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Cosan SA ADR (CSAN)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/06/2026: CSAN (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $5.23
1 Year Target Price $5.23
| 1 | Strong Buy |
| 0 | Buy |
| 3 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -38.91% | Avg. Invested days 30 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.90B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 5.23 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 5.23 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 4 | Beta 0.6 | 52 Weeks Range 3.80 - 6.25 | Updated Date 01/6/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 3.80 - 6.25 | Updated Date 01/6/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -5.21 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -31.04% | Operating Margin (TTM) 28.44% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.97% | Return on Equity (TTM) -29.68% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 6.11 | Enterprise Value 12987755598 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.09 |
Enterprise Value 12987755598 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.09 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.68 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.92 | Shares Outstanding 989820377 | Shares Floating 598154414 |
Shares Outstanding 989820377 | Shares Floating 598154414 | ||
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 3.26 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Cosan SA ADR

Company Overview
History and Background
Cosan S.A. (Cosan) is a Brazilian conglomerate founded in 1986. Initially focused on agriculture and sugar and ethanol production, the company has diversified significantly over the years. Key milestones include the spin-off of its sugar and ethanol business into Rau00edzen, its significant investment in Comgu00e1s (Brazil's largest natural gas distributor), and its expansion into logistics and energy distribution through Rumo Logu00edstica and Moove (lubricants). Cosan's ADRs trade on the New York Stock Exchange, representing its global investor base.
Core Business Areas
- Rau00edzen: A joint venture with Shell, Rau00edzen is one of the world's largest producers of sugar, ethanol, and bioenergy. It operates 26 industrial plants in Brazil, processes 62 million tons of sugarcane annually, and is a leading distributor of fuel and lubricants.
- Rumo Logu00edstica: The largest independent railway operator in Brazil, Rumo Logu00edstica is a crucial player in transporting agricultural commodities like soybeans, corn, and sugar from production hubs to export terminals. It operates a vast network of railways and ports.
- Comgu00e1s: Brazil's largest natural gas distributor, Comgu00e1s serves over 2 million residential, commercial, and industrial customers across various states. It plays a vital role in the country's energy infrastructure.
- Moove (Lubricants): Moove is a leading independent distributor of lubricants in Brazil and other countries, selling under brands like Mobil and Cosan Lubrificantes. It also distributes fuels and LPG.
Leadership and Structure
Cosan S.A. is controlled by the predominantly Brazilian founding families, with Luis Fernando Frayle as its Chairman. The company operates through its various subsidiaries, each with its own management team and board of directors. The group's strategy is often set at the holding company level, with execution delegated to its operating businesses.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Sugar and Ethanol (via Rau00edzen): Cosan, through Rau00edzen, is a major global producer of sugar and ethanol. Ethanol is a key biofuel for Brazil's vehicle fleet, and sugar is a significant commodity export. Competitors include other large Brazilian sugar and ethanol producers like SLC Agru00edcola and Biosev, as well as international sugar producers. Market share data for specific products is often proprietary but Rau00edzen is a top-tier player.
- Railway Logistics Services (via Rumo Logu00edstica): Rumo provides critical transportation services for agricultural commodities. Its primary competitors are other logistics providers and port operators in Brazil, as well as road transportation. Rumo has a dominant position in Brazilian rail logistics for agricultural goods, with a significant market share on its core routes.
- Natural Gas Distribution (via Comgu00e1s): Comgu00e1s is the leading natural gas distributor in Brazil. Its competitors are other regional gas distributors in Brazil and alternative energy sources. Comgu00e1s holds a commanding market share in its service areas.
- Lubricants and Fuels (via Moove): Moove distributes lubricants and fuels, competing with major oil companies and other independent distributors. Its market share is significant within its operational regions, particularly with its strong partnership with Mobil.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
Cosan operates in a diverse set of industries, including agriculture (sugar/ethanol), logistics, energy infrastructure, and fuel/lubricant distribution. The agricultural sector is subject to commodity price volatility and weather patterns. The logistics sector benefits from Brazil's extensive agricultural production but faces infrastructure challenges. The energy sector is influenced by regulatory frameworks and global energy trends.
Positioning
Cosan is strategically positioned as a diversified Brazilian conglomerate with significant market leadership in several key sectors. Its strengths lie in its integrated value chains (e.g., from sugarcane to ethanol/sugar and energy), extensive infrastructure assets (railways, gas pipelines), and strong partnerships (e.g., with Shell). Its scale and operational efficiency provide competitive advantages.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for Cosan is vast, encompassing the global sugar and ethanol markets, the South American agricultural logistics market, the Brazilian natural gas distribution market, and the global lubricants market. Cosan is a major player in Brazil's domestic markets for these segments and a significant exporter in others. Its positioning within these TAMs is strong, especially in Brazil where it holds leading or dominant positions in its core segments.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Diversified business portfolio across essential sectors.
