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Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL(ELPC)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for ELPC
10/09/2026: ELPC (4-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY for 25 days. Simulated Profits (15.74%). Updated daily EoD!
Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) is a significant integrated power utility providing essential generation, transmission, and distribution services, primarily within Brazil's Paraná state. The company’s primary strength lies in its established utility infrastructure and diversified generation portfolio, which supports steady, regulated revenue. Its main growth opportunity involves expanding into the deregulated energy market and modernizing its grid systems. Key risks include heavy dependence on hydrological conditions, regulatory tariff volatility, and macroeconomic pressures within Brazil. The stock may best suit value and dividend-focused investors seeking exposure to regulated utility cash flows, while stakeholders should closely monitor regulatory updates and hydrological reports.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Utility stocks typically offer moderate growth rather than the high-alpha potential sought by pure growth investors. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | Utility stocks are generally driven by interest rates and regulatory news rather than rapid momentum signals. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The stock often trades at valuations reflective of its stable, regulated cash flows. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | COPEL is recognized for its historical commitment to regular dividend distributions. |
| Low-risk investor | Strong fit | As a regulated utility, COPEL offers lower business risk compared to more cyclical industries. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium / high | The stock price is subject to fluctuations in Brazilian macroeconomic conditions and currency exchange rates. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Valuation is sensitive to changes in long-term interest rates and regulatory tariff reviews. |
| Competition risk (utility sector) | Medium | Ongoing deregulation in the Brazilian power market may increase competitive pressure on margins. |
| Business quality | Strong | COPEL operates essential infrastructure with a protected, regulated market position. |
| Dividend income | Medium | Dividend payouts depend on the company's financial performance and regulatory constraints. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Effective management of capital expenditures and operational improvements is key to profitability. |
Price Behavior
Strong Uptrend
The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 55.05% | Avg. Invested days 48 | Today’s Advisory Strong Buy |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/09/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 10.44B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 17.36 | 1Y Target Price 17 |
Price to earnings Ratio 17.36 | 1Y Target Price 17 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 603.8K shares | Beta 0.29 | 52 Weeks Range 7.69 - 14.51 | Updated Date 10/09/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 7.69 - 14.51 | Updated Date 10/09/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 3.83% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.81 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Electricity Distribution | Delivering electricity to homes and businesses in Paraná. | Steady revenue generated from essential utility services. |
| Energy Generation | Power plants (hydro, wind, thermal) selling into the market. | Revenue fluctuates based on energy prices and water levels. |
| Transmission | High-voltage lines transporting electricity. | Stable, long-term regulated revenue contracts. |
Valuation
Trailing PE 17.36 | Forward PE 10.92 | Enterprise Value 13.14B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.37 |
Enterprise Value 13.14B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.37 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.4 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 12.1 | Shares Outstanding 742.40M | Shares Floating 2.03B |
Shares Outstanding 742.40M | Shares Floating 2.03B | ||
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 2.91 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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