a steady, recurring income stream independent of trading volumes. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 22.22 | Forward PE 21.93 | Enterprise Value 98.52B | Price to Sales(TTM) 13.94 |
Enterprise Value 98.52B | Price to Sales(TTM) 13.94 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 14.55 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 16.15 | Shares Outstanding 359.58M | Shares Floating 354.65M |
Shares Outstanding 359.58M | Shares Floating 354.65M | ||
Percent Insiders 0.44 | Percent Institutions 91.83 |
Upturn AI Summary
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
News (Last Updated: 10/01/2026)
About CME Group Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquarters Chicago, IL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2002-12-06 | Chairman & CEO Mr. Terrence A. Duffy | ||
Sector Financial Services | Industry Financial Data & Stock Exchanges | Full time employees 3875 | Website https://www.cmegroup.com |
Full time employees 3875 | Website https://www.cmegroup.com | ||
CME Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates contract markets for the trading of futures and options on futures contracts worldwide. It offers futures and options products based on interest rates, equity indexes, and foreign exchange; and agricultural, energy, and metals commodities, as well as fixed income and foreign currency trading services. The company provides clearing house services, including clearing, settling, and guaranteeing futures and options contracts, and cleared swaps products traded through its exchanges. In addition, the company offers a range of market data services, including real-time and historical data services. It serves professional traders, financial institutions, institutional and individual investors, corporations, manufacturers, producers, governments, and central banks. CME Group Inc. partners with FutureSports to futures on sports indexes. The company was formerly known as Chicago Mercantile Exchange Holdings Inc. and changed its name to CME Group Inc. in July 2007. The company was founded in 1898 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
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