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Cosan SA ADR (CSAN)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
07/02/2025: CSAN (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $7.49
1 Year Target Price $7.49
1 | Strong Buy |
0 | Buy |
3 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -8.06% | Avg. Invested days 33 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.43B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.49 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.49 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 4 | Beta 0.96 | 52 Weeks Range 4.31 - 10.64 | Updated Date 07/2/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 4.31 - 10.64 | Updated Date 07/2/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -4.39 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -25.18% | Operating Margin (TTM) 23.74% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.71% | Return on Equity (TTM) -24.82% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 6.51 | Enterprise Value 11301651337 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.06 |
Enterprise Value 11301651337 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.06 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.42 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 12.05 | Shares Outstanding 464660992 | Shares Floating 969190431 |
Shares Outstanding 464660992 | Shares Floating 969190431 | ||
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 3.46 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Cosan SA ADR
Company Overview
History and Background
Cosan S.A. was founded in 1936 in Piracicaba, Brazil, initially focusing on sugar production. It expanded into ethanol, energy, logistics, and natural gas distribution. The company has evolved into a diversified energy and logistics conglomerate in South America, with a significant presence in Brazil.
Core Business Areas
- Rau00edzen (Energy): A joint venture with Shell, Rau00edzen is one of the world's largest sugarcane processors, producing sugar, ethanol, and bioenergy. It also operates a vast network of fuel distribution and retail service stations across Brazil and Argentina.
- Compass Gu00e1s e Energia (Gas & Energy): Focused on natural gas distribution and power generation. Includes Comgu00e1s, the largest natural gas distributor in Brazil.
- Rumo (Logistics): One of Brazil's largest railway logistics operators, transporting agricultural commodities, fuels, and other products. Provides integrated logistics solutions, including port operations and warehousing.
- Cosan Investimentos (Investments): Holds strategic investments in other companies and new ventures, further diversifying Cosan's portfolio.
Leadership and Structure
Cosan S.A. has a board of directors responsible for overall governance. The company is led by a CEO and a management team overseeing the various business units. Senior leadership includes executives responsible for finance, operations, strategy, and investor relations.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Sugar: Cosan, through Rau00edzen, is a major global sugar producer. Brazil is the largest exporter of sugar worldwide. Competitors include Tereos, Suedzucker, and Wilmar International. Market share data is complex due to global trade dynamics, but Rau00edzen is a significant player.
- Ethanol: Rau00edzen is also a leading ethanol producer, a biofuel derived from sugarcane. Competitors include other Brazilian sugarcane processors and corn-based ethanol producers in the US. Ethanol is a crucial component of Brazil's fuel mix. Market share data is variable by region and fuel type.
- Natural Gas Distribution: Comgu00e1s, part of Compass Gu00e1s e Energia, distributes natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers in the state of Su00e3o Paulo, Brazil. It holds a dominant market share in its operating region. Competitors are other regional gas distributors.
- Rail Logistics Services: Rumo provides rail transport for agricultural commodities, fuels, and industrial products across Brazil. Competitors include Vale and other railway operators. Rumo focuses on improving Brazil's transport network to reduce traffic and allow for transport of goods such as Sugar, Ethanol, and grains.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The Brazilian agribusiness, energy, and logistics sectors are significant contributors to the national economy. Fluctuations in commodity prices, government regulations, and infrastructure development all significantly impact Cosan's performance. The natural gas distribution market is expanding due to increasing energy demand.
