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CME Group Inc (CME)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
07/03/2025: CME (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $271.59
1 Year Target Price $271.59
4 | Strong Buy |
3 | Buy |
7 | Hold |
4 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 37.37% | Avg. Invested days 77 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 99.71B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 27.87 | 1Y Target Price 271.59 |
Price to earnings Ratio 27.87 | 1Y Target Price 271.59 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 18 | Beta 0.48 | 52 Weeks Range 184.84 - 289.46 | Updated Date 07/4/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 184.84 - 289.46 | Updated Date 07/4/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.81% | Basic EPS (TTM) 9.93 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 57.81% | Operating Margin (TTM) 67.59% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 1.76% | Return on Equity (TTM) 13.39% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 27.87 | Forward PE 25.06 | Enterprise Value 101611603089 | Price to Sales(TTM) 15.89 |
Enterprise Value 101611603089 | Price to Sales(TTM) 15.89 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 16.17 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 19.66 | Shares Outstanding 360356000 | Shares Floating 358852943 |
Shares Outstanding 360356000 | Shares Floating 358852943 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.45 | Percent Institutions 91.66 |
Upturn AI SWOT
CME Group Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
CME Group Inc. was founded in 1848 as the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT). It evolved from a commodities exchange to include futures and options. In 2007, CBOT merged with the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), forming CME Group. Further acquisitions included the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) in 2008 and the Kansas City Board of Trade (KCBT) in 2012.
Core Business Areas
- Interest Rates: Offers futures and options on U.S. Treasury securities, Eurodollars, and other interest rate benchmarks, providing tools for managing interest rate risk.
- Energy: Provides futures and options on crude oil, natural gas, refined products, and other energy commodities, enabling hedging and price discovery.
- Agricultural Commodities: Offers futures and options on grains, oilseeds, livestock, and dairy products, serving the agricultural sector's risk management needs.
- Metals: Provides futures and options on precious metals (gold, silver, platinum, palladium) and base metals (copper, aluminum), offering investment and hedging opportunities.
- Equities: Offers futures and options on equity indices such as the S&P 500, Nasdaq-100, and Dow Jones Industrial Average, allowing investors to manage equity market exposure.
- Foreign Exchange: Provides futures and options on a wide range of currency pairs, facilitating international trade and investment.
Leadership and Structure
CME Group is led by a Chief Executive Officer (currently Terry Duffy). Its organizational structure includes various business lines (e.g., Markets, Technology, Operations) reporting to the CEO. The company operates with a board of directors providing oversight.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Product Name 1: E-mini S&P 500 Futures (ES): A widely traded equity index futures contract. CME Group holds a dominant market share in equity index futures. Competitors include ICE Futures U.S.
- Product Name 2: West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Crude Oil Futures (CL): A benchmark crude oil futures contract. CME Group has a significant share in energy futures. Competitors include ICE Futures Europe.
- Product Name 3: Eurodollar Futures (GE): A short-term interest rate futures contract. CME Group is a major player in interest rate derivatives. Competitors include ICE Futures Europe.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The financial derivatives industry is characterized by increasing globalization, technological advancements, and regulatory scrutiny. Demand is driven by risk management needs of corporations, institutions, and individual investors.
Positioning
CME Group is a leading global derivatives marketplace, with a strong brand reputation, extensive product offerings, and a robust clearing infrastructure. Its competitive advantages include its network effect (high liquidity attracts more participants) and regulatory expertise.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The estimated TAM for global exchange-traded derivatives is several trillion USD. CME Group captures a significant portion of this TAM, particularly in its core product areas.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Dominant market share in key product areas
- Strong brand reputation
- Extensive global network
- Robust clearing infrastructure
- Technological innovation
Weaknesses
- Dependence on market volatility
- Regulatory scrutiny
- Exposure to cyber security threats
- Potential for technology disruptions
Opportunities
- Expansion into new asset classes (e.g., cryptocurrency derivatives)
- Geographic expansion (e.g., Asia)
- Increased demand for risk management tools
- Technological innovation (e.g., blockchain applications)
Threats
- Increased competition from other exchanges
- Regulatory changes (e.g., Dodd-Frank Act)
- Economic downturns
- Geopolitical risks
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Intercontinental Exchange (ICE)
- Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ)
- Euronext (ENX.PA)
Competitive Landscape
CME Group's advantages include its diverse product offerings, strong brand, and robust clearing infrastructure. ICE is a major competitor in energy and financial derivatives. Nasdaq competes in equities and options.
Major Acquisitions
NEX Group
- Year: 2018
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 5500
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded CME Group's presence in post-trade services and foreign exchange markets.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: CME Group has historically grown through acquisitions, product innovation, and geographic expansion. Its growth is tied to global market volatility and demand for risk management solutions.
Future Projections: Future growth is projected to be driven by expansion into new asset classes (e.g., crypto), geographic expansion, and increased adoption of electronic trading.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include launching new products, expanding clearing services, and investing in technology infrastructure.
Summary
CME Group is a dominant player in the derivatives exchange industry, benefiting from its diverse product offerings and robust infrastructure. Its strong financial performance has historically made it a solid performer. It needs to be wary of competition, regulatory changes, and technological advancements. Investing in new technologies and expanding into new markets will be crucial for future growth.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Investor Presentations
- Industry Reports
- Financial News Articles
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions and company performance can change rapidly. Consult with a financial professional before making investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About CME Group Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Chicago, IL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2002-12-06 | Chairman & CEO Mr. Terrence A. Duffy | ||
Sector Financial Services | Industry Financial Data & Stock Exchanges | Full time employees 3760 | Website https://www.cmegroup.com |
Full time employees 3760 | Website https://www.cmegroup.com |
CME Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates contract markets for the trading of futures and options on futures contracts worldwide. It offers futures and options products based on interest rates, equity indexes, foreign exchange, agricultural commodities, energy, and metals, as well as fixed income and foreign currency trading services. The company provides clearing house services, including clearing, settling, and guaranteeing futures and options contracts, and cleared swaps products traded through its exchanges; and trade processing and risk mitigation services. In addition, the company offers a range of market data services, including real-time and historical data services. It serves professional traders, financial institutions, institutional and individual investors, corporations, manufacturers, producers, governments, and central banks. The company was formerly known as Chicago Mercantile Exchange Holdings Inc. and changed its name to CME Group Inc. in July 2007. The company was founded in 1898 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
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