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Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp.(DFLI)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$2.4
10/23/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for DFLI

10/23/2026: DFLI (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Dragonfly Energy is a specialty manufacturer focused on high-performance lithium-ion batteries and storage systems, primarily serving the RV and off-grid markets. The company's key strengths lie in its recognized brand and ongoing efforts to develop proprietary solid-state battery technology. Its growth story hinges on successfully scaling its domestic manufacturing capabilities and expanding into larger energy storage segments. However, investors face significant risks, including intense price competition, potential cash burn, and the execution challenges inherent in advanced R&D. The stock is generally suited for risk-tolerant investors looking for long-term speculative exposure to battery innovation, and stakeholders should closely monitor manufacturing progress and capital efficiency.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitThe company represents a speculative growth opportunity in the energy storage space.
Momentum investorWeak fitMomentum is generally low unless specific positive news on solid-state battery breakthroughs emerges.
Value investorWeak fitThe company's lack of consistent profitability makes it difficult to assess using traditional value metrics.
Dividend investorWeak fitNo dividends are paid, and focus remains entirely on growth and survival.
Low-risk investorWeak fitHigh volatility and operational risks make this unsuitable for conservative portfolios.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock is subject to extreme price swings common in small-cap growth stocks.
Valuation riskHighFuture growth expectations are heavily priced in, leaving little room for error.
Competition risk (low-cost imports)HighCheap batteries from global manufacturers consistently undercut market pricing.
Business qualityMediumWhile the technology is innovative, the company is still establishing consistent operational scale.
Dividend incomeLow / noneNo income potential exists for investors seeking cash flow.
Execution riskHighSuccess depends on transitioning complex R&D in solid-state batteries to commercial reality.

Price Behavior

Steep Decline
PRICE PATH

Steep Decline

The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.

Extreme Price Shocks
PRICE STABILITY

Extreme Price Shocks

The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 65.37%
Avg. Invested days 9
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/23/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
DFLI receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
DFLI has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with soft financial health, soft growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, solid revenue growth (+15.8%) is partially offset by negative earnings growth (-72.2%), weak cash generation (FCF margin -47.6%), weak profitability (net margin -119.3%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
DFLI's financial health is soft, with the relatively strongest area being solid liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 35.2%). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 2-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Revenue growth is DFLI's strongest growth driver at +15.8% FY2025 versus FY2024 (solid, 4 stars). By comparison, while earnings growth (-72.2%, negative) and free-cash-flow growth (-181.4%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 9.9% and approximately 97.9% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 11.00% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Alyeska Investment Group, L.P. 4.14%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 2.93%
Geode Capital Management, LLC 0.86%
XTX Topco Ltd 0.69%
Citadel Advisors Llc 0.61%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
DFLI generates approximately $267 of gross profit, $-350 of operating income, and $-476 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Operating losses and cash burn explain the 1-star rating, with weak cash conversion and weak capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 0.13%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
DFLI has a liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while valuation that is moderately attractive rather than deeply discounted.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Low VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 4.49M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 24
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 24
Volume (30-day avg) 53.7K shares
Beta 0.32
52 Weeks Range 2.34 - 108.80
Updated Date 10/23/2026
52 Weeks Range 2.34 - 108.80
Updated Date 10/23/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -64.56

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Direct-to-Consumer (Battle Born)Lithium batteries sold directly to RV and marine owners.Core revenue comes from high-quality battery sales to hobbyists.
OEM PartnershipsBattery systems integrated directly into new RVs and vehicles.Partnerships provide steady, large-scale order volume.
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Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 127.18M
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.09
Enterprise Value 127.18M
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.09
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.33
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 48.26
Shares Outstanding 1.87M
Shares Floating 1.83M
Shares Outstanding 1.87M
Shares Floating 1.83M
Percent Insiders 11
Percent Institutions 9.94

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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