Positioning
Cosan S.A. is well-positioned as a diversified conglomerate with strong market positions in key sectors. Its vertically integrated business model, spanning from sugarcane production to fuel distribution and logistics, provides a competitive advantage. Rumo aims to make transport of goods faster and more efficient
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for Cosan is very large considering all the components of their businesses. The TAM for sugar globally is expected to reach $45 billion by 2027. Brazilian ethanol has a TAM of roughly $8 billion. Rumo the transportation company has a TAM estimated around 5.2 billion USD. Cosan is well positioned to capture more market share.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Diversified business portfolio
- Strong market positions in sugar, ethanol, natural gas distribution, and logistics
- Vertically integrated operations
- Strategic partnerships (e.g., Rau00edzen with Shell)
- Extensive distribution network
Weaknesses
- Exposure to commodity price volatility
- Dependence on Brazilian economy and political environment
- High levels of debt
- Complex corporate structure
- Susceptible to currency risk with the BRL
Opportunities
- Expansion of renewable energy production (e.g., second-generation ethanol)
- Infrastructure development in Brazil (benefiting Rumo)
- Growing demand for natural gas
- Strategic acquisitions and partnerships
- Growth in bioenergy markets
Threats
- Economic downturns in Brazil and globally
- Changes in government regulations and tax policies
- Increased competition
- Climate change impacts on agriculture
- Fluctuations in currency exchange rates
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- SUCB.SW
- LSX:BWT
- ADM
Competitive Landscape
Cosan has competitive advantages in some areas but also faces challenges. Rumo's goal is to improve and modernize the logistics in Brazil, which gives it a competative edge. Exposure to political instability can be a disadvantage.
Major Acquisitions
Tellus Mater S.A.
- Year: 2020
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 150
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded Cosan's presence in the fuel distribution market, reinforcing Rau00edzen's position in the sector. This acquisition increased Raizen's ability to control supply chain.
Radar Propriedades Agru00edcolas S.A.
- Year: 2021
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 280
- Strategic Rationale: Acquired for agricultural land to secure raw material sourcing and promote operational efficiency.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Cosan has grown organically and through acquisitions, expanding its operations across various sectors. Growth has been influenced by commodity prices, economic conditions, and strategic investments.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates for Cosan's future growth vary depending on market conditions and company performance. Key growth drivers include expansion in renewable energy, infrastructure development, and increased demand for its products and services.
Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives may include acquisitions, investments in new technologies, and expansion into new markets. Stay updated via investor releases.
Summary
Cosan is a large diversified Brazilian conglomerate with significant operations in energy, logistics, and agribusiness. Its strengths lie in its diversified portfolio, vertical integration, and leading market positions. Key risks include commodity price volatility and Brazilian economic/political instability. The future growth will depend on expansion in renewable energy and successful infrastructure development.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Financial Reports
- Market Research Reports
- Analyst Estimates
- Company Website
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Investment decisions should be based on individual research and consultation with a financial advisor.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Cosan SA ADR
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters São Paulo, SP, Brazil | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-03-08 | CEO & Vice Chairman Mr. Marcelo Eduardo Martins | ||
Sector Energy | Industry Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | Full time employees - | Website https://www.cosan.com.br |
Full time employees - | Website https://www.cosan.com.br |
Cosan S.A. engages in the fuel distribution business. It operates through Raízen, Compass, Moove, Rumo, and Radar segments. The company's Raízen segment engages in the production, commercialization, origination, and trading of sugar, as well as ethanol under the Shell brand; production and commercialization of bioenergy; trading and resale of electricity; and distribution and commercialization of fuels and lubricants. Its Compass segment distributes piped natural gas to industrial, residential, commercial, automotive, and cogeneration customers; and develops infrastructure projects in a regasification terminal, offshore gas pipeline, and thermal generation projects utilizing natural gas, as well as the sale of electricity and natural gas. The company's Moove segment produces and distributes lubricants under the Mobil brand and Comma trademark for industrial, commercial, and passenger/cargo vehicles. Its Rumo segment provides logistics services for storage and port loading of commodities, including grains and sugar; and leases locomotives, wagons, and other railroad equipment, as well as operates containers. The company's Radar segment manages agricultural property. It operates in Brazil, England, France, Spain, Portugal, Argentina, Bolivia, Uruguay, Paraguay, the United States, Asia, and internationally. Cosan S.A. was founded in 1936 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.
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