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Upturn AI Summary - About
Crane NXT Co(CXT)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for CXT
11/09/2026: CXT (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Crane NXT is an industrial technology company providing specialized security and payment validation solutions, primarily serving central banks and the retail sector. The company benefits from its proprietary micro-optic security technology and stable, long-term government relationships, which historically drive reliable margins. Its primary growth opportunity lies in expanding these authentication technologies into new markets while increasing software-based recurring revenue. However, the business faces significant risks from the global shift toward digital payments and potential changes in banknote demand. Suited for investors seeking stable industrial-technology exposure with consistent dividend income, the stock requires monitoring regarding contract renewals and the long-term impact of central bank digital currency adoption.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Growth is steady rather than explosive, tied to currency demand and payment automation trends. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | The stock can exhibit momentum during industry recovery cycles or following strategic contract wins. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The company trades at reasonable valuations relative to its stable, high-margin cash flows. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | Crane NXT offers a reliable dividend supported by strong free cash flow and a defensive business model. |
| Low-risk investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | The company's essential role in government and retail security provides a level of defensive stability. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium | The stock price can fluctuate based on broader industrial sector sentiment and macro cash-usage reports. |
| Valuation risk | Low | Current valuations appear grounded by the company's consistent cash flow generation. |
| Competition risk (Currency & Payment Technology) | Medium | Long-term shifts toward digital payments pose a fundamental threat to the physical currency security segment. |
| Business quality | Strong | The company holds a strong position in protected, high-barrier niche markets. |
| Dividend income | Low | Dividends are well-covered by earnings and represent a stable income component. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Maintaining technological leadership in security features requires constant R&D investment and contract renewals. |
Price Behavior
Strong Uptrend
The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -1% | Avg. Invested days 44 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/09/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.31B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 26.17 | 1Y Target Price 69.57 |
Price to earnings Ratio 26.17 | 1Y Target Price 69.57 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 667.7K shares | Beta 0.96 | 52 Weeks Range 35.58 - 63.57 | Updated Date 11/09/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 35.58 - 63.57 | Updated Date 11/09/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.20% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.2 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Crane Currency | High-security banknote design, micro-optic threads, and specialized inks. | The company makes money by providing the security features that stop people from counterfeiting money. |
| Crane Payment Innovations | Banknote/coin validators, bill recyclers, and software for self-checkout kiosks. | They sell the 'brains' inside self-checkout machines that verify if the cash you put in is real. |
| Geography: Global | Operations in North America, Europe, and Asia with high exposure to central bank contracts. | The company is a global business, meaning its earnings are affected by international currency policies and global retail trends. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-11-04 | When After Market | Estimate 1.2 | Actual 1.28 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 6.91% | Operating Margin (TTM) 15.33% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 5.55% | Return on Equity (TTM) 10.26% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 26.17 | Forward PE 12.17 | Enterprise Value 4.46B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.79 |
Enterprise Value 4.46B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.79 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.4 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 12 | Shares Outstanding 57.57M | Shares Floating 57.39M |
Shares Outstanding 57.57M | Shares Floating 57.39M | ||
Percent Insiders 13.79 | Percent Institutions 109.92 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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