Canterbury Park Holding Corporation logo

Canterbury Park Holding Corporation(CPHC)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
1-STAR RATING
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY for 40 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
-0.38% ▼
LAST CLOSE
$15.77
10/27/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
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Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for CPHC

10/27/2026: CPHC (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Canterbury Park Holding Corporation is a niche regional gaming and entertainment company that operates a racetrack and casino in Shakopee, Minnesota. Its business strength lies in its diversified revenue model, combining card-based gaming with a multi-use real estate development project known as Canterbury Commons. The primary growth opportunity involves the ongoing monetization of its significant land assets. However, the company faces notable risks, including intense competition from tribal casinos, dependence on regional regulatory environments, and relatively low stock liquidity. The stock may suit value-oriented investors who are interested in long-term asset appreciation and steady, though modest, income.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitGrowth is tied to long-term real estate development rather than rapid operational scaling.
Momentum investorWeak fitThe stock typically exhibits low trading volume and lacks the rapid price movement favored by momentum strategies.
Value investorStrong fitThe company's valuation is often tied to the underlying land and assets at Canterbury Commons.
Dividend investorMixed fitThe company provides a dividend, but it may not meet the high-yield requirements of income-focused investors.
Low-risk investorMixed fitThe business is sensitive to local regulatory risks and regional economic downturns.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityMediumThe stock is subject to low liquidity, which can lead to larger price swings on limited volume.
Valuation riskMediumValuation is heavily dependent on the successful execution and monetization of the Canterbury Commons real estate.
Competition risk (Gaming)HighThe company faces persistent competition from well-capitalized tribal casinos in the region.
Business qualityMediumThe business model is solid but constrained by geography and limited market scale.
Dividend incomeLowDividends are consistent but not the primary driver of total return for most investors.
Execution riskMediumReal estate development projects inherently involve complex permitting, timing, and construction risks.

Price Behavior

Flat / Range-Bound
PRICE PATH

Flat / Range-Bound

The stock price has been trading within a narrow range with minimal directional movement.

Smooth
PRICE STABILITY

Smooth

The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -23.53%
Avg. Invested days 41
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 1.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/27/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
CPHC receives a 3-star rating based on the available scored pillars. The rating is constrained by soft unit economics, soft analyst coverage, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
CPHC has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with moderate financial health, moderate growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, solid cash generation (FCF margin 7.9%) is partially offset by negative earnings growth (-125.1%), slightly negative revenue growth (-3.2%), weak profitability (net margin -0.9%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
CPHC's financial health is supported by solid liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 13.6%). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is CPHC's strongest growth driver at +186.4% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, while revenue growth (-3.2%, slightly negative) and earnings growth (-125.1%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 41.9% and approximately 49.5% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 33.69% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Black Diamond Capital Management I, LLLP 16.58%
Gate City Capital Management, LLC 9.04%
Gamco Investors, Inc. Et Al 7.21%
Gabelli Funds LLC 3.76%
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. 0.83%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
CPHC generates approximately $287 of gross profit, $42 of operating income, and $79 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Soft margins explain the 2-star rating, with weak cash conversion and weak capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 34.99%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
CPHC has a relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedLow VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap Risk

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 81.64M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 525
1Y Target Price 11
Price to earnings Ratio 525
1Y Target Price 11
Volume (30-day avg) 1.4K shares
Beta -0.39
52 Weeks Range 14.13 - 16.69
Updated Date 10/26/2026
52 Weeks Range 14.13 - 16.69
Updated Date 10/26/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 1.77%
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.03

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Card CasinoBanked and unbanked table games.The casino provides steady, recurring revenue from local entertainment spending.
Racing OperationsLive racing meets and simulcast wagering.This is a seasonal business that draws crowds to the property during the summer months.
Real Estate DevelopmentCanterbury Commons master-planned community.This is a long-term strategy to unlock value from land by leasing or selling it for residential and commercial development.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 525
Forward PE 20.08
Enterprise Value 62.86M
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.35
Enterprise Value 62.86M
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.35
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.04
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.15
Shares Outstanding 5.18M
Shares Floating 2.56M
Shares Outstanding 5.18M
Shares Floating 2.56M
Percent Insiders 33.69
Percent Institutions 41.94

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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