- Strong market leadership positions in Brazil (sugar/ethanol, logistics, gas distribution).
- Strategic partnerships (e.g., Rau00edzen with Shell).
- Extensive infrastructure assets (railways, distribution networks).
- Experienced management team and deep operational expertise.
Weaknesses
- Exposure to commodity price volatility (sugar, ethanol).
- Reliance on Brazilian economic and regulatory environment.
- High capital expenditure requirements for infrastructure expansion.
- Potential for operational risks and natural disasters impacting agricultural output.
Opportunities
- Growing demand for biofuels and renewable energy.
- Expansion of logistics infrastructure to meet agricultural export growth.
- Increasing natural gas demand in Brazil.
- International expansion opportunities for lubricants and other segments.
- Potential for further integration and synergies across its business units.
Threats
- Adverse weather conditions affecting crop yields.
- Fluctuations in global commodity prices.
- Changes in government regulations and policies (especially in energy and agriculture).
- Increased competition in all its operating segments.
- Global economic downturns impacting demand.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- SLC Agru00edcola (SLCA)
- Petrobras (PBR)
- Ultrapar Participau00e7u00f5es (UPAR)
Competitive Landscape
Cosan benefits from its diversified business model, which insulates it somewhat from downturns in a single sector. Its integrated approach and substantial infrastructure investments give it an advantage over smaller, less integrated players. However, it faces intense competition from state-owned entities and large multinational corporations in specific segments.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Cosan has demonstrated a strong historical growth trajectory, driven by organic expansion within its core businesses and strategic acquisitions and partnerships. Its diversification efforts have allowed it to capitalize on various economic cycles and market opportunities in Brazil.
Future Projections: Future growth for Cosan is expected to be fueled by continued investment in its logistics and energy infrastructure, the expanding global demand for biofuels, and the potential for new market entries or acquisitions. Analyst projections will vary, but generally focus on revenue growth from its core segments and potential margin improvements.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives have likely focused on optimizing existing operations, expanding rail capacity for Rumo, increasing renewable energy production at Rau00edzen, and potentially exploring new energy transition opportunities. Details of specific initiatives would be found in company press releases and investor presentations.
Summary
Cosan S.A. is a strong, diversified Brazilian conglomerate with leading positions in sugar/ethanol, logistics, and natural gas distribution. Its strategic partnerships and extensive infrastructure provide significant competitive advantages. While exposed to commodity price volatility and Brazilian economic risks, its diversified model and focus on essential services position it well for continued growth, particularly in biofuels and logistics. Opportunities in energy transition and infrastructure expansion are key growth drivers.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Investor Relations Websites
- Financial News and Analysis Platforms (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters, Seeking Alpha)
- Market Research Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Financial data and market share figures are estimates and may vary based on source and methodology. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Cosan SA ADR
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters São Paulo, SP, Brazil | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-03-08 | CEO & Director Mr. Marcelo Eduardo Martins | ||
Sector Energy | Industry Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | Full time employees - | Website https://www.cosan.com.br |
Full time employees - | Website https://www.cosan.com.br | ||
Cosan S.A. engages in the fuel distribution business. It operates through Raízen, Compass, Moove, Rumo, and Radar segments. The company's Raízen segment engages in the production, commercialization, origination, and trading of sugar, as well as ethanol under the Shell brand; production and commercialization of bioenergy; trading and resale of electricity; and distribution and commercialization of fuels and lubricants. Its Compass segment distributes piped natural gas to industrial, residential, commercial, automotive, and cogeneration customers; and develops infrastructure projects in a regasification terminal, offshore gas pipeline, and thermal generation projects utilizing natural gas, as well as the sale of electricity and natural gas. The company's Moove segment produces and distributes lubricants under the Mobil brand and Comma trademark for industrial, commercial, and passenger/cargo vehicles. Its Rumo segment provides logistics services for storage and port loading of commodities, including grains and sugar; and leases locomotives, wagons, and other railroad equipment, as well as operates containers. The company's Radar segment manages agricultural property. The company operates in Brazil, England, France, Spain, Portugal, Argentina, Bolivia, Uruguay, Paraguay, the United States, Asia, and internationally. Cosan S.A. was founded in 1936 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.

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